Chicago White Sox vs Chicago Cubs Betting Pick & Prediction 6/4/24
From Wrigley Field in Chicago, we have the White Sox and Cubs facing off in an interleague matchup. Tuesday’s game is set to get started at 8:05 PM ET, and NBCS will be televising it.
The Cubs are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -297, while the White Sox are +244 underdogs. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and Chris Flexen is starting for the White Sox, while the Cubs are going with Shota Imanaga. Chicago (AL) is 15-45, while the Cubs are 29-31.
CHICAGO WHITE SOX VS CHICAGO CUBS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Chicago White Sox Moneyline +244
This game will be played at Wrigley Field at 8:05 ET on Tuesday, June 4th.
HOW TO BET THE WHITE SOX VS CUBS:
- We have the White Sox winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the White Sox to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
White Sox Records & Stats
Chicago closed out their series vs. the Brewers with a 6-3 loss on the road. Heading into the game, the White Sox were at +279 on the money line. Things started off well for the White Sox, as they got on the board with two runs in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Brewers scored four times in the 2nd.
Nick Nastrini had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on three hits and issuing three walks. The White Sox’s offense scored their only other run in the 4th inning on a home run by Paul DeJong but went on to lose 6-3.
With an overall record of 15-45, the White Sox are in 5th place in the AL Central, 24.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The White Sox come in having lost 11 straight games, and they are just 5-19 against other teams in the AL Central. At home, the White Sox are 10-21 compared to a 5-24 mark on the road.
Chicago will be looking to snap their losing streak today on the road, and they are just 5-24 as the road underdog this season. The White Sox have dropped five straight series and their overall series record is 4-14-1 this year. So far, they have yet to win a series at home.
Chicago White Sox run line record as underdog is 22-36, and their average run margin in losing games is -3.9. They are 9-20 against the run line on the road this season, and their run line record is 24-36 overall. Their average run margin is -2.3 runs per game.
Chicago White Sox games have averaged 8.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 27-30. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 1-6-1. Only 3.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, with just two games having higher lines. The majority of their games have had lower lines, with 83.3% of their games having over/under lines set at less than 9 runs.
Chicago is sending Chris Flexen to the mound today vs. the Cubs, and he comes in with a record of 2-5 and ERA of 5.50. Flexen most recently pitched on May 29th vs. the Blue Jays, where he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back at his last three outings, Flexen has allowed at least two home runs in each start. So far, he has made 10 starts, and opponents are batting .255 this season. Flexen has made two quality starts and is averaging 7 strikeouts per nine innings.
Heading into today’s game, the White Sox are the league’s worst home run-hitting team and are also dead last in team batting average. Overall, they are averaging just 2.9 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. Chicago’s team OPS of .607 is also the worst in the majors.
Paul DeJong and Eloy Jiménez are tied for the team lead with five homers apiece, but DeJong is batting just .231 this season, and Jiménez is also at just .231. DeJong has gone 6/30 over his last nine games, while Jiménez is just 2/32 in that stretch. Gavin Sheets has also struggled of late, going 6/32 in his last nine games.
Cubs Records & Stats
The Cubs will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Reds with a 5-2 loss. This was especially tough, as it was Chicago’s third straight loss. Heading into the game, the Cubs were the slight favorite at -124 on the money line. Things started off well for the Cubs, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Reds scored four times in the 2nd.
Chicago started Ben Brown, and he took the loss, going five innings and giving up five earned runs on six hits. The Cubs also issued three walks in the2nd inning. Cody Bellinger was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a run scored, but the Cubs only had two other hits.
Chicago is 29-31 overall and is seven games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. The Cubs lost their series vs. the Reds and are just 7-12 in divisional games this year. Heading into today’s matchup, the Cubs have lost four straight series and are 7-10-2 in series play this year.
At home, the Cubs are 16-13 this year compared to 13-18 on the road. Chicago has really struggled recently, going just 2-8 over their last 10 games. As the favorite, the Cubs are 13-13 and 9-9 as the home favorite. When they have been the underdog, the Cubs are 16-18 this year.
When it comes to the run line, the Cubs have been a better bet on the road (18-13) than at home (12-17). They have been a strong play as the underdog, going 23-11 against the run line, compared to just 7-19 as the favorite. The Cubs’ average run margin for the season is -0.2 runs per game, but they have been outscored by 0.8 runs per game on the road and have outscored opponents by 0.5 runs per game at home. Their average run margin in wins is +3.1 runs per game, while it’s -3.3 runs per game in losses.
The Cubs have a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 27-30. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 2-4-2. Only 8.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, with an average line of 8 runs per game.
Shota Imanaga gets the start for the Cubs today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Brewers. In that May 29th start, he took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up seven earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Imanaga has made 10 starts, has a record of 5-1, and an ERA of 1.86. Opponents are batting .213 vs. Imanaga this year. One positive note for the left-hander is that he has turned in six quality starts this year. Per nine innings, Imanaga is averaging 9.16 strikeouts and just 1.55 walks.
Chicago comes into the game averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They are also 12th in home runs, but as a team, they are batting just .228, which is 20th in the MLB. One thing to note is that the Cubs are 5th in walks, and they have been good at avoiding strikeouts, as their team strikeout numbers are 19th in the league.
Cody Bellinger has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 14/40 in his last nine games, with four RBIs and four runs scored. He is 2nd on the team with a batting average of .265 and has gone deep eight times this season. Christopher Morel has a team-high 10 homers but is batting just .195. Morel’s 35 RBIs are 13th in the league.