Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 9/12/24
At 1:15 PM ET, the Reds and Cardinals face off in an NL Central matchup. This one is being played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, and the Cardinals are the heavy favorite on the money line at -179. The money line odds for a Reds win are sitting at +150, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.
Cincinnati will be looking to get a win and move above .500, as they are currently 71-76. The Cardinals are 3rd in the NL Central and have a record of 73-72. Sonny Gray will start for the Reds, and he is facing off against Jakob Junis for the Cardinals. The game can be seen on BSOH.
CINCINNATI REDS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline +150
This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 1:15 ET on Thursday, September 12th.
HOW TO BET THE REDS VS CARDINALS:
- We have the Reds winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Cardinals vs Reds series. St. Louis went into the matchup as -150 favorites and squeaked out a 2-1 win. Heading into the game, the Cardinals had JoJo Romero on the mound, and he went five innings while giving up just one run and got the win. Ryan Helsley closed things out for St. Louis.
Cincinnati’s starter for the game was Brandon Williamson, who went five innings and gave up one run. He took the loss in the game. Offensively, the Reds were led by Nolan Arenado, who went 1/3 with a home run. Paul Goldschmidt also had two hits and an RBI for the Cardinals.
This game featured a good pitching matchup, as Lance Lynn started for the Cardinals and went five innings while giving up just one run and striking out seven. He didn’t factor into the decision but did finish with a good outing. Heading into the game, the Cardinals had won four of their last five games.
Reds Records & Stats
Cincinnati is 71-76 overall this season, and they are 13.0 games out of first place in the NL Central. So far, they have gone 21-24 in divisional games. The Reds are on the road today, and they are 1.5 games behind the Cardinals for 3rd place in the NL Central.
The Reds have gone 7-3 across their last ten games, and they are 18-26-2 in series this year. As the road underdog, the Reds have gone 23-31 this year, and they are 35-37 overall on the road. At home, the Reds are 36-39 this season. Cincinnati’s series record is 18-26-2 this year.
When betting the Reds on the run line, it’s been profitable to take them as the underdog this season, as they are 53-28. They have covered the run line in four straight games and have a 45-27 record on the run line on the road. The Reds’ average run margin in winning games is 3.7, while it’s -3.2 in losing games.
The Cincinnati Reds are on the road today against the St. Louis Cardinals. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is below their average combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. The Reds have played 122 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, and their over/under record for the season is 67-73. Their current under streak is at five games.
Right-hander Jakob Junis is starting for the Reds today as he faces the Cardinals on the road. He has made 21 appearances this season to go along with three starts. Junis’ record for the season is 4-0, and he has an ERA of 2.82. Looking at his WHIP, it is currently .92. Per nine innings, Junis is averaging 6.88 strikeouts and just 1.24 walks. One issue for Junis has been home runs, as he has allowed six homers. In his last outing, Junis went five innings and didn’t give up a run, finishing with a no-decision. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings.
Elly De La Cruz has been one of the Reds’ top hitters this season but has struggled of late, batting just .120 over his last seven games. De La Cruz leads the team with 23 homers and is 2nd on the team with 65 RBIs. Spencer Steer is also near the top of the league in RBIs, as he is 15th in the league and leads the Reds with 86 RBIs.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game and have been one of the league’s better home run-hitting teams this season. However, they are batting just .232 as a team and have the 24th worst strikeout rate in the league. Currently, Jake Fraley is on a five-game hitting streak for the Reds.
Cardinals Records & Stats
St. Louis is set to host the Reds today with an overall record of 73-72, which has them 3rd in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by 10 games in the division. The Cardinals are 22-25 against other NL Central teams this year.
So far, the Cardinals have been good on the road, going 35-37, and they have been just above .500 at home at 38-35. St. Louis has been the favorite in 69 of their games, and they have an overall record of 34-35 in those games. As for how they have fared as the underdog, they are 39-37.
When betting the run line on the Cardinals this season, it has been more profitable to take them as the underdog, as they are 49-27 against the run line in those games. They have a run line record of 35-38 at home, where they have a scoring margin of -0.3 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 71-74, with an average run differential of -0.4 runs per game.
St. Louis is 11-21 when the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and the over/under record for the season is 69-72. The Cardinals have played in 107 games with over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which is 73.8% of their games. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.6 runs per game, and the average over/under line for their games is set at 8 runs. The under is currently on a two-game winning streak.
Sonny Gray gets the start for the Cardinals today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work. In that outing vs. the Brewers, he finished with a no-decision. Looking back over his last four outings, Gray has finished with a no-decision in three of them. His record for the season is 12-9, and he has an ERA of 3.84. Opposing batters are hitting .216 off Gray this season. Gray’s ERA at home is 2.82 compared to 5.58 on the road. For the year, he has allowed 21 homers.
St. Louis has not been a great offensive team this season, as they are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game. Overall, the Cardinals are 20th in the league in home runs and have a team batting average of .246. Paul Goldschmidt and Alec Burleson are tied for the team lead with 21 homers, with Burleson also leading the team with 73 RBIs.
Over his last six games, Nolan Arenado has gone 6/19 with a home run and three runs scored. He is also on a three-game hitting streak. Jordan Walker has struggled of late, going just 3/18 in his last five games. For the season, Brendan Donovan is batting .270 with 11 homers, and Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .248 with a team-high 59 RBIs.