Baylor Bears vs Connecticut Huskies NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 12/4/24

Looking to win big? The Bears and Huskies face off at 6:30 ET on FS1. The Huskies are hosting the game at Gampel Pavilion in Storrs, CT. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 145 points, and Connecticut is favored by -2.5 at home against Baylor.

BAYLOR BEARS VS CONNECTICUT HUSKIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Connecticut Huskies -2.5

This game will be played at Gampel Pavilion at 6:30 ET on Wednesday, December 4th.

WHY BET THE CONNECTICUT HUSKIES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-68 in favor of the Huskies.
  • Not only will Connecticut pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 145 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Does Baylor Have a Shot at a Road Win?

Baylor improved to 5-3 on the season with a 91-60 win over New Orleans on Wednesday. The Bears were heavy favorites at -37.5 but didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total points ended at 151, just over the pre-game line of 150.

After leading 50-23 at halftime, Baylor scored 41 points in the 2nd half while allowing 37. Though they didn’t cover the spread, the Bears’ strong start set the tone for the win.

Baylor put up 91 points in their last game, shooting 48.6% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 58.3%. They hit 15 threes at a 40.5% clip and were strong inside, shooting 57.1% on twos. The Bears also connected on 85.7% of their free throws, though they only attempted 7.

Jayden Nunn led the way with 23 points, hitting 7 threes at a 70% rate. Dae Dae Hunter and Cedquavious Hunter each added 18 points, with both shooting 6/10 from deep. Robert O. Wright III also contributed 18 points, while Jeremy Roach dished out 8 assists.

Despite giving up 60 points, Baylor’s defense allowed their opponent to shoot 48% from the field, with 35 made baskets on 72 attempts. Inside the arc, the Bears gave up 20 two-point field goals on 35 attempts, a 57% shooting rate.

From three-point range, Baylor’s opponent hit 15 of 37 attempts, shooting 40%. The Bears also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 7 times, where they converted 6 free throws, shooting 85%. Baylor allowed 16 offensive rebounds in the game.

Can the Huskies Lock in a Home Win?

Connecticut improved to 5-3 on the season with a dominant 99-45 win over Maryland Eastern Shore on Saturday. The Huskies were -40.5 point favorites going into the game and covered the spread. The total points for the game were 144, just over the 142.5 O/U line.

UConn led 40-18 at halftime and poured in 59 points in the 2nd half while holding the Hawks to 27 points after the break.

Connecticut’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their last game, putting up 99 points while shooting 54.2% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was an impressive 62.7%, thanks in part to their 68.8% shooting on two-pointers. From beyond the arc, they hit 10 of 27 attempts, good for 37%, and they were nearly perfect at the free-throw line, hitting 25 of 27 for 92.6%.

The Huskies also dished out 23 assists and grabbed 11 offensive rebounds. Ketron Shaw led the way with 18 points, while Liam McNeeley and Jaylin Stewart each added 16. Stewart was efficient, shooting 57.1% from the field, while McNeeley struggled from deep, hitting just 1 of 8 three-point attempts.

Despite Connecticut’s defensive efforts, they gave up 45 points in their last game, with their opponents shooting 54% from the field. This included a strong performance inside the arc, where they hit 68% of their two-point attempts, going 22/32.

From three-point range, Connecticut’s opponents shot 37%, making 10 of 27 attempts. They also capitalized on their free-throw opportunities, hitting 25 of 27 for a 92% success rate. Connecticut allowed 11 offensive rebounds in the game.