Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals Betting Pick & Prediction 8/5/24

Monday’s forecast for the Red Sox vs. Royals matchup calls for clear skies and temperatures near 100 degrees. First pitch from Kauffman Stadium is set for 8:10 PM ET. James Paxton is starting for the Red Sox, and the Royals are going with Brady Singer.

The money line odds have the Royals at -145 compared to the Red Sox at +123. The over/under line is currently 9.5 runs, and the game will be televised on BSKC. Both teams are 3rd in their respective divisions.

KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK

The Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline -145

This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium at 8:10 ET on Monday, August 5th.

HOW TO BET THE RED SOX VS ROYALS:

• We have the Royals winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Red Sox to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Red Sox Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the Rangers, the Red Sox closed out the series with a 7-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +106 on the money line. It was a big 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Rangers could only score two runs, both of which came in the 1st.

Wilyer Abreu went 2/4 with two homers and four RBIs. The Red Sox really broke things open with a four-run 6th inning. Boston’s starter, Nick Pivetta, went 4 2/3 innings, giving up just two runs on two hits. He also issued three walks and struck out five Rangers batters.

Boston is 59-51 overall, putting them 3rd in the AL East, 6.5 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. The Red Sox are 14-13 in divisional matchups this season. They are playing on the road today, where they are 32-23 compared to 27-28 at home.

As the Red Sox take on the Royals today, they are kicking off a new series, and they have won two straight series. Boston closed out their series vs. the Rangers with a win and took the series 2-1. This season, the Red Sox have been good as the favorite, going 32-22, and they are 27-29 as the underdog. Heading into today’s game, they are 18-13-5 in series this year.

When betting the run line on the Red Sox this season, it’s been a better idea to take them on the road. Boston is 31-24 against the run line away from Fenway Park compared to 21-34 at home. The Red Sox have been outscored by 0.3 runs per game at home, but they are outscoring opponents by 0.9 runs per game on the road.

On the road against the Kansas City Royals, the Boston Red Sox have an over/under line of 9.5 runs, which is higher than their season average of 9 runs per game. The Red Sox have gone over the total in 56 of their 104 games this season, and their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game. The over has hit in three straight games for Boston.

James Paxton gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Royals on the road. So far this season, he has made 19 starts, and his record is 8-3 with a 4.52 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Paxton has a WHIP of 1.46 and has issued 4.71 walks per nine innings compared to 6.63 strikeouts. Coming into the game, he has a BB/9 figure of 4.71. In his last outing, Paxton took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 4th in the league in runs scored at 4.9 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Overall, they are the league’s 6th ranked home run hitting team and have the league’s best team BABIP. As a team, they are batting .262, which is the 2nd best mark in the league.

Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill have been two of the league’s top power hitters this season, with Devers leading the Red Sox with 25 homers and O’Neill right behind him at 22. Devers has also been hot of late, going 16/39 in his last nine games with two homers and seven RBIs. Jarren Duran and Devers are also on solid hitting streaks, with Duran having hit safely in six straight games and Devers at 11.

Royals Records & Stats

To close out their series vs. the Tigers, the Royals picked up a 3-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -137 on the money line. It was a big 9th inning for the Royals, as they scored three runs in the top of the 9th to pick up the win. Kansas City’s offense was carried by MJ Melendez, who went 1/1 with a homer and three RBIs.

Michael Wacha started for the Royals, going six innings and giving up just two runs on seven hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Kansas City is 63-50 overall and is 5.0 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Royals closed out their series vs. the Tigers with three straight wins to take the series 3-1. So far, they have gone 25-11 in AL Central play.

At home, the Royals are 36-22 this year and 27-28 on the road. As the favorite, Kansas City is 36-20, and they are 27-30 as the underdog. Kansas City has won two straight series, and their overall series record is 17-18-1 this year.

When betting the run line, the Royals have been a solid play this season, going 64-49, but they have been even better at home, where they are 34-24. Their average run margin on the season is +0.8, but at home, it jumps to +1.1. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 35-22, compared to 29-27 as the favorite. Their average run margin in wins is +3.9, while in losses, it is -3.1.

The Royals are at home today against the Red Sox, and the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. This season, Kansas City games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 48-62. The average over/under line for Royals games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9.5 runs, their record is 5-5. Only 4.4% of their games have had higher lines than 9.5 runs, with 98 games having lower lines.

Brady Singer has been pitching well for the Royals, coming into the game with a record of 8-6 and an ERA of 2.88. He has made 22 starts this season and has pitched well at home, with a record of 6-3 and an ERA of 2.33. In his last outing, Singer picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had back-to-back outings without giving up an earned run. Singer has allowed 13 homers this season and is averaging 8.28 strikeouts per nine innings.

So far this season, the Royals have been one of the league’s best offensive teams, averaging 4.7 runs per game (9th) and hitting a collective .253 (8th). They have been even better at home, putting up 5.2 runs per contest. One thing to watch is that they have the most strikeouts in the league but have been very good at avoiding walks.

Heading into the game, Vinnie Pasquantino is on an eight-game hitting streak and has been hot of late, going 4/4 with four homers over his last six games. For the season, he is batting .266 with 15 homers. Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez are also among the league leaders in home runs, with each having gone deep 20 times.