College Football

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Liberty Flames Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

BYU Cougars vs Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

UCF Knights vs West Virginia Mountaineers Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

Arizona Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

Iowa State Cyclones vs Utah Utes Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

Baylor Bears vs Houston Cougars Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

Cincinnati Bearcats vs Kansas State Wildcats Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

Colorado Buffaloes vs Kansas Jayhawks Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

Pittsburgh Panthers vs Louisville Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

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<p>The 49ers and Packers will face off at 4:25 ET on Sunday, November 24th at Lambeau Field in Green Bay. The Packers are favored at -2.5 and have a money line of -138. This week 12 matchup is being televised on FOX, with the 49ers at +116 on the money line and the over/under set at 48 points.</p><h3>SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS VS GREEN BAY PACKERS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: San Francisco 49ers +2.5</p><p>This game will be played at Lambeau Field at 4:25 ET on Sunday, November 24th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS:</h3><ul><li>We have the 49ers winning this one by a score of 25 to 19</li><li>Not only do we have the 49ers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +2.5</li><li>We see this game finishing below the line of 48 points</li></ul><h3>Will The 49ers Pick Up A Win On The Road?</h3><p>After their week 11 loss to the Seahawks, the 49ers are now 5-5, putting them 4th in the NFC West. They have a +2.8 scoring margin and rank 7th in our power rankings, but our projections give them just a 26.8% chance of making the playoffs. San Francisco has been favored in all of their games this season, but they are just 4-6 against the spread and have failed to cover in two straight.</p> <p>In week 10, the 49ers narrowly defeated the Buccaneers 23-20, but they couldn’t carry that momentum into week 11, losing 20-17 to the Seahawks. The O/U line for that game was 49 points, but the teams combined for just 37. The under has hit in two straight 49ers games.</p><p>Heading into week 12, the 49ers are 10th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 8th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 25 points per game, and are 2nd in total yards with 398.9 per game. San Francisco ranks 4th in passing yards (251.1 per game) despite being 19th in pass attempts. They are 7th in rushing yards, averaging 147.8 per game on 29.7 attempts. The 49ers are 4th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 45.4% success rate, but rank 20th in red zone conversion percentage.</p> <p>Brock Purdy threw for 159 yards (21/28) with one touchdown and one interception in week 11 against the Seahawks. Jauan Jennings led the team with 10 catches for 91 yards, while Christian McCaffrey had 79 rushing yards on 19 carries. San Francisco scored 7 points in the 1st quarter, 3 in the 3rd, and 7 in the 4th.</p><p>In their 20-17 loss to the Seahawks, the 49ers' defense allowed just 195 passing yards on 25 completions. They also came up with four sacks and one interception, making things difficult for Seattle's passing game. On the ground, the Seahawks finished with 94 yards on 23 attempts.<p></p>Despite their strong effort in the passing game, the 49ers allowed Seattle to convert 46.2% of their third down attempts. The 49ers' offense managed just 17 points in the loss, and the defense did not give up any touchdowns through the air.</p><h3>Will The Packers Win At Home Over The 49ers?</h3><p>Heading into week 12, the Packers hold a 7-3 record, putting them 5th in our NFL power rankings and giving them an 88.2% chance of making the playoffs. However, they are just 3rd in the NFC North, with a 1-2 division record. Green Bay bounced back from a week 9 loss to the Lions with a 20-19 win over the Bears in week 11, though they were unable to cover the 6-point spread. The O/U line was 41, with the teams combining for 39 points.</p> <p>Green Bay has an average scoring margin of +3.7 points per game and is 4-6 against the spread this season. They have failed to cover in four straight games, including their week 8 win over the Jaguars and week 7 win over the Texans. Their O/U record is 4-5-1, with the under hitting in two consecutive games.</p><p>Heading into week 12, the Packers are 12th in our offensive power rankings. They are 8th in points per game, averaging 25, and 4th in the NFL in yards per game with 387.6. Despite ranking 21st in passing attempts, they are 8th in passing yards per game, averaging 237.7. On the ground, they are 6th in rushing attempts and 4th in rushing yards per game, with 149.9. Green Bay ranks 20th in 3rd-down conversions and 18th in red zone conversion percentage, though they are 5th in red zone attempts.</p> <p>Jordan Love had a strong performance in week 11, posting a passer rating of 112 against the Bears, with 261 yards on 13/17 passing, including a touchdown and an interception. Christian Watson led the team with 4 catches for 150 yards. Josh Jacobs added 76 yards and a touchdown on 18 carries. Green Bay scored 7 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters, but struggled on 3rd down, converting just 1 of 5 attempts.</p><p>In their 20-19 win over the Bears, the Packers' defense gave up 179 rushing yards on 34 attempts, including 66 yards on one run by Khalil Herbert. Despite this, they held Chicago to 212 passing yards and no touchdowns through the air. The Packers' defense allowed the Bears to convert on 56.2% of their third down attempts.<p></p>Green Bay's defense recorded three sacks in the game and had four more quarterback hits than the Bears. Overall, the Packers gave up 391 total yards, but the Bears were unable to capitalize on their yardage, scoring just 19 points.</p>

San Francisco 49ers vs Green Bay Packers Betting Pick & Prediction 11/24/24

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Sometimes you just have to write about the big game. We try here at BangTheBook to highlight the low and mid-major conferences as much as possible with our spotlight previews, but today’s mega matchup between Kansas and Baylor is just too big to overlook.

