Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 7/3/24

At 6:40 PM ET, the White Sox and Guardians square off in an AL Central matchup. This one is being played at Progressive Field in Cleveland, and the Guardians are heavily favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -190 compared to the White Sox at +161. The over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs.

Chicago comes in with a record of 24-63 and will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak. The Guardians are 1st in the AL Central with a record of 53-30.

CHICAGO WHITE SOX VS CLEVELAND GUARDIANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs

This game will be played at Progressive Field at 6:40 ET on Wednesday, July 3rd.

HOW TO BET THE WHITE SOX VS GUARDIANS:

• We have the Guardians winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the White Sox to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Cleveland picked up a 7-6 win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a two-run lead going into the 9th inning, and the White Sox could only muster one run in their half of the 9th. Heading into the game, the Guardians were favored at -215 on the money line.

Carlos Carrasco started for the Guardians and went six innings while giving up three runs and striking out seven. He picked up a win in the game, while Emmanuel Clase closed things out. Chris Flexen got the start for the White Sox, going six innings and giving up three earned runs.

Luis Robert Jr. hit the game’s only home run while going 2/4 with four RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Tyler Freeman had a two-hit game for the Guardians, scoring twice and driving in two runs.

White Sox Records & Stats

At 24-63, the White Sox are 31 games out of the AL Central lead, which is currently held by the Guardians. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 6-22. Chicago has dropped two straight games, and they trail the Guardians in the series 1-0.

Chicago has been the underdog in most of their games this year, and they are just 5-1 as the favorite. As the road underdog, the White Sox are 8-34 this year. They have really struggled on the road overall, going 8-34 compared to 16-29 at home. This season, they are 9-27 in day games and 15-36 in night games.

Chicago is 40-47 against the run line this season, including a 22-23 mark at home. The White Sox have a run differential of -1.9 runs per game this season, with an average run differential of -1.3 runs per game at home and -2.5 runs per game on the road. They are 18-24 against the run line on the road this season, but have covered in two straight games as an underdog.

The Chicago White Sox are on the road against the Cleveland Guardians today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for White Sox games this season is 8.1 runs, and their over/under record is 39-45. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 9-10. Overall, 21.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their current over streak is at three games.

Right-hander Erick Fedde gets the start for the White Sox today as he faces off against the Guardians on the road. He has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 5-3 with a 3.23 ERA. Fedde’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.14. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of those wins came on the road. Fedde has a better ERA at home (1.72) compared to on the road (4.78).

Chicago’s offense has really struggled this season, as they are last in the league in OPS and are also the league’s worst team in terms of batting average on balls in play. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and team batting average. Overall, they are averaging just 3.1 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league.

Andrew Vaughn has been the White Sox’s most consistent hitter this season, batting .244 with 11 home runs. He is also on a five-game hitting streak. Paul DeJong has also been a solid power threat, as he has 15 homers this season and is 2nd on the team with 34 RBIs. Luis Robert Jr. has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/32 in his last eight games with three homers.

Guardians Records & Stats

Cleveland is 53-30 overall this season, putting them 1st in the AL Central. They lead the Twins by six games. The Guardians have gone 13-9 against other teams in the AL Central. At home, the Guardians are 27-9 this year and 26-21 on the road.

So far, the Guardians have won the first game of their series vs. the White Sox. This season, they are 24-8 as the home favorite and 37-16 overall as the favorite. Cleveland’s home win streak is currently at six games, and they are 22-9 in day games this year. Looking at their overall record, the Guardians are 6-4 over their last 10.

When betting the run line, the Cleveland Guardians have been a solid play, going 46-37 overall. They are 20-16 at home and 26-21 on the road. They have been an underdog in 30 games, going 20-10 in those contests. The Guardians have an average run margin of 1.2 runs per game this season.

Today’s over/under line for the Cleveland Guardians’ game against the Chicago White Sox is set at 8.5 runs. The Guardians have a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 40-37, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 8-12. So far this season, 24.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Gavin Williams is coming off a season in which he made 16 starts and finished with a record of 3-5. His ERA for the season was 3.29, and he had a WHIP of 1.26. Williams allowed a batting average of .214 and an on-base percentage of .303. His slugging percentage allowed was .360, and he finished the season with an OPS allowed of .663. Williams had four quality starts and one complete game. For the season, he averaged 8.89 strikeouts per nine innings and 2.3 walks per game.

Heading into today’s game, the Guardians are 5th in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, where they are averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 12th in the league, and have the 8th best slugging percentage in the MLB. Cleveland has been tough to strike out this season, and they are also near the top of the league in isolated power.

Jose Ramirez has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/38 in his last nine games with four homers and nine RBIs. For the season, he is batting .276 with 23 homers and 76 RBIs. His 76 RBIs are 2nd in the league. Josh Naylor is also near the top of the league in RBIs, as his 61 is 6th best in the MLB. Naylor has 20 homers this season, but is batting just .242.