Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction 8/21/24
The forecast looks good for Wednesday’s Guardians vs. Yankees matchup, with the temperature sitting in the mid-70s and partly cloudy skies in New York. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05 PM ET. BSGL is carrying this one on TV.
New York is the heavy favorite on the money line (-160), and they are looking to end a three-game losing streak. Cleveland, on the other hand, is +136 on the money line and will start Joey Cantillo. The Guardians are 1st in the AL Central, while the Yankees are 2nd in the AL East. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs.
NEW YORK YANKEES VS CLEVELAND GUARDIANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline -160
This game will be played at Yankee Stadium at 7:05 ET on Wednesday, August 21st.
HOW TO BET THE GUARDIANS VS YANKEES:
- We have the Yankees winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Guardians to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Cleveland rallied for six runs in the 12th inning in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians scored two runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up six in the top of the 12th, picking up a 9-5 win over the Yankees. Heading into the game, the Guardians were at +130 on the money line.
Matthew Boyd got the start for the Guardians, going just 5 1/3 innings while giving up three runs and striking out two. Tim Herrin got the win out of the bullpen. Luis Gil only went three innings for the Yankees, giving up three runs on three hits.
Aaron Judge hit the game’s only home run while going 2/5 with three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Juan Soto also had a good game at the plate, going 1/5 with a homer.
Guardians Records & Stats
Cleveland is 73-52 overall this season, putting them 1st in the AL Central. They hold a 3.5-game lead over the Royals for the top spot in the division. The Guardians won the series opener vs. the Yankees and have an overall division record of 21-17 this year.
At home, the Guardians have gone 38-20, and they are above .500 on the road, coming in at 35-32. So far, they have really thrived as the favorite, going 50-26, and they are 23-26 as the underdog. Cleveland’s overall series record is 23-12-5 heading into today’s game.
When the Guardians win, they do so by an average of 3.3 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.1 runs per game. As a result, their run line record is just below .500 at 62-63. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 35-32 against the run line, compared to 27-31 at home.
The Cleveland Guardians are on the road today against the New York Yankees. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is the same as their combined run average. Their over/under record for the season is 59-57, and their average over/under line is 8 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 17-16. So far this season, 25 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 20.0% of their games.
Joey Cantillo is on the mound for the Guardians today as they take on the Yankees. Cantillo has started 3 games this season and has taken the loss in each of his first two outings. He has gone 5 2/3 innings and 4 innings in his two starts, and in his most recent outing, he gave up 2 homers to the Twins.
Over his last seven games, Jhonkensy Noel has three home runs and is hitting .273. Will Brennan has also been swinging a hot bat, going 7/23 in his last seven games. For the season, Noel is batting just .220, while Brennan is at .250.
As a team, the Guardians are 13th in scoring at 4.6 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Cleveland is also one of the best teams in the league at avoiding strikeouts. Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor are the Guardians’ top power hitters, as Ramirez’s 32 homers are 6th in the league, and Naylor is 10th with 27 home runs.
Yankees Records & Stats
The Yankees are 73-53 overall this season, putting them a half-game behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. New York dropped the first game of their series vs. the Guardians and have lost three straight games overall. In the AL East, the Yankees lead the Red Sox by seven games.
At home, the Yankees are 32-28 this season and have been really good on the road, going 41-25. New York is 55-46 as the favorite this season and 18-7 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 23-13-4.
When the Yankees are favored, they are 45-56 on the run line, and they have covered the run line in 21 of 25 games as the underdog. Their average run differential in wins is +4.1, while their average run differential in losses is -3.6.
With a combined run average of 9.3 runs per game, the New York Yankees have seen the over hit in 69 of their 122 games this season, including 27 of 45 when the over/under line was set at 8.5 runs. The over/under line for today’s game against the Cleveland Guardians is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly below the Yankees’ average over/under line of 9 runs per game this season.
New York is starting Nestor Cortes today vs. the Guardians, and he comes into the game with a record of 6-10 and an ERA of 4.20. Cortes has made 25 starts this year and has a WHIP of 1.19. In his 25 appearances, he has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 8.47 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Cortes didn’t allow a run vs. the White Sox, going seven innings and picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts.
So far this season, the Yankees have been the league’s top offense in terms of OPS and on-base percentage. They are also 2nd in home runs and are averaging 5.1 runs per game. This number jumps up to 5.4 when they are on the road. As a team, they are batting .251, which is 8th in the league.
Aaron Judge has been on a tear of late, going 9/24 in his last six games with three homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .332 with a league-leading 114 RBIs and 45 homers. Juan Soto is also having a great season, batting .299 with 35 homers.