Cleveland Cavaliers vs Detroit Pistons Betting Pick & Prediction 3/28/25

The Detroit Pistons (+200) will host the Cleveland Cavaliers (-242) at 7:00 ET in a Central Division matchup. The Pistons (41-32) are currently 5th in the Eastern Conference and have won two straight games. The Cavaliers (59-14) are 1st in the East and have won three in a row.
FDSD will have the TV coverage for this game. The over/under line for the game is 230 points. Cleveland is favored by 6.5 points on the road.
CLEVELAND CAVALIERS VS DETROIT PISTONS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers -6.5
This game will be played at Little Caesars Arena at 7:00 ET on Friday, March 28th.
WHY BET THE CLEVELAND CAVALIERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 140-100 in favor of the Cavaliers.
- Our projections have Donovan Mitchell finishing with 23 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists.
- From the field, we have the Cavaliers finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.6% and knocking down 18 threes.
Will the Cavaliers Secure A Victory as Road Favorites?
The Cavaliers improved to 59-14 on the season with a 124-116 win over the Spurs on Thursday. Cleveland was favored by 14 points but didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total points of 240 went over the line of 236.5.
Cleveland went on an 11-0 run early, pushing the score from 37-30 to 48-30. The Spurs fought back, winning the 2nd and 3rd quarters, but the Cavs pulled away in the 4th, outscoring San Antonio 38-33.
Jarrett Allen’s 29 points and 15 rebounds led the Cavaliers to a win over the Spurs, with Allen scoring 19 points in the 4th quarter. Donovan Mitchell added 25 points and 14 assists, hitting 4 threes at 44.4% from deep, while Max Strus also made 4 threes, shooting 57.1% and finishing with 18 points.
Cleveland connected on 17 threes at a 35.4% rate, with an overall field goal percentage of 46.5%. Allen was nearly perfect from the field, shooting 90.9%.
Defensively, the Cavaliers were strong in the 1st and 2nd quarters, giving up just 24 and 25 points, respectively, but they struggled in the 3rd and 4th, allowing 34 and 33 points. Despite these lapses, they held the Spurs to 40% shooting overall.
From beyond the arc, the Cavaliers limited the Spurs to 32% shooting, with San Antonio making 14 threes. Cleveland also sent the Spurs to the line 21 times, where they made 16 free throws. The Cavaliers recorded 7 steals and 5 blocks in the game.
Can the Pistons Pull the Upset at Home?
The Pistons improved to 41-32 on the season with a dominant 122-96 win over the Spurs on Tuesday. Playing at home, Detroit entered the game as 9-point favorites and covered the spread with a 26-point victory. The total score of 218 points fell short of the 232-point over/under line.
Detroit took control early, going on a 10-0 run to extend their lead from 32-25 to 42-25. They held the Spurs to just 12 points in the 2nd quarter. While San Antonio outscored the Pistons 35-28 in the 3rd quarter, Detroit closed out the game strong, winning the 4th quarter 34-27.
In their win over the Spurs, the Pistons shot 56.4% from the field and hit 15 threes at a 48.4% clip. Marcus Sasser led the way with 27 points, knocking down 5 threes at 71.4% shooting from deep.
Tobias Harris added 15 points, and Jalen Duren contributed 14 points and 7 assists. Ausar Thompson also chipped in 14 points, while Malik Beasley scored 8 of his 13 points in the opening quarter.
The Pistons put on a defensive show against the Spurs, giving up just 96 points while holding San Antonio to 36% shooting. Detroit was especially stingy in the 2nd quarter, allowing only 12 points. The Pistons also limited the Spurs’ three-point shooting, with San Antonio hitting just 14 threes on 31% shooting.
Detroit sent the Spurs to the line 20 times, where they made 16 free throws. The Pistons grabbed 38 defensive rebounds but allowed 16 offensive boards. They also contributed 6 steals and 5 blocks in the game.