Colorado State Rams vs New Mexico Lobos NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 2/5/25

Betting on today’s Rams and Lobos game? Catch the action at The Pit in Albuquerque, NM, as the Lobos hosts this showdown at 10:30 ET on FS1. The odds for this Mountain West conference game currently have New Mexico as the -9.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 149.5 points.

COLORADO STATE RAMS VS NEW MEXICO LOBOS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Colorado State Rams +9.5

This game will be played at The Pit at 10:30 ET on Wednesday, February 5th.

WHY BET THE COLORADO STATE RAMS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-71 in favor of the Lobos.
  • Even though we have New Mexico winning straight-up, we like Colorado State at +9.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 149.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 147 points.

Can the Rams Grab a Win on the Road?

Colorado State Rams Recent Game/Games

Colorado State improved to 14-7 on the season with a 79-58 home win over Air Force on Tuesday. The Rams were -16 favorites going into the game and covered the spread. The total points for the game were 137, just over the O/U line of 133.5.

After leading 38-37 at halftime, the Rams clamped down defensively, allowing only 21 points in the 2nd half while scoring 41 of their own.

Colorado State put up 79 points in their last game, shooting 51.8% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 57.1%. They were dominant inside, hitting 63.2% of their two-point attempts, while struggling from beyond the arc, connecting on just 27.8% of their threes.

At the free-throw line, the Rams were efficient, making 16 of 19 attempts for 84.2%. Nique Clifford and Ethan Taylor each scored 22 points, with Clifford adding 11 rebounds and 7 assists. Taylor hit 4 of 8 threes, while Jalen Lake and Jaylen Crocker-Johnson each contributed 13 points.

Even with Colorado State allowing 58 points, they couldn’t capitalize on their defensive efforts. The Rams gave up 51% shooting from the field, with the opposing team hitting 29 of their 56 attempts. Inside the arc, the Rams struggled, allowing 63% shooting on two-point attempts (24/38).

From three-point range, Colorado State’s defense was more effective, holding the other team to 27% shooting, as they made just 5 of 18 attempts. However, the Rams sent their opponents to the free-throw line 19 times, where they converted 16 shots, an 84% success rate. Colorado State also allowed 6 offensive rebounds.

Is It the Lobos Game to Lose at Home?

New Mexico Lobos Recent Game/Games

The Lobos improved to 17-4 on the season with an 82-63 road win over Utah State on Saturday. New Mexico entered the game as +4.5 point underdogs but not only pulled off the upset, they covered the spread. The total points for the game ended at 145, which was under the O/U line of 157.5.

New Mexico was trailing 36-30 at halftime, but they turned things around in the 2nd half, scoring 52 points while holding Utah State to just 27 points.

The Lobos put up 82 points in their last game, shooting 48.3% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 55.2%. They connected on 58.3% of their two-point attempts, while hitting 31.8% from beyond the arc, going 7-for-22 from three-point range.

New Mexico also shot 70.4% from the free-throw line, making 19 of 27 attempts. Nelly Junior Joseph was perfect from the field, hitting all 7 of his shots and finishing with 15 points and 13 rebounds. Mustapha Amzil led the team with 16 points, and Donovan Dent contributed 14 points and 6 assists.

New Mexico’s defense held their opponent to 63 points, allowing just 37% shooting from the field. They were particularly effective at defending the three-point line, where the other team shot just 5/31, or 16%.

Despite giving up 10 offensive rebounds, New Mexico limited damage from the free-throw line, where their opponent shot only 10/23, or 43%.