Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens Betting Pick & Prediction 9/29/24
The Bills and Ravens will face off on Sunday, September 29th at 8:20 ET on NBC. The Ravens are favored at -137 on the money line and -2.5 on the point spread. Buffalo is +114 on the money line, and the over/under line is sitting at 46.5 points for this week four AFC matchup. The Ravens and Bills are both looking to add to their records in this one.
BUFFALO BILLS VS BALTIMORE RAVENS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Buffalo Bills +2.5
This game will be played at M&T Bank Stadium at 8:20 ET on Sunday, September 29th.
WHY BET THE BUFFALO BILLS:
- We have the Ravens winning this one by a score of 23 to 22
- Even though we like the Ravens to win, our ATS pick is to take the Bills at +2.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 46.5 points
Will The Bills Pick Up A Win On The Road?
The Buffalo Bills are now 3-0 after a 47-10 blowout win over the Jaguars. Buffalo was favored by -4 and covered the spread with their 37-point victory. The combined 57 points easily surpassed the O/U line of 46.5 points.
Buffalo dominated from the start, leading 13-0 after the 1st quarter and extending their lead to 34-3 by halftime. Josh Allen had a big game, throwing multiple touchdowns, including one to Dalton Kincaid and another to Keon Coleman. The Bills added a touchdown in the 4th quarter with Ray Davis capping off the win with a 3-yard touchdown run.
Josh Allen had a big game for the Buffalo Bills in their 47-10 win over the Jaguars, throwing for 263 yards and completing 76% of his passes. He also threw four touchdown passes, with a passer rating of 142. Allen’s favorite target was Khalil Shakir, who caught six passes for 72 yards and one touchdown.
Buffalo’s offense put up 25 first downs and 122 yards on the ground. Allen also led the team in rushing with 44 yards, including a 13-yard run. The Bills didn’t allow a sack in the game and finished with a 54.5% third-down conversion rate.
The Bills’ defense was dominant in their most recent game, allowing the Jaguars to complete zero passes. Buffalo came away with one interception and held Jacksonville to just 92 yards rushing on 17 attempts. The defense also recorded five sacks and limited the Jaguars to a 15.4% third-down conversion rate. Despite giving up one touchdown, Buffalo allowed only 147 yards passing.
Buffalo’s defense was disruptive in the passing game, winning the QB hit differential by +8 and forcing Jacksonville into a number of negative plays, including five sacks and two tackles for loss.
Will The Ravens Win At Home Over The Bills?
The Ravens picked up a 28-25 win over the Cowboys, bringing their record to 1-2. Baltimore took control early, leading 21-6 at halftime and 28-6 heading into the 4th quarter. Although the Cowboys outscored them 19-0 in the 4th, the Ravens had built a big enough lead to hold on for the win. Favored by -1.5 on the road, they covered the spread as well.
Despite the strong start, the Ravens allowed the Cowboys to score three touchdowns in the 4th quarter, making the game much closer than it should have been. Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson helped Baltimore take an early lead, with Henry scoring two rushing touchdowns and Jackson connecting with Rashod Bateman for a late 2nd quarter touchdown. The Ravens’ offense struggled in the 4th quarter, and the defense allowed the Cowboys to put up 19 points in the final period.
The Ravens’ running game was the focal point of their offense in their 28-25 win over the Cowboys, as they rushed for 274 yards on 45 attempts. Lamar Jackson completed 12 of 15 passes for 182 yards and one touchdown. Jackson also ran for 87 yards, including a rushing touchdown.
Despite not completing a pass, Jackson still managed a passer rating of 139. Derrick Henry led the Ravens with 151 yards rushing, averaging 6 yards per attempt, and scored two touchdowns on the ground. Nelson Agholor was their top receiver with one catch for 56 yards.
Despite giving up 412 yards through the air, the Ravens’ defense did not allow a single completion in their most recent game against the Cowboys. Dallas managed just 51 yards on the ground on 16 attempts. Even though the Ravens gave up 412 yards in their 28-25 win, they did not allow a single completion, and the Cowboys finished with a 0% completion percentage.
On third downs, the Cowboys converted just 3 of 14 attempts. The Ravens also had three sacks and won the turnover battle, coming up with two interceptions. However, the Ravens allowed the Cowboys to convert on 53.8% of their third downs.