Baylor Bears vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Pick & Prediction 10/19/24
ESPN2 is covering the week eight matchup between the Baylor Bears and Texas Tech Red Raiders, set to kick off at 4:00 ET from Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock. The Red Raiders are the -6.5 point favorite at home, with the over/under line currently at 55.5 points. Baylor comes in with a 2-4 record, while Texas Tech is 5-1 on the season.
BAYLOR BEARS VS TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Baylor Bears +6.5
This game will be played at Jones AT&T Stadium at 4:00 ET on Saturday, October 19th.
WHY BET THE BAYLOR BEARS:
- We have the Baylor Bears winning this one by a score of 28 to 20
- Not only do we have the Baylor Bears winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +6.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 55.5 points
Will The Baylor Bears Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Baylor enters Week 8 against Texas Tech with a 2-4 record and ranks 61st in our power rankings. They have just a 26% chance of becoming bowl-eligible for the rest of the season.
The Bears are 1-1 at home and 0-2 on the road. They’ve been favored in two games, going 1-1, and their average scoring margin is +4 points per game.
Baylor’s over/under record is 2-2, with their games averaging 52 points. This week’s line is 55.5, higher than their average line of 47.9 points.
Heading into week 8, Baylor’s offense is averaging 28 points per game, ranking 50th nationally. They are 74th in our offensive power rankings. Sawyer Robertson has thrown for 1,045 yards and has a passer rating of 94. Baylor ranks 43rd in passing attempts per game.
Robertson has nine touchdown passes and three interceptions. Baylor is 68th in third-down conversions, converting 38.1% of their attempts. On the ground, they average 135 rushing yards per game. Bryson Washington leads the team with 186 rushing yards. Josh Cameron has 277 receiving yards and four touchdowns.
In their recent game against Iowa State, Baylor’s defense allowed 43 points, giving up 395 total yards. Iowa State rushed 43 times for 130 yards and threw for 265 yards on 18 completions, scoring three rushing touchdowns and one through the air.
So far this season, Baylor’s defense ranks 45th nationally, allowing 24 points per game. Opponents have averaged 164.2 rushing yards per game and 176.8 passing yards, completing just 50.3% of their passes, which is the 8th-lowest percentage in the country.
Are The Texas Tech Red Raiders Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Texas Tech enters Week 8 with a 5-1 record, facing Baylor at home. They are 3-0 at home and 1-1 on the road this season. Ranked 46th in our power rankings, the Red Raiders have a 97.5% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and a 9.0% chance of winning the Big 12.
Texas Tech’s average scoring margin is +7, and they are 3-1-1 against the spread. At home, they are 2-0-1 ATS and have gone 2-1-1 as the favorite this season.
The over/under line for this week is 55.5 points, lower than their average line of 63.5. Texas Tech’s over/under record is 2-3, with their games averaging 71.7 points.
Texas Tech’s offense is averaging 39.3 points per game, ranking 15th in the nation as they head into week 8. They are 22nd in passing yards, with 290.2 yards per game, and rank 11th in passing attempts. Our power rankings place them 51st overall.
Behren Morton leads the team with 1,640 passing yards, 14 touchdowns, and just two interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 102. Tahj Brooks has rushed for 679 yards and seven touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Josh Kelly has 514 receiving yards on 44 catches.
Texas Tech’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 32.3 points per game. They’ve given up 308 passing yards per game, ranking 164th nationally, although opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 82.4 against them.
In their recent game against Arizona, Texas Tech allowed 22 points. Arizona ran the ball 31 times for 115 yards and threw 52 passes, totaling 275 passing yards. Texas Tech’s defense also forced three interceptions in the game.