Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 7/2/24

Carlos Carrasco and the Cleveland Guardians are the heavy favorite on the money line today, as their odds are sitting at -204 compared to the White Sox, who are +173. This AL Central matchup has an over/under line of 9 runs, and the game is being played at 6:40 PM ET from Progressive Field in Cleveland.

Chicago comes in with a record of 24-62 and they are starting Chris Flexen. Cleveland is currently 52-30 and is first in the AL Central. BSGL will be televising this game, and the Guardians are the favorite to win the division at +204.

CHICAGO WHITE SOX VS CLEVELAND GUARDIANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 9 Runs

This game will be played at Progressive Field at 6:40 ET on Tuesday, July 2nd.

HOW TO BET THE WHITE SOX VS GUARDIANS:

• We have the Guardians winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Guardians to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

White Sox Records & Stats

The White Sox will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rockies with a 5-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Rockies scored a run in the top of the 9th. Chicago was the -217 favorite at home going into the game.

Garrett Crochet was excellent for the White Sox, going seven innings and giving up just two runs on five hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out 11 Rockies batters. However, the White Sox’s bullpen couldnjson’t close things out, and Michael Soroka took the loss out of the bullpen. The White Sox also wasted a big game from Andrew Vaughn, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 3/4.

Chicago is 5th in the AL Central with a record of 24-62, putting them 30 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 6-21 this year. The White Sox have been really bad on the road, putting together an 8-33 mark compared to a 16-29 record at home.

When playing as the underdog, the White Sox are 19-61 this season, and they are 5-1 as the favorite. Chicago has won two straight series, taking two of three from the Rockies in their most recent series. So far, their series record is 6-19-2.

When the White Sox win, they do so by an average of 3.0 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.8 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 39-47, and they are 17-24 vs. the run line on the road. As the favorite, they are 5-1 vs. the run line, but as the underdog, they are 34-46.

The Chicago White Sox are on the road facing the Cleveland Guardians today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The combined run average for White Sox games this season is 8.1 runs, and their over/under record is 38-45. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9 runs, their record is 4-9-1. So far this season, only 4.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, and their over streak is at 2 games.

Right-hander Chris Flexen gets the start for the White Sox today as he faces the Guardians on the road. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 2-7 with a 5.13 ERA. Flexen’s WHIP for the season is 1.41. Looking back at his last outing, Flexen took the loss vs. the Dodgers, giving up four earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. He has allowed at least two home runs in three of his last four outings. Opponents are batting .255 off Flexen this season.

Chicago’s offense has been the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.1 runs per game. This is also where they rank in terms of home runs, and they are also near the bottom of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and OPS. The team’s collective batting average is just .220, and they have an on-base percentage of only .281.

Andrew Vaughn has been swinging the bat well of late, going 6/15 in his last five games with a home run and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .244 with 10 homers. Paul DeJong has gone deep 15 times this season, but he is batting just .236. He has gone deep 15 times this season, but he is batting just .236.

Guardians Records & Stats

The Guardians wrapped up their series vs. the Royals with a 6-2 loss on the road. Cleveland was the +112 underdog going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Guardians, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Royals scored in the bottom of the first.

Logan Allen got the start for the Guardians and took the loss. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on six hits. Offensively, the Guardians scored their only other run in the 2nd inning and added another two runs in the 8th.

Cleveland is hosting the White Sox today with an overall record of 52-30, which has them leading the AL Central by six games. The Guardians hold a six-game lead over the Twins in the division and are 12-9 in divisional matchups. At home, the Guardians are 26-9 this year and 26-21 on the road.

So far, the Guardians have been really good in day games, going 21-9, and they are 36-16 as the favorite this year. As for their record as the underdog, the Guardians are 16-14. They come into today’s game having won five straight at home, and their overall series record is 17-7-2. Cleveland lost three of four in their series vs. the Royals.

When betting the run line, the Guardians have been a good play at home this season, going 20-15. Their average run margin at home is 1.5 runs per game, compared to 1.0 runs per game on the road. As an underdog, they have been particularly strong against the run line, going 20-10. Overall, the Guardians have a run line record of 46-36, with an average run margin of 1.2 runs per game.

Today’s over/under line of 9 runs is higher than the Cleveland Guardians’ average combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season. The Guardians have played 63 games with lower over/under lines than 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 4-7-2. Overall, the Guardians have a 39-37 over/under record this season.

Right-hander Carlos Carrasco gets the start for the Guardians today as he faces the White Sox at home. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 3-6 with a 5.27 ERA. In his 14 appearances, Carrasco has turned in three quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Carrasco finished with a no-decision against the Orioles, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had taken the loss in two straight outings. Carrasco’s ERA on the road is 5.94 compared to 5.04 at home.

Jose Ramirez has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Guardians, going 10/29 in his last seven games with four homers and nine RBIs. For the season, he is batting .280 with 23 homers and 76 RBIs, which is 2nd in the MLB. Josh Naylor is also near the top of the league in homers, as his 20 long balls are 6th in the league.

As a team, the Guardians are 5th in the league in runs scored, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Overall, they are 8th in home runs and have the 12th best team batting average in the league.