Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Pick & Prediction 5/5/25
At 9:30 ET, the Thunder (-422) will host the Nuggets (+333) in a Northwest Division matchup. Oklahoma City (-9.5) is currently on an 8-game win streak and is 68-14 overall. Denver is 50-32 and is 4th in the Western Conference.
This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and can be seen on TNT. The over/under line is currently 225.5.
DENVER NUGGETS VS OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER BETTING PICK
The Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5
This game will be played at Paycom Center at 9:30 ET on Monday, May 5th.
WHY BET THE OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 154-140 in favor of the Thunder.
- Our projections have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finishing with 32 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
- From the field, we have the Thunder finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.5% and knocking down 19 threes.
Can the Nuggets Pull the Upset on the Road?
With a 120-101 win over the Clippers on Saturday, the Nuggets improved to 50-32 for the season. Denver, favored by -1.5 points, covered the spread with a +19 point win at home. The game’s total score of 221 points went over the pre-game line of 208.
After falling behind 26-21 in the 1st quarter, the Nuggets took control by outscoring the Clippers 37-21 in the 2nd quarter. A key moment was a 17-0 run that extended their lead from 60-50 to 77-50. Denver continued their dominance in the 3rd quarter, outscoring the Clippers 35-19, and entered the 4th quarter with a 93-66 lead.
Aaron Gordon led the Nuggets with 22 points, and Christian Braun added 21 in their win over the Clippers. Braun hit 3 threes at a 60% clip, while the team shot 37.9% from deep, making 11 threes overall.
Denver shot 52.2% from the field, with Nikola Jokić and Jamal Murray each contributing 16 points. Gordon scored 8 points in both the 2nd and 3rd quarters, while Braun added 9 points in the 1st quarter alone.
Defensively, the Nuggets were strong in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, giving up just 21 and 19 points, respectively, in their win over the Clippers. Despite allowing 35 points in the 4th, they held the Clippers to 101 points overall. Denver limited Los Angeles to 8 made threes on 29% shooting from beyond the arc.
The Nuggets sent the Clippers to the line 22 times, where they made 15 free throws. Denver controlled the boards, giving up only 5 offensive rebounds, and added 11 steals and 4 blocks.
Can the Thunder Pull Off a Home Win?
With a 117-115 win over the Grizzlies on Saturday, the Thunder improved to 68-14 for the season. Despite being -15 point favorites, OKC didn’t cover the spread in this one. The total score of 232 points went over the pre-game line of 224.
OKC led 88-85 heading into the 4th quarter, but the Grizzlies went on a 10-0 run, cutting the score from 108-97 to 108-107. Memphis edged OKC 30-29 in the final quarter, but the Thunder held on for the win.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder to a win over the Grizzlies, scoring 38 points on 54.2% shooting. He added 6 assists and 5 rebounds, with 16 of his points coming in the 1st quarter and another 12 in the 3rd. Jalen Williams contributed 23 points, including 10 in the 4th quarter, hitting 2 threes at a 40% clip.
The Thunder struggled from deep, making just 7 threes at 20% shooting, and finished with a 43.6% overall field goal percentage. Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, and Isaiah Hartenstein each added 11 points, with Joe scoring 8 of his points in the 2nd quarter.
Despite giving up 115 points, the Thunder’s defense did enough to secure the win over the Grizzlies on Saturday. Oklahoma City allowed 31 points in the 1st quarter and 30 in the 4th, but they tightened up in the 3rd, giving up just 26 points.
Overall, the Thunder held Memphis to 46% shooting, including 38% from beyond the arc, where the Grizzlies made 12 threes. Oklahoma City also recorded 13 steals and 7 blocks in the game.