Brown Bears vs Harvard Crimson Betting Pick & Prediction 1/15/24

Looking to win big? The Bears and Crimson face off at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. The Crimson are hosting the game at Lavietes Pavilion in Cambridge, MA. The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 139.5 points, and the Crimson are favored to win at home against the Bears.
BROWN BEARS VS HARVARD CRIMSON BETTING PICK
The Pick: Harvard Crimson -3.5
This game will be played at Lavietes Pavilion at 2:00 ET on Monday, January 15th.
WHY BET THE HARVARD CRIMSON:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Crimson.
- Not only will Harvard pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 139.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.
Can the Bears Pull the Upset on the Road?
After losing their last three games, Brown enters this matchup with a 4-12 record. The Bears have gone 0-1 in Ivy League play compared to their 4-11 non-conference record. On the road this season, Brown is 2-8.
As the underdog, the Bears are 1-9 this season. In their last game, Brown lost to Yale by a score of 80-70. Over their last 10 road games, the Bears have gone 2-8.
As the underdog this season, Brown has gone 5-5 against the spread and they have an overall ATS mark of 6-9. On the road, the Bears are 5-5 vs. the spread this year and their ATS record as the underdog is also 5-5. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Brown is 5-5 vs. the spread.
Today’s over/under line of 139.5 is similar to the average over/under line in Brown’s games this season (141.3). So far, their over/under record is 8-7. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 141 points and their OU record during this stretch is 2-1. For the season, 8 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line.
The Brown offense is coming off a game where they scored 70 points against Yale. They posted a field goal percentage of 44.6% and connected on 9 threes. Leading Brown in scoring vs. Yale was Kino Lilly Jr. with his 23 points. Nana Owusu-Anane also added 14 points for the Bears.
On the defensive side, Brown is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 71.8 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.9 threes per game vs. Harvard. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.5%.
Will the Crimson Come Through as Home Favorites?
Harvard has been a much better team at home this season, going 5-1 compared to 3-4 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +5.5, compared to -7.6 on the road. The Crimson are also 5-0 when favored this season.
Harvard’s overall record this season is 9-5, and they are coming off a 89-58 loss to Princeton. In Ivy League action, they are 0-1, and their non-conference record is 9-4. Over their last 10 games at home, the Crimson are 6-4.
Harvard has struggled against the spread this season, going just 5-8. Their ATS record is even worse at home, where they are just 2-4. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Crimson are just 3-7 vs. the spread.
Harvard’s over/under record this season is 8-5 and today’s over/under line of 139.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (142.3). So far, 5 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. The average scoring total in their last three games is 140 points and their OU record over their last 10 games is 5-5.
Most recently, the Harvard offense finished with just 58 points vs. Princeton. For the game, they hit 5/21 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 43.4%. The top scorer for the Crimson was Chisom Okpara with 18 points, while Chandler Pigge also added 13 to the scoreboard.
The Crimson’s defense is presently ranked 157th nationally, allowing an average of 71.7 points per contest. Harvard’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Princeton offense to knock down 49% of their shots on their way to putting up 89 points.