Denver Pioneers vs Cal Poly Mustangs NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 12/17/24
Planning on watching today’s Pioneers and Mustangs game? Catch the action at Mott Athletics Center in San Luis Obispo, CA, as the Mustangs hosts this showdown at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 162.5 points, and Cal Poly is favored by -10.5 at home against Denver.
DENVER PIONEERS VS CAL POLY MUSTANGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cal Poly Mustangs -10.5
This game will be played at Mott Athletics Center at 10:00 ET on Tuesday, December 17th.
WHY BET THE CAL POLY MUSTANGS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 80-67 in favor of the Mustangs.
- Not only will Cal Poly pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -10.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 162.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 147 points.
Will the Pioneers Win on the Road?
Denver Pioneers Recent Game/Games
The Pioneers fell to 3-7 on the season after a 74-59 loss to Cal State Fullerton on Sunday. Denver, who entered the game as +3.5 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread in the road loss.
Denver trailed 36-22 at halftime and couldn’t close the gap, as both teams scored nearly evenly in the 2nd half (38-37). The game’s total points of 133 fell short of the O/U line of 137.5.
In their last game, the Denver Pioneers managed just 59 points, shooting 38.2% from the field and 28.6% from beyond the arc. Their effective field goal percentage was 43.6%, and they hit 61.1% of their free throws, going 11-for-18 from the line.
Donovan Oday stood out, hitting 9 of 10 shots, including 2-for-2 from three, and finishing with 21 points and 8 rebounds. DeAndre Craig added 17 points, connecting on 3 of 5 threes, while Nicholas Shogbonyo struggled, shooting 27.3% overall and 25% from deep.
Denver’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 74 points while allowing the opposing team to shoot 58% from the field. Inside the arc, they allowed 63% shooting, with the other team hitting 23 of 36 two-point attempts.
From three-point range, Denver’s defense gave up 5 threes on 12 attempts, a 41% shooting rate. They also sent the other team to the free-throw line 18 times, where they converted 13 free throws, shooting 72%.
Does Cal Poly Have What it Takes at Home?
Cal Poly Mustangs Recent Game/Games
Cal Poly dropped to 4-7 on the season after a 107-100 loss to San Jose State on Saturday. The Mustangs were +6 underdogs going into the game and failed to cover the spread. The total points of 207 exceeded the O/U line of 154.5.
Cal Poly trailed 45-40 at halftime but scored 51 points in the 2nd half while allowing 46. Despite their offensive output, they couldn’t close the gap.
Cal Poly’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their latest game, putting up 100 points with a 55.1% field goal percentage. Their effective field goal percentage was an impressive 63.8%, thanks in large part to their 72.2% shooting from inside the arc. From three-point range, they hit 12 of 33 attempts, shooting 36.4%.
Sadaidriene Hall led the way with 33 points and 11 rebounds, shooting 66.7% from the field. Owen Koonce added 32 points, hitting 4 of 6 from three-point range. Hall and Koonce combined for 7 assists, while Mac Riniker contributed 6 assists and was perfect from the field, going 5 for 5.
Cal Poly’s defense struggled, giving up 107 points as their opponents shot 52% from the field, including 63% on two-point attempts. Even from the free-throw line, the opposition managed to score 20 points on 29 attempts.
From beyond the arc, Cal Poly allowed 9 threes on 27 attempts, a 33% shooting performance. They also gave up 12 offensive rebounds in the game.