Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens Betting Pick & Prediction 11/7/24
The Ravens are favored on the money line at -266 as they host the Bengals at 8:15 ET on Thursday, November 7th. The game is being televised by AMZN, and the over/under line is sitting at 53 points. The Ravens are -6 point favorites on the point spreads, and both teams need to add to their records. The game is being played at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD.
CINCINNATI BENGALS VS BALTIMORE RAVENS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Bengals +6
This game will be played at M&T Bank Stadium at 8:15 ET on Thursday, November 7th.
WHY BET THE CINCINNATI BENGALS:
- We have the Ravens winning this one by a score of 30 to 26
- Even though we like the Ravens to win, our ATS pick is to take the Bengals at +6
- Look for this game to go over the line of 53 points
Will The Bengals Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
With a 4-5 record, the Bengals sit 15th in our power rankings and have a 35.6% chance of making the playoffs. They are 3-1 on the road this season but just 1-4 at home. In division games, Cincinnati is 1-1, putting them 3rd in the AFC North.
Against the spread, the Bengals are 5-4, including a 7-point win over the Raiders in week 9, covering as 7.5-point favorites. The over hit in that game, and the Bengals’ O/U record is 6-3 this season. Their games have averaged 51.4 points, compared to an average line of 45.4.
Joe Burrow is coming off a 5-touchdown performance in week 9, throwing for 251 yards (27/39) against the Raiders. He posted a passer rating of 115, marking an improvement from week 8’s 84. Burrow’s top target in week 9 was Mike Gesicki, who had 5 catches for 100 yards and 2 touchdowns. Chase Brown also had a strong game, rushing for 120 yards on 27 carries.
Heading into week 10, the Bengals rank 7th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 26.2. They are 17th in yards per game (330.6) and 7th in passing yards per game (236.3). On 3rd down, they have a conversion rate of 46.9%, which ranks 3rd in the league.
In their 41-24 win over the Raiders, the Bengals’ defense allowed just 60 rushing yards on 21 attempts and limited Las Vegas to 217 total yards. They recorded five sacks and held the Raiders to a 38.5% conversion rate on third down. Despite giving up 157 passing yards, the Bengals allowed just one touchdown and held the Raiders to 4.8 yards per attempt.
The Bengals’ pass rush was effective, winning the quarterback hit and tackles for loss differentials in this game. This was a big factor in their ability to keep the Raiders in check offensively and secure the win.
Are The Ravens Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
After a week 8 loss to the Browns, the Ravens bounced back with a 41-10 win over the Broncos in week 9, improving their record to 6-3. Baltimore was a 9-point favorite and easily covered the spread, with the 51 combined points going over the 46.5-point line. The Ravens are 5-3-1 against the spread this season and have an O/U record of 8-1, with the over hitting in 5 straight games.
Heading into week 10, our power rankings have the Ravens 2nd, and they have a 96.6% chance of making the playoffs and a 63.4% chance of winning the AFC North. They are 3-1 at home and 3-2 on the road, and their +7.1 scoring margin ranks 5th in the NFL.
Heading into week 10, the Ravens hold the top spot in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in yards per game (445.9) and are 2nd in scoring, averaging 31.4 points per game. Despite ranking 22nd in passing attempts, Baltimore is 3rd in passing yards per game (254). Lamar Jackson has been outstanding, posting a passer rating of 158 in week 9, with 280 yards and 3 touchdowns on 16/19 passing.
On the ground, the Ravens are 3rd in rushing attempts and lead the league with 191.9 rushing yards per game. Derrick Henry rushed for 106 yards and 2 touchdowns on 23 carries in week 9. Baltimore ranks 5th in 3rd-down conversions and is 29th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 2nd in red zone attempts.
In their most recent game, the Ravens’ defense was dominant, coming away with four sacks and holding the Broncos to just 10 points in a 41-10 victory. They limited Denver to 197 passing yards on 20 completions and intercepted one pass. The Ravens also defended the run well, allowing just 4.1 yards per attempt and 122 rushing yards on 30 attempts.
Opponents struggled on third down against Baltimore, converting just 42.9% of their attempts. The Ravens also held Denver to 319 total yards and finished with four quarterback hits and one interception.