Cincinnati Reds vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 9/14/24
There is a chance for rain in Minneapolis on Saturday, where the forecasted temperature is 65 degrees. The Reds and Twins are facing off in an interleague matchup at 7:10 PM ET. This one is being played at Target Field in Minneapolis, and the Twins are favored on the money line (-153).
Cincinnati is 72-77 this season, while the Twins are 78-69. Nick Martinez will go for the Reds, while the Twins are sending Simeon Woods Richardson to the mound. MLBN will be televising Saturday’s Reds vs. Twins matchup. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and the under is favored at -119.
MINNESOTA TWINS VS CINCINNATI REDS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline -153
This game will be played at Target Field at 7:10 ET on Saturday, September 14th.
HOW TO BET THE REDS VS TWINS:
- We have the Twins winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Reds to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Cincinnati cruised to an easy 8-4 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 7th inning, scoring six of their eight runs. As for the Twins, they scored their only four runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Reds were at +200 on the money line.
Julian Aguiar pitched well for the Reds in this one, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just three hits and three earned runs. He finished with four strikeouts but issued two walks. Bailey Ober struggled on the mound for the Twins, giving up five earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work.
TJ Friedl and Elly De La Cruz each homered for the Reds, while Spencer Steer scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/4. Jonathan India also had a two-hit game and scored a run.
Reds Records & Stats
Cincinnati is 72-77 overall, putting them 4th in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by 14 games in the division. The Reds are 21-25 against other teams in the NL Central. They took the first game of their series vs. the Twins.
At home, the Reds are 36-39 this year, and they are 36-38 on the road. This season, the Reds are just one game below .500 both as the favorite and as the underdog. As the road underdog, the Reds are 24-32 this year. Heading into today’s game, the Reds’ overall series record is 18-27-3. Over their last ten games, the Reds are 6-4.
When betting on the Reds this season, the run line has been a solid play, with an 81-68 record. They have been especially good on the road, going 46-28 against the run line. In games they have won, they have an average run margin of 3.7 runs, while their average run margin in losses is -3.2 runs.
The Cincinnati Reds have an over/under record of 68-74 this season, and their games have had an average combined run total of 8.7. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 17-15. Overall, 48.3% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, and the average over/under line for their games this season is set at 9 runs.
Right-hander Nick Martinez gets the start for the Reds today as he faces the Twins on the road. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 8-6 with a 3.46 ERA. Martinez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.11, and he has turned in three quality starts. In his 39 appearances, he has a total of 122 1/3 innings pitched. Looking back at his recent outings, Martinez has come away with a win in each of his last two starts. Most recently, he didn’t allow a run in seven innings of work against the Braves. The right-hander has given up just one earned run in each of his last two outings.
Elly De La Cruz comes into the game as the Reds’ leader in home runs and is 2nd on the team in RBIs. However, he has struggled at the plate of late, hitting just .222 over his last 10 games. TJ Friedl has also hit two homers in this stretch, but he has a better batting average at .265. Ty France has been swinging a hot bat, going 12/39 in his last 10 games.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. Overall, they are batting just .232 and are 20th in the league in on-base percentage. Currently, they are 13th in the league in home runs.
Twins Records & Stats
Minnesota is 78-69 overall, and they are 5.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Twins are 3rd in the division and have gone 28-20 in AL Central games this year. They have really struggled as of late, going 3-7 over their last ten and dropped the first game of this series vs. the Reds.
At home, the Twins are 41-32 this season compared to a 37-37 mark on the road. Minnesota has been good as the favorite this season, going 62-40, but they are just 16-29 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 26-17-4.
Minnesota has been a solid run line bet overall, going 68-79, but they have been slightly better on the road, where they are 37-37. They have been a slightly better run line bet as an underdog, going 23-22, compared to 45-57 as a favorite. The Twins have been a better run line bet in their wins, with an average run margin of 3.7, compared to -3.6 in their losses.
The Minnesota Twins are at home today against the Cincinnati Reds, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Twins have a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 74-67. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 22-22. So far this season, 14 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for just 9.5% of their games. Their over streak is currently at three games.
Right-hander Simeon Woods Richardson gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Reds at home. He has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 5-4 with a 3.96 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Woods Richardson has a WHIP of 1.22 and has turned in seven quality starts. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on three hits. Before that, he had pitched at least 4 2/3 innings in four straight outings. So far, he has been much better on the road, coming in with an ERA of 4.0 at home compared to 4.72 on the road.
Carlos Santana has been the Twins’ top power threat this season, as he is 1st on the team with 21 home runs and also leads the team with 63 RBIs. However, he is batting just .239 for the season. Willi Castro is hitting just one point higher than Santana at .248, and he has 11 homers and 54 RBIs. Ryan Jeffers is also near the top of the Twins’ home run and RBI leaderboards, with 20 homers and 61 RBIs.
Kyle Farmer has been hot of late for the Twins, going 7/14 in his last seven games with three homers and five RBIs. Matt Wallner has also homered three times in his last nine games, but he is batting just .250 over that stretch. Carlos Santana is currently on a four-game hitting streak for the Twins.