Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 8/9/24

From American Family Field in Milwaukee, we have the Reds and Brewers facing off in an NL Central matchup. This one gets started at 8:10 PM ET, and APLTV is carrying the game on TV.
The money line odds have the Brewers at -136 compared to the Reds at +115. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and the Brewers are looking to extend their three-game winning streak. Cincinnati is 56-59, and they are 4th in the NL Central, while the Brewers lead the division with a record of 65-49.
CINCINNATI REDS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline +115
This game will be played at American Family Field at 8:10 ET on Friday, August 9th.
HOW TO BET THE REDS VS BREWERS:
- We have the Reds winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Reds Records & Stats
The Reds’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Marlins, closing out their series with a 10-4 win. After scoring two runs in the 1st inning, the Reds added another three runs in the 3rd to really break things open. Cincinnati went on to score another seven runs in the 10th to put things out of reach. Heading into the game, the Reds were the heavy favorite at -183.
Hunter Greene put together a good start for the Reds, going six innings and giving up just three earned runs, and picking up the win. Cincinnati’s offense was carried by TJ Friedl, who went 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Cincinnati is on the road today, taking on the Brewers with an overall record of 56-59. The Reds are 9.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central, and they are 14-15 in divisional matchups this year. Cincinnati won their most recent series, taking three of four from the Marlins.
So far, the Reds have been both good and bad on the road, putting together a record of 28-28. At home, they are 28-31 this season. As the underdog, the Reds are 26-33 this year, compared to 30-26 as the favorite. Heading into today’s game, the Reds have an overall series record of 14-19-3.
The Reds are 35-21 against the run line on the road this season, with an average run margin of +0.9 runs per game. They have a run line record of 61-54 overall, with an average run margin of +0.4 runs per game. They are 26-33 against the run line at home, with an average run margin of -0.1 runs per game. They are 25-31 against the run line as the favorite and 36-23 against the run line as the underdog.
The Cincinnati Reds are on the road today against the Milwaukee Brewers. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly lower than their season average of 9 runs per game. The Reds have gone over the total in 53 of their 111 games this season, and their games have averaged a combined 8.6 runs per game. The over has hit in 12 of their 21 games with an 8.5 run total, and they are currently on a six-game over streak.
Cincinnati is sending Carson Spiers to the mound today as he faces the Brewers on the road. So far this season, he has made seven starts and 12 appearances. Spiers’ record for the season is 4-3, and he has an ERA of 3.59 to go along with a WHIP of 1.16. In his 57 2/3 innings of work, Spiers has given up seven home runs. Looking back at his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Elly De La Cruz and Tyler Stephenson have been swinging the bat well for the Reds of late, with De La Cruz going 13/39 in his last nine games and Stephenson batting .344 with three homers in this stretch. De La Cruz has also gone deep twice in his last nine games, while Stephenson has driven in nine runs. Heading into the game, De La Cruz is batting .269 for the season, and he is the Reds’ leader with 50 RBIs.
Spencer Steer is the Reds’ top home run hitter this season, but he is batting just .228. Jeimer Candelario is also near the top of the league in homers, with 18, but is also batting just .228. Candelario is on a six-game hitting streak, and Tyler Stephenson has gone deep in four straight games.
Brewers Records & Stats
Milwaukee closed out their series vs. the Braves with an impressive 16-7 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +112 on the money line. It was a big third inning that really turned things in their favor, as the Brewers scored three runs in the inning and added another three in the 5th.
Frankie Montas put together a good start for the Brewers, going four innings and giving up just three runs on two hits. He also issued four walks and hit one batter. Milwaukee’s offense was carried by Jackson Chourio, who went 3/5 with two homers and four RBIs.
Milwaukee is hosting the Reds today with an overall record of 65-49, which has them leading the NL Central by seven games over the Cardinals. The Brewers have put together a three-game winning streak, closing out their series vs. the Braves with a win and taking the first two games of the series. In the NL Central, they have gone 23-13 this season.
At home, the Brewers are 31-21 this season and have gone 34-28 on the road. Milwaukee has been good as the favorite this season, putting up a mark of 36-27, and they are 29-22 as the underdog. So far, they have dropped two straight games as the favorite.
The Brewers have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 60-54 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 35-27. As the underdog, they are 35-16 on the run line. Their average run differential on the season is +0.9 runs per game.
The Milwaukee Brewers are at home today against the Cincinnati Reds. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly below their combined run average of 8.9. The Brewers have hit the over in 63 of their 109 games this season, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 24-18. The over has hit in three straight games for Milwaukee.
Right-hander Aaron Civale gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces off against the Reds at home. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 2-8 with a 5.14 ERA. Looking back at his last outing, Civale took the loss, giving up five earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had turned in three straight outings with no more than two earned runs allowed. Opponents are batting .268 off Civale this year, and he has a total of four quality starts.
As a team, the Brewers are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 7th in the league. They have been a very consistent offensive team, as they are also 5th in home runs and 3rd in batting average. Milwaukee also leads the league in on-base percentage and has the 7th best OPS in the league. One area they could improve is their isolated power, as they are just 17th in the league in this category.
Willy Adames has been a big power threat for the Brewers this season, as his 20 home runs are the most on the team and 13th in the league. He is also 10th in the league with 76 RBIs. Adames has also been hot of late, going 8/24 with three homers over his last six games. Rhys Hoskins is also near the top of the league in homers, but he has a batting average of just .229.