Chicago White Sox vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 7/5/24
From loanDepot Park in Miami, we have the White Sox and Marlins facing off in an interleague matchup. This one gets started at 7:10 PM ET, and NBCS is carrying it on TV. The money line odds have the White Sox at -104 compared to the Marlins at -115. The over/under line is at 8 runs.
Chicago is currently 5th in the AL Central, while the Marlins are 5th in the NL East. Drew Thorpe is starting for the White Sox, and the Marlins are sending Bryan Hoeing to the mound.
MIAMI MARLINS VS CHICAGO WHITE SOX BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline -115
This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 7:10 ET on Friday, July 5th.
HOW TO BET THE WHITE SOX VS MARLINS:
- We have the Marlins winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Marlins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
White Sox Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Guardians, the White Sox closed out the series with an 8-4 loss. Chicago was the +193 underdog on the money line. Things started off well for the White Sox, as they got on the board with a run in the 2nd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Guardians scored four times in the bottom of the second.
Jared Shuster got the start for the White Sox and took the loss. He only lasted two innings, giving up six earned runs. Offensively, the White Sox scored their other three runs in the 6th but could only cut the Guardians lead to 8-4. Lenyn Sosa had a big game at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Chicago is on the road today vs. the Marlins, and they are 25-64 overall, putting them 5th in the AL Central. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 7-23. Looking at how far back they are in the division, the White Sox trail the Guardians by 31 games.
The White Sox have really struggled on the road this year, going 9-35 compared to a 16-29 mark at home. Chicago has really had a tough time as the underdog, going 20-63 this year. As for their record when favored, they are 5-1. Chicago’s overall series record is 6-21-2, and they lost their most recent series, dropping two games to the Guardians.
Chicago has been a good bet against the run line this season, going 41-48. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 19-25 against the run line, compared to 22-23 at home. The White Sox have been a good bet as the underdog, going 36-47 against the run line in those games. Their average run differential in games they win is +3.1, while their average run differential in losses is -3.7.
Chicago White Sox games have gone over the total in five straight games, and the team’s over/under record for the season is 41-45. The average over/under line for White Sox games this season is 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 10-5-1. Their games have had an average combined run total of 8.2 runs per game this season.
Getting the start for the White Sox today is Drew Thorpe, who has picked up wins in his first two starts of the season. He has been very effective, as he has yet to allow an earned run this season. He has 9 strikeouts over 11 innings of work and has only given up 4 hits.
Chicago’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.2 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the MLB. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a collective batting average of just .221. One of the few bright spots in the lineup has been Andrew Vaughn, who is hitting .244 for the season with 11 homers, which is 2nd on the team and 15th in the league. Vaughn also leads the team with 41 RBIs.
Luis Robert Jr. and Lenyn Sosa have both been swinging the bat well of late, with Robert hitting .289 and Sosa hitting .353 over their last nine games. Robert Jr. has three homers in this stretch, while Sosa has gone deep twice.
Marlins Records & Stats
The Marlins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Red Sox with a 6-5 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 11th inning before the Red Sox scored two runs in the top of the 11th. Miami was the +133 underdog at home going into the game.
Kyle Tyler put together a good start for the Marlins, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just two runs on three hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and didn’t issue a walk. However, the Marlins couldn’t close things out, and Matt Andriese took the loss out of the bullpen. Jesus Sanchez had a big game at the plate, going 3/5 with a homer and two RBIs.
Miami is 5th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 27 games. Overall, the Marlins are 30-57 and have lost four straight games. So far, they are just 7-19 in divisional games.
At home, the Marlins are 16-30 compared to 14-27 on the road. As the underdog, the Marlins are 27-45 this season, but they are just 3-12 when favored. Miami’s overall series record is 7-19-2, and they were swept in their most recent series vs. the Red Sox.
The Marlins have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 21-20. Their overall run line record is 38-49, but they have been a poor bet at home, going just 17-29. Miami’s average run margin is -1.6 runs per game, and they have been an underdog in 72 of their 83 games.
The Miami Marlins are at home today against the Chicago White Sox, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Marlins’ games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 46-40. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 11-8-1. So far this season, 48.3% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and they are currently on a 4-game over streak.
Miami is starting Bryan Hoeing today, and he has made 11 appearances out of the bullpen this season. Hoeing’s ERA is 1.83, and he has a record of 0-0. The right-hander has not taken a loss or earned a win this season, finishing with a no-decision in all of his outings. Hoeing most recently pitched on May 1st, where he went 1 2/3 innings, giving up one hit and no runs. He didn’t give up a hit in that outing. Per nine innings, Hoeing has 7.32 strikeouts and 2.29 walks. Hoeing has finished with a no-decision in three straight outings.
For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3 runs per contest. As a team, the Marlins are batting just .231, and their on-base percentage of .280 is also the worst in the MLB.
Bryan De La Cruz has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as his 15 home runs are 11th in the league. He is also the team’s leader in RBIs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has also been a solid power threat, with 10 homers this season. Over his last seven games, Jesús Sánchez has gone 9/24 with two homers and four RBIs. He is also on a three-game hitting streak.