Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts Betting Pick & Prediction 8/11/24

Denver is the underdog with a point spread of +1.5 as they face off against the Colts in their first pre-season game of the season. The Colts are favored with a money line of -124, and the game is being played at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. The over/under line is set at 37.5 points, and this week one pre-season matchup is set for 1:00 ET on Sunday, August 11th, with coverage on NFLN.

DENVER BRONCOS VS INDIANAPOLIS COLTS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Denver Broncos +1.5

This game will be played at Lucas Oil Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, August 11th.

WHY BET THE DENVER BRONCOS:

• We have the Colts winning this one by a score of 19 to 18
• Even though we like the Colts to win, our ATS pick is to take the Broncos at +1.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 37.5 points

Will The Broncos Pick Up A Win On The Road?

The Broncos went 1-0 at home and 0-2 on the road last pre-season, finishing with a 1-2 record. They dropped their first two pre-season games, losing 18-17 to the Cardinals and 21-20 to the 49ers. Denver picked up their only pre-season win in week three, beating the Rams 41-0.

Denver’s running game was 5th in the NFL last pre-season, averaging 146.3 rushing yards per game. The Broncos were also 3rd in both points scored (26 per game) and yards gained (376 per game). Their passing game was 9th in the league, averaging 229.7 yards per game, and they were 7th in yards per play. Denver averaged 36.7 passing attempts per game, which was 7th in the league.

Denver’s defense was 2nd best in the NFL last pre-season, giving up just 13 points per game. They were also 3rd in yards allowed at 296.7 per game. Opposing offenses found it tough to run the ball against the Broncos last pre-season, as they allowed just 90.3 rushing yards per game, the 9th lowest figure in the league. Against the pass, they allowed 206.3 yards per game.

Will The Colts Win At Home Over The Broncos?

The Colts went 2-1 last pre-season, winning their only home game and going 1-1 on the road. They dropped their opener to the Bills 23-19 but followed up with a 24-17 win over the Bears in week two. Indianapolis closed out the pre-season with a 27-13 victory over the Eagles.

Indianapolis was 6th in scoring last pre-season, averaging 23.3 points per game, and they were also 6th in rushing attempts per game. The Colts’ 115.3 rushing yards per game ranked them 10th in the league. In terms of passing, the Colts were 16th in attempts and 11th in yards, averaging 226.3 yards per game. They averaged 341.7 yards per game, which was 13th in the league.

Last pre-season, the Colts’ defense gave up 311.7 yards per game, including 226 passing yards per game. They finished 9th in points allowed, giving up 17.7 points per game. In terms of rushing yards allowed, they were 6th in the NFL during the pre-season.