Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Betting Pick & Prediction 11/12/24

At 10:00 ET, the Golden State Warriors (-142) will host the Dallas Mavericks (+119) in a Western Conference matchup. The over/under line for this game is 232.
Golden State (-2.5) is 8-2 on the season and will be looking to extend their winning streak to 5 games. Dallas is 5-5 and will be looking to bounce back from a 1-point loss to the Suns in their last game.
DALLAS MAVERICKS VS GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Dallas Mavericks +2.5
This game will be played at Chase Center at 10:00 ET on Tuesday, November 12th.
WHY BET THE DALLAS MAVERICKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 141-131 in favor of the Mavericks.
- Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 10 rebounds and 9 assists.
- From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.7% and knocking down 17 threes.
Do the Mavericks Have a Shot at a Win at San Francisco?
The Mavericks fell to 5-5 on the season after a 122-120 road loss to the Nuggets on Sunday. Dallas entered the game as +2 point underdogs, and the final score resulted in a push. The total points for the game were 242, surpassing the over/under line of 233 by 9 points.
Dallas took control in the 2nd quarter, outscoring Denver 34-25, but the Nuggets responded with a 37-31 edge in the 3rd. The Mavericks entered the 4th quarter trailing 97-94 and narrowly outscored Denver 26-25 in the final period but couldn’t complete the comeback.
Kyrie Irving’s 43-point performance on 77.3% shooting wasn’t enough for the Mavericks in their 122-120 loss to the Nuggets. Irving hit 6 threes at a 75% clip, while the rest of the team struggled, making just 4 more threes at 30.3%.
As a team, Dallas shot 53.3% from the field. Luka Doncic added 24 points and 9 assists, and Daniel Gafford contributed 16 points on 77.8% shooting. Irving scored 16 points in the 4th quarter.
The Mavericks gave up 122 points to the Nuggets, who shot 50% from the field. Dallas struggled defensively in the 1st and 3rd quarters, allowing 35 and 37 points, respectively, but tightened up in the 2nd and 4th, giving up 25 points in each.
From beyond the arc, the Mavericks allowed Denver to make 14 threes on 48% shooting. Dallas sent the Nuggets to the line 26 times, where they made 18 free throws. The Mavericks finished with 7 steals and 5 blocks.
Will the Warriors Live Up to Expectations at Home?
Golden State improved to 8-2 on the season with a 127-116 road win over the Thunder on Sunday. The Warriors, who were +6.5 point underdogs, not only won but covered the spread. The total points for the game were 243, exceeding the O/U line of 227.5 by 15.5 points.
After falling behind 33-26 in the 1st quarter, the Warriors went on a 10-0 run, turning a 65-58 deficit into a 68-65 lead. They dominated the 2nd and 3rd quarters, outscoring the Thunder 81-46, before the Thunder made a late push in the 4th, outscoring Golden State 37-20.
The Warriors connected on 21 threes at a 48.8% clip in their win over the Thunder, shooting 50.6% from the field overall. Stephen Curry led the way with 36 points, hitting 7 threes at 53.8% efficiency and adding 7 assists.
Jonathan Kuminga contributed 20 points, with 12 coming in the 2nd quarter, while De’Anthony Melton added 19 points and 10 rebounds, knocking down 5 threes at 62.5%. Curry had a big 3rd quarter, scoring 17 of his points in that period.
Despite a rough 4th quarter where they allowed 37 points, the Warriors’ defense held the Thunder to 116 points on 44% shooting overall. Their best defensive efforts came in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, where they gave up just 25 and 21 points, respectively.
Golden State did a solid job defending the three-point line, limiting Oklahoma City to 11 made threes on 33% shooting. The Warriors also recorded 8 steals and 3 blocks in the game.