Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 8/8/24

Thursday’s Reds vs. Marlins matchup has a first pitch set for 6:10 PM ET from loanDepot Park in Miami. The Reds are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -194 compared to the Marlins at +161. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.

BSFL will be televising this NL matchup, and Hunter Greene will be on the mound for the Reds, while the Marlins are starting Kyle Tyler. Cincinnati is 5th in the NL Central, and the Marlins are 5th in the NL East.

CINCINNATI REDS VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 7.5 Runs

This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 6:10 ET on Thursday, August 8th.

HOW TO BET THE REDS VS MARLINS:

• We have the Reds winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Miami picked up a 6-4 win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins had a huge 1st inning, scoring five of their six runs. As for the Reds, they scored four of their six runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Marlins were the slight underdogs at +106.

Valente Bellozo got the win for the Marlins, going 5 2/3 innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued two walks. On the other side, Andrew Abbott had a rough outing for the Reds, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up six runs.

Jake Burger was the difference for the Marlins, as he homered twice, scored two runs, and finished with two RBIs. Derek Hill and Jonah Bride each had two hits and an RBI for Miami’s offense.

Reds Records & Stats

Cincinnati is 55-59 overall, and they are 9.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Reds have gone 14-15 in divisional games this year. As they take on the Marlins today, they are on the road with an overall road record of 27-28.

So far, the Reds have gone 29-26 as the favorite and 26-33 as the underdog. Cincinnati has been really good as the road favorite, going 10-5 this year. This season, the Reds are 13-20-3 in series, and they are leading their current series 2-1.

The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 60-54 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 34-21 against the run line. Their average run margin on the road is +0.8 runs per game, compared to -0.1 runs per game at home. Cincinnati has been a better bet as the underdog, going 36-23 against the run line in those games.

The Cincinnati Reds are on the road today facing the Miami Marlins with an over/under line of 7.5 runs. The combined run average in Reds games this season is 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 52-58. The average over/under line in Reds games this season is 9 runs, but when the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 7-10. The over has hit in their last five games.

Hunter Greene has been pitching well for the Reds, as he comes into the game with a record of 8-4 and an ERA of 2.83. In his 22 starts, Greene has one complete game and 11 quality starts. His ERA on the road is 2.07, and he has a record of 4-1 away from home. The right-hander most recently faced the Giants, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up one hit and one walk. Greene finished that outing with 11 strikeouts. Looking back further, he has not allowed a run in his last three outings.

Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Reds, going 8/25 in his last six games with two homers and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .265 with 20 homers and 50 RBIs. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also near the top of the Reds’ home run leaderboard, but they are hitting just .226 and .229, respectively.

As a team, the Reds are 9th in home runs and are averaging 4.4 runs per game. This is good enough for 14th in the league. So far, they have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per game.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is 43-72 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, 25.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 11-23 in divisional games. The Marlins are closing out their series vs. the Reds today, and they have an overall series record of 10-21-5 this year.

At home, the Marlins are 23-36 this year, and they are 20-36 on the road. This season, the Marlins are just 4-13 when favored and 39-59 as the underdog. Miami’s overall record is 4-6 over their last 10 games.

When the Marlins win, they do so by an average of 2.8 runs per game, which is why they have a run line record of 54-61. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.8 runs per game. Miami is 26-33 against the run line at home, where they have a scoring margin of -1.5 runs per game.

The Miami Marlins have been a consistent over team this season, with a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game. Their over/under record is 63-49, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs per game. When the line has been set at 7.5 runs, they have gone over in 17 of 23 games. Today’s line is set at 7.5 runs, and the over has hit in their last three games.

Miami is sending Kyle Tyler to the mound today vs. the Reds, and he will be looking to rebound from a rough outing vs. the Braves. In that start, he went just 2 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, and taking the loss. Tyler has made six starts and seven appearances this season, and his record is 0-2 with a 5.27 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .291 off Tyler this season, and his WHIP is 1.76. For the year, he has allowed three homers and is averaging 5.27 walks per nine innings compared to 7.24 strikeouts.

For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. Their team batting average of .238 is just 15th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and slugging. Miami’s top home run hitter is Jake Burger, who has 19 long balls this season, which is 14th in the league.

Over his last six games, Jake Burger has four home runs while going 6/25 (.240). Xavier Edwards has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 9/25 in his last six games. Josh Bell is currently on a seven-game hitting streak for the Marlins, while Emmanuel Rivera and Bryan De La Cruz are both on five-game streaks.