The Jayhawks are a nine-point underdog against the Bears in this matchup and some books, like <a href="http://bangthebook.com/sportsbooks/bookmaker"><strong>Bookmaker Sportsbook</strong></a>, are showing indications of possibly moving the line up to 9.5. The total on the game is 140.5.

To put this in perspective, you have to go back to March 7, 2015 to find a spot when Kansas was an underdog of more than six points in a conference game. That was against Oklahoma on the road. SportsDatabase.com doesn’t even go back far enough to find a nine-point dog role. This is a big line and some rare air for the Jayhawks. For what it’s worth, here are <strong><a href="https://sportsdatabase.com/ncaabb/query?output=default&amp;sdql=team%3DKAN+and+conference+and+line%3E%3D5&amp;submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++">Kansas’s games at +5 or higher</a></strong> in the last 15 years.

So, yeah, we have to talk about this one.
<h3><strong><u>Kansas</u></strong><strong><u> Jayhawks</u></strong></h3>
Is it fair to say that this year’s version of the Jayhawks is good, but not great? The losses have come by 12 to Gonzaga, 25 to Texas, and five to Oklahoma State in Kansas’s most recent game. That road loss at Stillwater saw the Jayhawks shoot 5-of-21 from three for the second time this season. The other time they did that was a three-point win over a Kentucky team having a down year.

The only other performance that bad or worse was in the 25-point loss to Texas when Kansas was 3-of-23 and just 20-of-65 from the field overall. The Jayhawks have played pretty well in most of their games, but it is pretty clear that they aren’t the same caliber of team that Bill Self is used to having in Lawrence.

Of course, all of those narratives could change with a win tonight.

The thing about Kansas this season is that the Jayhawks don’t really stand out in any big way. They’ve played the 28th-ranked strength of schedule and are still a top-30 team in adjusted offensive efficiency and a top-25 team in adjusted defensive efficiency. That being said, they are 211th in 2P% and 118th in 3P% on offense. Defensively, they are above average defending both the two and the three, but don’t really excel in either area.

The Jayhawks are a great offensive rebounding team and Baylor does rank 207th in ORB% against, so some second-chance points could be enough to make this game closer than the line would suggest.
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<h3><strong><u>Baylor Bears</u></strong></h3>
Baylor is a top-five team in both adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency. They’re also third in the nation at forcing turnovers at 26.3%. Kansas, to their credit, has only turned it over on 18.2% of their possessions, which is above average, though not spectacular. Possessions will be huge in this game.

We already highlighted the chances that Kansas can get some offensive rebounds, but Baylor is eighth in the nation in terms of getting back their misses. Those extra possessions between turnovers and ORebs are a big reason why Scott Drew’s team is off to such a dominant 12-0 start. Baylor is even 10-2 against the spread, though they have played the 118th-ranked schedule and played a much weaker non-conference slate than Kansas.

Baylor has not even played what Bart Torvik would term a “close game”. Baylor’s smallest margin of victory was eight points this past weekend against Texas Tech in a 68-60 win. It was the lowest points per possession output for Baylor of the season with .971, but they still easily came away with the victory. Texas Tech did do well on the offensive glass, which should provide some hope for a well-rested Kansas squad that hasn’t played since last Tuesday.

Baylor is fourth in 3P% in the nation at 42.3% and 37th in 2P% at 55.2%. They take a lot of high-quality shots and rank ninth in eFG%. Kansas ranks 175th in eFG%. Baylor is also the all-around better defensive team. When you add it all up statistically and factor in the bodies of work for the two teams, getting to a spread of -9 isn’t that hard to do.
<h3><strong><u>Pick &amp; Analysis</u></strong></h3>
Credit to Baylor for beating two top-15 opponents in Illinois and Texas Tech, but they’ve played one other top-30 opponent, which was Oklahoma at home, and then one other top-100 opponent in TCU. Kansas has played three teams outside the top-100 and one lower-division team. Will the tougher strength of schedule be a reason to back Kansas?

You’d certainly like to play on a historical outlier like this line, but it is fair to wonder just how good this Kansas team is, as most of their better wins have been close and their losses have not been pretty.

Still, Kansas at +9 is a lot to overlook.
<h4><strong>Pick: Kansas +9</strong></h4>
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Kansas vs. Baylor College Basketball Free Pick & Prediction 1/18/21