Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers Betting Pick & Prediction 11/3/24
The Lions are favored on the road as they take on the Packers at 4:25 ET on Sunday, November 3rd. The Lions’ money line odds are -179, while the Packers are at +149. The game, being played at Lambeau Field, is a week nine NFC North matchup. The Lions are -3.5 point favorites, and the over/under line is set at 48.5 points. You can catch this one on FOX.
DETROIT LIONS VS GREEN BAY PACKERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Detroit Lions -3.5
This game will be played at Lambeau Field at 4:25 ET on Sunday, November 3rd.
WHY BET THE DETROIT LIONS:
- We have the Lions winning this one by a score of 30 to 26
- Not only do we have the Lions winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -3.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 48.5 points
Will The Lions Win As Road Favorites?
With five straight wins, including a 52-14 victory over the Titans in week 8, the Lions sit atop our NFL power rankings and have a 64.6% chance of winning the NFC North. Detroit is 6-1 this season, with a +14.3 scoring margin and a 6-1 record against the spread. They’ve covered the spread in five consecutive games, including a 38-point win over the Cowboys in week 6 and a narrow 31-29 win over the Vikings in week 7, where they were 1.5-point underdogs.
Detroit’s O/U record is 4-3, with the over hitting in their last four games. In week 8, the Lions and Titans combined for 66 points, surpassing the 45-point line. Their games have averaged 52.6 points this season, with an average O/U line of 50.4.
Jared Goff has been on a tear over his last three games, posting passer ratings of 129 in week 8, 140 in week 7, and 153 in week 6. In his week 8 performance against the Titans, he threw for 85 yards and 3 touchdowns, completing 12 of 15 passes without an interception. Goff has also done a good job of protecting the football, not throwing an interception in his last three games.
Detroit’s offense is currently 3rd in our power rankings, and they lead the NFL in scoring with 33.4 points per game. They rank 6th in the league in rushing yards per game (156.7) and 10th in passing yards (228.4), despite being 25th in passing attempts. The Lions have also been strong on 3rd down, converting 42.9% of their attempts, which ranks 7th in the NFL.
In their 52-14 win over the Titans, the Lions’ defense forced two interceptions and held Tennessee to just 27.3% on third down. Despite giving up 158 rushing yards on 32 attempts, the Lions’ defense allowed only one touchdown through the air and held the Titans to 14 points. They also limited Tennessee to 1 of 4 in the red zone.
Detroit’s defense gave up 258 passing yards on 22 completions, and they finished with one sack while allowing the Titans to gain 416 yards of total offense. The Lions also had four fewer tackles for loss than the Titans in the game.
Are The Packers Going Win In At Upset At Lambeau Field
With four straight wins, the Packers are now 6-2 this season, putting them 7th in our NFL power rankings and giving them an 81.6% chance of making the playoffs. Green Bay narrowly beat the Jaguars 30-27 in week 8, but they couldn’t cover the 3.5-point spread. Before that, they had home wins over the Texans and Cardinals and a road victory over the Rams.
Against the spread, the Packers are 4-4, with an average scoring margin of +5.8 points per game. They’ve failed to cover in two straight games, including their win over the Jaguars. Their O/U record is 4-3-1, with their games averaging 48.2 points per game.
Jordan Love has been up and down in his last three games, with his passer rating dropping from 119 in week 6 to 95 in week 7, and then to 73 in week 8, where he threw for 196 yards, no touchdowns, and one interception against the Jaguars. Josh Jacobs had a strong performance in week 8, rushing for 127 yards and two touchdowns on 25 carries, while Tucker Kraft led the team in receiving with 78 yards on 3 catches.
Heading into week 9, the Packers rank 11th in our offensive power rankings. They are 6th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 27, and 5th in yards per game with 387.4. Green Bay is 9th in passing yards per game (230.5) and 5th in rushing yards per game (156.9), despite ranking 20th in passing attempts per game.
In their 30-27 win over the Jaguars, the Packers’ defense struggled to defend the pass, giving up 299 yards through the air. They did, however, force the Jaguars into a 11.1% third-down conversion rate. The Packers allowed 390 total yards, with 91 yards coming on 23 rushing attempts. Jacksonville averaged 4.0 yards per rush in the game.
Green Bay’s defense allowed 21 completions (65.6% completion rate) and two passing touchdowns. They managed just one sack and lost the tackles for loss battle by a margin of -2.