Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Betting Pick & Prediction 1/6/25

At 8:00 ET, the Memphis Grizzlies (-211) will host the Dallas Mavericks (+177) in a Western Southwest Division matchup. The Grizzlies are favored by 5.5 points and have lost two straight games, while the Mavericks have dropped four in a row.

Memphis is currently 3rd in the Western Conference with a record of 23-13, while Dallas is 6th in the West at 20-15. The over/under line for this game is 232 points.

DALLAS MAVERICKS VS MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Memphis Grizzlies -5.5

This game will be played at FedExForum at 8:00 ET on Monday, January 6th.

WHY BET THE MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 106-87 in favor of the Grizzlies.
  • Our projections have Jaren Jackson Jr. finishing with 23 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Grizzlies finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.0% and knocking down 11 threes.

Does Dallas Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?

Dallas fell to 20-15 on the season after a 134-122 home loss to Cleveland on Friday. The Mavericks entered the game as +9.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game hit 256, well over the 226.5-point line.

A 20-0 run by the Cavaliers early in the game put Dallas in a deep hole, as Cleveland extended their lead from 21-20 to 41-20. The Mavericks trailed 100-85 going into the 4th quarter and outscored Cleveland 37-34 in the final period but couldn’t close the gap.

The Mavericks struggled offensively in their loss to the Cavaliers, shooting just 43% from the field and 27.3% from three-point range, making only 12 threes. Quentin Grimes led Dallas with 26 points, 20 of which came in the 3rd quarter.

Jaden Hardy added 17 points, scoring 8 in the 2nd quarter and 9 in the 4th. Klay Thompson contributed 16 points, hitting 4 threes and scoring 11 points in the 2nd quarter.

Defensively, the Mavericks struggled, giving up 134 points to the Cavaliers. Dallas allowed at least 31 points in each quarter, including 37 in the 2nd. Cleveland shot 53% from the field.

The Mavericks gave up 15 threes on 37% shooting and sent the Cavaliers to the line 20 times, where they made 15 free throws. Dallas recorded 32 defensive rebounds, allowed 10 offensive boards, and finished with 3 steals and 4 blocks.

Do the Grizzlies Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?

The Grizzlies fell to 23-13 on the season after a 121-113 road loss to the Warriors on Saturday. Memphis, who entered the game as +3 point underdogs, couldn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 234, surpassing the pre-game O/U line of 229.

A 12-0 run by the Warriors early in the game put Memphis on their heels. Although the Grizzlies kept each quarter close, they couldn’t close the gap, as they entered the 4th quarter trailing 92-86 and were outscored 29-27 in the final period.

Jaren Jackson Jr. led the Grizzlies with 23 points and 9 rebounds in their loss to the Warriors, shooting 52.4% from the field. Desmond Bane added 22 points and 10 assists, though he struggled from deep, hitting just 2 threes at 25% efficiency. Jake LaRavia contributed 17 points and 10 assists, shooting 62.5% from the field.

The Grizzlies shot 52.3% overall, but made only 9 threes at a 33.3% clip. LaRavia scored 12 of his 17 points in the 1st quarter, while Jackson had 11 points in the 3rd and 8 more in the 4th.

Defensively, the Grizzlies gave up 121 points to the Warriors on Saturday, allowing 30 points in the 1st quarter and 34 in the 3rd. They conceded 28 points in the 2nd quarter and 29 in the 4th.

Memphis struggled to defend the perimeter, as Golden State hit 23 threes at a 53% clip. The Warriors shot 52% overall. The Grizzlies sent them to the line 16 times, where they made 10 free throws. Memphis finished with 31 defensive rebounds, giving up 9 offensive boards, while also recording 9 steals and 7 blocks.