Clemson Tigers vs Duke Blue Devils Betting Pick & Prediction 1/27/24

Looking to win big? The Tigers and Blue Devils face off at 4:00 ET on ESPN. The Blue Devils are hosting the game at Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham, NC. The over/under for this Atlantic Coast conference contest is set at 150.5 points, with Duke being favored by -7.5 at home against Clemson.
CLEMSON TIGERS VS DUKE BLUE DEVILS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Clemson Tigers +7.5
This game will be played at Cameron Indoor Stadium at 4:00 ET on Saturday, January 27th.
WHY BET THE CLEMSON TIGERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-69 in favor of the Blue Devils.
- Even though we have Duke winning straight-up, we like Clemson at +7.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 150.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.
Is a Win at Durham Possible for the Tigers?
So far this season, Clemson has been the underdog in four of their 18 games, going 3-1 in those matchups. On the road, the Tigers are 4-3, compared to 9-2 at home.
In their last game, Clemson defeated Florida State, 78-67. Over their last 10 road games, the Tigers have gone 5-5.
As the underdog, Clemson’s ATS record is a perfect 4-0 this season. Overall, the Tigers are 9-8-1 vs. the spread this year. On the road, Clemson is 5-2 ATS, and over their last 10 road games, the Tigers have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.
This season, the over/under record for Clemson games is 12-6. So far, the average point total in their games is 153.8. Today’s over/under line of 150.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (147.9). Over their last three games, the OU record is 2-1, and in their last five games, it is 3-2. On the season, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line.
In their recent game, the Tigers’ offense concluded with 78 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 80.7 points per contest. In terms of three-point shooting, the Tigers offense has been good from outside, hitting 36% of their three-pointers on an average of 23.6 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 48%.
Coming into today’s game, the Clemson defense is giving up an average of 73.1 points per contest. The Clemson defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 67 points and allowed Florida State to connect on 4 threes.
Will the Blue Devils Win at Home?
At home this season, Duke has been dominant, going 10-2 with an average scoring margin of +18.4 points per game. Over their last 10 games at home, the Blue Devils are 9-1. So far this season, Duke has been the favorite in 17 of their 18 games, going 13-4 as the favorite.
Coming off an 83-69 win over Louisville, Duke is now 14-4 overall and 4-2 in Atlantic Coast Conference play. For the season, they have gone 10-2 outside of conference play and 3-2 on the road.
As the favorite, Duke has gone 8-9 against the spread this season, including an ATS mark of 7-5 at home. Over their last three games as the favorite, the Blue Devils are 0-3 ATS and they have gone just 1-4 ATS in their last five games as the favorite.
Today’s over/under line of 150.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Duke’s games this season (146.3). So far, 13 of their games have had a lower over/under line than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0.
The Duke offense is coming off a game where they scored 83 points against Louisville. They posted a field goal percentage of 46% and connected on 9 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Kyle Filipowski, who holds an average of 18.2 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Jeremy Roach is averaging 14.4 points per game this season.
Coming into today’s game, the Duke defense is giving up an average of 67.0 points per contest. In today’s game, the Duke defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 5 three-pointers while giving up 69 points.