Colorado Rockies vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 9/3/24
There is an NL matchup between the Rockies and Braves that is set for 7:20 PM ET from Truist Park in Atlanta, GA. The Braves are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -397, while the Rockies are +315 underdogs. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.
Colorado will be looking to pull off the upset with Kyle Freeland on the mound, while the Braves are starting Chris Sale. However, Sale is not expected to be in the lineup, as he is on a 2nd NL East. The Rockies are 5th in the NL West, and they are 51-87 this season. Sale is 74-63.
COLORADO ROCKIES VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 7.5 Runs
This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:20 ET on Tuesday, September 3rd.
HOW TO BET THE ROCKIES VS BRAVES:
- We have the Braves winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rockies to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Rockies Records & Stats
The Rockies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Orioles with a 6-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Orioles scored four runs in the top of the 4th. Colorado was the +160 underdog at home going into the game.
Ty Blach got the start for the Rockies and took the loss. He only lasted four innings, giving up five earned runs on five hits. Michael Toglia was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored. However, the Rockies only had six hits total and scored just one run.
With an overall record of 51-87, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West, trailing the Giants by 17 games for 4th place in the division. So far, they have really struggled against other NL West teams, going 15-28. Currently, they are 32 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead.
Colorado has really struggled on the road this year, going 19-50 compared to 32-37 at home. The Rockies have really had a tough time in day games this year, going 15-35. As the underdog, Colorado is 49-85 this season and 2-2 when favored. They will be kicking off their series vs. the Braves today, and the Rockies’ overall series record is 10-30-4.
When it comes to betting the run line, the Rockies have been a solid play this season, going 68-70. They’ve been a bit better at home, going 36-33, compared to 32-37 on the road. They’ve been a much better bet when they’re the underdog, going 67-67, compared to just 1-3 when they’re favored. Their average run differential is -1.5 runs per game.
When the Rockies are on the road, the over/under line is typically set at 10 runs per game. However, today’s line is set at 7.5 runs, which is significantly lower than their average. This season, the Rockies have played 119 games with over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 86.2% of their games. In games with a line set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit 9 times and the under has hit 4 times.
Kyle Freeland gets the start for the Rockies today as he faces the Braves on the road. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 4-6 with an ERA of 5.51. Looking at his overall numbers, Freeland has a WHIP of 1.47 and opponents are batting .285 this season. In his last outing, Freeland picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. Freeland has been much worse on the road, coming in with a 10.94 ERA compared to 4.13 at home.
Collectively, the Rockies are batting .245 this season, which is 11th in the majors. They are also 15th in home runs and have the 2nd best BABIP in the league. Colorado’s offense has been better at home this season, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. Overall, they are 17th in scoring at 4.3 runs per contest.
Brenton Doyle and Ezequiel Tovar have been the Rockies’ top power hitters this season, with 22 and 21 home runs, respectively. Doyle’s 66 RBIs are the best mark on the team, while Tovar is 2nd at 63. Doyle is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Over his last seven games, Brendan Rodgers is batting .286 with three homers.
Braves Records & Stats
The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Phillies with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the bottom of the 9th before the Phillies scored a run to pick up the win. Atlanta was the +109 underdog on the road going into this matchup.
Spencer Schwellenbach put together a good start for the Braves, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out two. However, the Braves couldn and close things out, and Aaron Bummer took the loss out of the bullpen. The Braves also wasted a big game from Michael Harris II, who homered in the 1st inning, going 1/5.
With an overall record of 74-63, the Braves are seven games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Braves lost two straight games to close out their series vs. the Phillies. So far, they are 23-21 in divisional games.
At home, the Braves are 36-28 this season and 38-35 on the road. Atlanta has won two straight games as the favorite, and they are 62-47 when favored this year. As for their record as the underdog, the Braves are 12-16.
When the Braves win, they do so by an average of 3.6 runs per game, which is a big reason why they are 65-72 against the run line this season. They have been favored in 109 games and have gone 48-61 against the run line in those games. They have been underdogs in 28 games and have gone 17-11 against the run line in those games. They have covered the run line in two straight games.
When the Braves are at home, the over/under line is usually set at 8 runs, but today’s line is 7.5 runs. Atlanta has played in 102 games with higher over/under lines this season, and their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game. The Braves have gone over the total in 51 of their 132 games this season, and their over/under record is 51-81 overall. In games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs, they are 10-16, and their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game. Their games have gone under the total in their last two games.
Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today and comes in with a record of 15-3 and an ERA of 2.58. This year, he has made 25 starts, and opponents are batting .212 off the left-hander. Sale has made 15 quality starts this year and is averaging 11.54 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Sale gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. He finished with six strikeouts in that outing. Before that, he had given up two earned runs in back-to-back starts. Sale has been especially tough at home, coming in with a record of 8-0 and an ERA of 3.37.
Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top offensive player this season, as he is batting .306 with 37 home runs and 98 RBIs, which is 5th best in the league. First baseman Matt Olson is also having a strong season power-wise, as he is 2nd on the team with 25 homers but is hitting just .234 this season. However, Olson has been hot of late, going 11/30 in his last seven games with three homers and 11 RBIs.
Overall, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game. As a team, they are 4th in home runs and have the 12th best team batting average in the league.