Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 7/11/24

Thursday’s Rockies vs. Reds game has a first pitch set for 1:10 PM ET from Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati. The Reds are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -199, while the Rockies are +168. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.

BSOH is carrying this game on TV, and Hunter Greene will be on the mound for the Reds, while the Rockies are starting Austin Gomber. Colorado is 33-60 this season, while the Reds are just under .500 at 44-49.

COLORADO ROCKIES VS CINCINNATI REDS BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 9 Runs

This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 1:10 ET on Thursday, July 11th.

HOW TO BET THE ROCKIES VS REDS:

• We have the Reds winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rockies to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Rockies vs Reds series. Colorado went into the matchup as +163 underdogs and squeaked out a 6-5 win. The Rockies had a huge 3rd inning, scoring all six of their runs. As for the Reds, they scored their first run in the 5th and added four more in the 9th.

Kyle Freeland got the win for the Rockies, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs. Jalen Beeks got the save. Frankie Montas had a rough outing for the Reds, taking the loss after going seven innings and giving up five earned runs.

At the plate, Sam Hilliard and Elias Diaz each homered for the Rockies. Hilliard, Jake Cave, Nolan Jones, and Ezequiel Tovar each had two hits and an RBI. For the Reds, Tyler Stephenson hit the game’s only other home run and went 2/4 with three RBIs.

Rockies Records & Stats

Colorado is 33-60 overall and 22 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. So far, they have gone just 10-17 against other teams in the NL West. The Rockies are on the road today, and they have a road record of 13-33 this season.

So far, Colorado has really struggled in their role as the underdog, going 13-33. As for their record at home, they are 20-27 this season. Colorado’s overall series record is 5-21-3, and they are losing the series vs. the Reds 1-2.

When betting the run line on the Rockies, it’s best to take them as the underdog, as they are 45-48 against the run line this season. They are 21-25 against the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of -2.3 runs per game. In their losses, they have a run differential of -4.2 runs per game.

Colorado is on the road in Cincinnati today, with the O/U line set at 9 runs. The Rockies have a combined run average of 10.0 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 47-44. When the O/U line is set at 9 runs, their record is 3-4. Overall, 51.6% of their games have had O/U lines set above 9 runs this season, and their current O/U streak is 2 games.

Colorado is sending Austin Gomber to the mound today vs. the Reds, and he comes in with a record of 2-5 and ERA of 4.47. Gomber has made 17 starts this season and has a WHIP of 1.29. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking back over his last four outings, Gomber has given up four earned runs in three of those starts. So, he has been a bit up and down recently. Gomber has a total of six quality starts this year.

Colorado’s offense has been pretty average this season, as they are 21st in the league at 4.1 runs per game. However, they have been better at home, averaging 4.6 runs per game. The Rockies have been a good hitting team in terms of batting average and have been making a lot of contact, as they are 10th in batting average and have the 3rd fewest strikeouts in the league.

Both Ryan McMahon and Brenton Doyle have been swinging the bat well of late, with McMahon on a seven-game hitting streak and Doyle hitting .500 over his last eight games, with four homers. McMahon and Doyle are also the Rockies’ top two home run hitters for the season, with 14 and 13 homers, respectively. Ezequiel Tovar has also been a consistent power threat, as he has 12 homers and is batting .265.

Reds Records & Stats

Cincinnati is 44-49 overall, putting them 4th in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by 10 games in the division. The Reds have gone 12-14 against other teams in the NL Central.

At home, the Reds are 22-27 this year, and they are 22-22 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 41 games, where they are 22-19. As the underdog, the Reds are 22-30 this year. Cincinnati’s series record is 9-17-3, and they have dropped three straight series at home.

When betting the Reds on the run line, it’s best to do so on the road, as they are 30-14 against the run line away from home. They are just 20-29 against the run line at home, where they have a negative run differential of -0.2 runs per game. They are 32-20 against the run line as an underdog, compared to 18-23 as a favorite.

The Cincinnati Reds are at home today against the Colorado Rockies, with the over/under line set at 9 runs. The Reds and their opponents have combined to average 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 40-49. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs this season, their record is 1-15-3. The over has hit in their last two games.

Hunter Greene will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. Against the Tigers on July 6th, he went seven innings, giving up just three hits and two walks. Greene finished with seven strikeouts in the outing. He didn’t give up a homer in that start. Looking back further, Greene had given up at least two homers in three straight outings before that start. For the season, he has a record of 5-4, an ERA of 3.45, and a WHIP of 1.14. Opposing batters are hitting .198 off Greene this season.

Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer have been the Reds’ top power threats this season, with De La Cruz leading the team with 15 homers and Steer right behind him with 14. De La Cruz is batting .250 for the season, and Steer comes in with a batting average of .239. Steer has been hot of late, going 6/24 with four homers and eight RBIs over his last seven games.

For the season, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are batting just .228 as a team. Their team on-base percentage of .304 is also below the league average. So far, the Reds have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per game.