Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 8/2/24
From PETCO Park in San Diego, we have the Rockies and Padres facing off in an NL West matchup. This one gets started at 9:40 PM ET, and the Padres are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -183 compared to the Rockies at +154. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs.
Colorado will be looking to keep their two-game winning streak alive, as they are 40-70 overall and 5th in the NL West. The Padres are 2nd in the division, with an overall record of 59-51. Austin Gomber is starting for the Rockies, and he is facing off against Randy Vasquez for the Padres.
COLORADO ROCKIES VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs
This game will be played at PETCO Park at 9:40 ET on Friday, August 2nd.
HOW TO BET THE ROCKIES VS PADRES:
- We have the Padres winning by a score of 7 to 6
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rockies to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 13 runs and like the over
Rockies Records & Stats
The Rockies’s offense was carried by Michael Toglia in their most recent game vs. the Angels. Toglia went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs. The Rockies scored a run in the 2nd inning to take the lead and added another run in the 4th. However, the Angels scored two runs in the 4th to tie things up, and Colorado’s Victor Vodnik picked up the win out of the bullpen.
Ryan Feltner started for the Rockies, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on seven hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and took the loss.
Colorado is 40-70 overall and trails the Dodgers by 23.5 games in the NL West. The Rockies are also 5th in the division and are 23.5 games behind the Giants for the second Wild Card spot. So far, they are just 12-22 in divisional games.
The Rockies have won two straight games, and they are 16-41 on the road this season compared to 24-29 at home. As the underdog, the Rockies are 16-41 this year, and they have won two straight as the underdog overall. Colorado’s overall series record is 7-24-3, and they took two of three from the Angels in their most recent series.
When the Rockies are on the road, they have a run line record of 26-31 and an average run differential of -2.3 runs per game. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 55-55 against the run line this season. Their average run differential in losses is -4.1 runs per game.
Colorado’s games have averaged 10.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 57-51. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, they are 8-7 in those games. Overall, 57.3% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs.
Left-hander Austin Gomber is getting the start for the Rockies today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 2-7 with a 4.79 ERA. Gomber’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.32. In his 20 appearances, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 6.44 strikeouts per nine innings. Gomber has allowed a total of 20 home runs this season. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 3 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had gone 5 2/3 innings without giving up a homer.
Colorado’s offense has been a little better at home this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 7th in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.3 runs per contest, which is 16th in the MLB. The Rockies have been a good home run hitting team this season, and they have the league’s 12th best batting average.
Michael Toglia has a team-high 19 home runs this season, but he is batting just .213. Ezequiel Tovar and Brenton Doyle are both batting over .260 for the season, with Tovar’s 18 homers being 2nd on the team and Doyle’s 54 RBIs leading the team. Tovar has also been hot of late, going 8/24 in his last six games.
Padres Records & Stats
Led by a big game by Luis Campusano at the plate, the Padres are coming off a big 8-1 win over the Dodgers to close out their series. Campusano went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs. The Padres really broke things open with a four-run 2nd inning. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Padres were the slight underdog at -138.
Dylan Cease started for the Padres, going 5 2/3 innings, and giving up just one run on three hits. He only had six strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
San Diego is 59-51 overall this year, and they trail the Dodgers by 4.5 games in the NL West. The Padres closed out their series vs. the Dodgers with two straight wins. This season, they are 17-17 in division games and have gone 31-23 on the road.
At home, the Padres are an even 28-28. They have won two straight at home, and their overall winning streak is at two games. San Diego’s winning streak has come as the underdog, and they are 26-22 as the underdog this year. As the favorite, the Padres are 33-29.
San Diego has been a strong run line bet on the road this season, going 38-16. The Padres’ average run margin in their wins this season is 3.8, while their average run margin in losses is -3.5. They have covered the run line in five straight games when favored, but are just 21-35 at home.
San Diego has played in 20 games this season with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, and the over has hit in 15 of those matchups. The Padres have an over/under record of 59-50 on the year, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per contest. San Diego is currently on a five-game over streak, and the over has hit in 58.2% of their games this season.
Randy Vásquez gets the start for the Padres today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Orioles. In that start, which came on July 28th, he gave up six earned runs in just two innings of work. Vásquez took the loss in that outing. Before that, he had picked up the win in his previous start, going six innings and not giving up a run vs. the Nationals. Vásquez has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 3-6 with a 4.82 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .305 off Vásquez this season.
San Diego comes into today’s game with the best team batting average in the league at .264, and they have also been one of the top home run hitting teams in the league. As a team, they are averaging 4.6 runs per game, and they have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. The Padres have been tough to strike out this season, and their team on-base percentage of .324 is 6th in the MLB.
Jurickson Profar has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 18 home runs are the best mark on the team and 13th in the league. He is also 12th in the league with 70 RBIs. Profar’s batting average of .304 is 3rd on the team, and he also has an excellent on-base percentage of .395. Manny Machado has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/22 with three homers over his last five games. This has pushed his season batting average to .266.