Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 5/13/24
At 9:40 PM ET, the Reds and Diamondbacks will face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Chase Field in Phoenix and features a Reds club that is 17-23 compared to the Diamondbacks at 19-22. Arizona is sending Jordan Montgomery to the mound vs. Graham Ashcraft for the Reds.
Looking at the money line odds, the Diamondbacks are at -148 compared to the Reds at +125. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and Arizona comes in with a two-game winning streak.
CINCINNATI REDS VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline +125
This game will be played at Chase Field at 9:40 ET on Monday, May 13th.
HOW TO BET THE REDS VS DIAMONDBACKS:
- We have the Reds winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Reds Records & Stats
The Reds will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Giants with a 6-5 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Giants scored a run in the bottom of the 9th to pick up the win. Cincinnati was the +105 underdog on the road going into the game.
Frankie Montas had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on seven hits and issuing three walks. The Reds also wasted a big game from Mike Ford, who homered in the 3rd inning, going 1/5.
Cincinnati is on the road today vs. the Diamondbacks, and they are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, as they are 17-23 overall. The Reds are 4th in the NL Central, seven games behind the Brewers. So far, they are 1-2 in divisional games this year.
At home, the Reds are 9-13 this year, and they are just above .500 at 8-10 on the road. As the favorite, Cincinnati is 10-10 but just 7-13 as the underdog. The Reds’ overall series record is 4-8-1, and they have dropped five straight series.
When the Reds win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.1 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.3 runs. Overall, they are just under even on the run line at 19-21, but they have been better on the road, going 11-7 against the run line. They have covered the run line in two straight games as an underdog.
Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is slightly below the average line for Reds games this season, which has been set at 9 runs per game. Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total 19 times and under 19 times this season, with a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the Reds have gone over twice and under three times this season.
Cincinnati is sending right-hander Graham Ashcraft to the mound today vs. the Diamondbacks. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 3-2 with a 3.86 ERA. Ashcraft’s WHIP for the season is 1.34, and opponents are batting .252 off him this year. In his 39 2/3 innings of work, Ashcraft has turned in three quality starts. The right-hander’s last outing came on May 8th, where he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss.
Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Reds, going 5/19 in his last five games with a home run and two RBIs. Overall, he is batting .262 for the season and is the team’s leader in home runs. Cincinnati will also be looking for more production out of Jeimer Candelario, who is batting just .211 for the season but has gone 7/20 in his last five games.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. Their team batting average of .215 is 21st in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of on-base percentage and slugging. Currently, Spencer Steer is on a four-game hitting streak and is batting .248 for the season.
Diamondbacks Records & Stats
The Diamondbacks’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Orioles, closing out their series with a 9-2 win. After allowing two runs to the Orioles in the 1st inning, the Diamondbacks responded with a run of their own. Arizona then added another six runs in the 2nd inning.
Starting for the Diamondbacks was Zac Gallen, who picked up the win and went six innings, giving up just two runs on four hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
Arizona opens their series vs. the Reds with a record of 19-22, which has them 3rd in the NL West. Currently, they trail the Padres by 2 games for the 2nd spot in the division and are 7.5 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. This year, they have gone 9-8 in divisional games.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 9-10 this season compared to 10-12 on the road. So far, they have been a bit better as the underdog, where they are 10-14. Arizona is 4-8-1 in series record and have lost three straight series at home.
The Diamondbacks have been a very profitable team to bet on in run line games this season, as they are 21-20 overall. They are 9-10 at home and 12-10 on the road. They have a run differential of +0.4 runs per game overall, and +0.7 on the road, compared to +0.1 at home. They are 7-10 vs. the run line as the favorite, and 14-10 as the underdog.
The Diamondbacks have had a high-scoring season so far, with a combined run average of 9.6 runs per game. Their over/under record is 17-22, and they have gone over the line in 6 of the 11 games where the line was set at 8.5 runs. Overall, 48.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, and their over streak is at 2 games.
Jordan Montgomery is taking the mound for the Diamondbacks at home against the Reds. He has started 2 games this season, picking up a win in his last start against the Reds. In that outing, he went 7 innings, giving up 2 earned runs and striking out 7. He also has a start against the Dodgers, where he went 3 innings and gave up 6 runs.
Arizona has been one of the league’s best offenses so far this season, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks are also among the league leaders in home runs and have the 8th best team batting average. As a team, the Diamondbacks are 5th in the league in fewest strikeouts.
Both Ketel Marte and Christian Walker have been swinging the bat well for the Diamondbacks this season, with Marte leading the team with a .293 batting average and Walker not far behind at .265. Marte has also gone deep four times in his last nine games, and he is currently on a 13-game hitting streak. Walker is 9th in the league with 27 RBIs.