Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 7/3/24

From loanDepot Park in Miami, we have the Red Sox and Marlins facing off in an interleague matchup. This one gets started at 6:40 PM ET and is being televised by BSFL. The Red Sox are the betting favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -143 compared to the Marlins at +122. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.

Boston comes in with a record of 45-39 and they are 3rd in the AL East. The Marlins are 5th in the NL East with an overall record of 30-55. Miami will be looking to end a two-game losing streak, while the Red Sox have won two in a row. Wednesday’s starting pitching matchup features Brayan Bello for the Red Sox and Trevor Rogers for the Marlins.

BOSTON RED SOX VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -143

This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 6:40 ET on Wednesday, July 3rd.

HOW TO BET THE RED SOX VS MARLINS:

• We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

It was all Boston in the last game of this series, as the Red Sox took down the Marlins by a score of 8-3. The Red Sox offense only had two more hits than the Marlins and struck out 11 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -163 on the money line.

Miami got on the board first with two runs in the 1st inning, but the Red Sox responded with two runs of their own in the 2nd and took the lead for good with three more runs in the 4th. As for the Marlins, they scored their final run in the 5th.

Kutter Crawford got the win for the Red Sox, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but did not issue a walk. Valente Bellozo had a rough outing for the Marlins, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up five earned runs.

Red Sox Records & Stats

Boston is 45-39 overall and trails the Orioles by 8.5 games in the AL East. They will be on the road today vs. the Marlins, and they lead the series 1-0. The Red Sox took the series opener and have won two straight games overall.

At home, the Red Sox are 20-23 this year and have gone 25-16 on the road. As the road favorite, the Red Sox are 11-3 this year, and they are 24-18 as the favorite overall. Boston has an even 21-21 record when they are the underdog.

When it comes to the run line, the Red Sox have been a better bet on the road than at home this season. They are 24-17 against the run line on the road, compared to 15-28 at Fenway Park. Their average run margin on the road is +1.4, compared to -0.6 at home. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 25-17 against the run line as the underdog this season.

The Boston Red Sox are on the road today against the Miami Marlins. The O/U line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is right around their season average of 8.8 combined runs per game. The Red Sox have played 79 games this season, and their O/U record is 40-39. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, their record is 8-5-2. So far this season, 59.5% of their games have had O/U lines set at more than 8 runs.

Right-hander Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Marlins on the road. Bello has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 7-5 with an ERA of 5.55. Looking at his overall numbers, Bello has a WHIP of 1.47 and has issued 3.66 walks per nine innings compared to 8.07 strikeouts. In his last outing, Bello took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Bello has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .254, which is the 7th best mark in the league. Boston has been very good at putting the ball in play this season, as they have the fewest strikeouts in the league.

Over the team’s last nine games, both Jarren Duran and Rafael Devers have gone deep four times, with Duran hitting .368 and Devers batting .353. Devers is also the team’s top power threat, with 18 homers so far. Devers is also the team’s top run producer, with 47 RBIs.

Marlins Records & Stats

The Marlins are 30-55 overall and trail the Phillies by 26 games in the NL East. Miami has lost two straight games and is just 7-19 against other teams in the NL East. So far, they have gone 16-28 at home compared to 14-27 on the road.

As the underdog, the Marlins are 27-43 this season, which includes going 13-16 at home. Miami has struggled as the favorite, putting together a mark of just 3-12 this year. Heading into today’s game, the Marlins’ series record is 7-18-2.

The Marlins have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 37-48 overall. They have been an even better bet on the road, going 21-20 against the run line. As the underdog, they are 36-34 against the run line. They have been a bad bet as the favorite, going just 1-14 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.7, while it is -3.9 in losing games.

The Miami Marlins are 44-40 over/under this season, and the over has hit in two straight games. The over/under line for today’s game against the Boston Red Sox is set at 8 runs. The Marlins’ games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, and when the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their games have gone over the total 9 times, under 8 times, and pushed once. Overall, 49.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at more than 8 runs.

Marlins starter Trevor Rogers finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Most recently, he faced the Phillies on June 27th and gave up three earned runs in six innings of work. Rogers has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 1-8. His ERA is 4.87, and opponents are batting .277 this season. The left-hander has a WHIP of 1.56 and has issued 3.98 walks per nine innings at home compared to 6.85 on the road. Rogers has a total of 10 home runs allowed this season.

So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .231, and their on-base percentage of .279 is also the worst in the league.

Bryan De La Cruz is the Marlins’ top power threat, as he is 12th in the league with 15 homers and leads the team with 40 RBIs. However, he is batting just .239 for the season. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has a better average at .256 and is 2nd on the team with 10 homers. Over his last seven games, Nick Gordon is hitting .296, and he is also on a seven-game hitting streak.