Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills Betting Pick & Prediction 1/19/25

The Ravens are favored on the road as they take on the Bills in an AFC matchup on Sunday, January 19th at 6:30 ET. The game, being played at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY, has Baltimore at -117 on the money line and Buffalo at -102. The point spread is tight, with the Ravens at -1, and the over/under line is at 51.5 points. You can catch this one on CBS.
BALTIMORE RAVENS VS BUFFALO BILLS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Buffalo Bills +1
This game will be played at Highmark Stadium at 6:30 ET on Sunday, January 19th.
WHY BET THE BUFFALO BILLS:
- We have the Bills winning this one by a score of 25 to 21
- Not only do we have the Bills winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +1
- We see this game finishing below the line of 51.5 points
Will The Ravens Pick Up A Win On The Road?
After finishing the regular season with a 12-5 record, the Ravens head into the divisional round on a four-game winning streak, including a 28-14 victory over the Steelers in the wild card round. Baltimore entered that game as 8.5-point favorites and covered the spread, but the teams fell short of the 44.5-point O/U line, combining for 42 points. The Ravens rank 2nd in our power rankings and finished the regular season 5-2 in the division and 9-4 in the conference, putting them 1st in the AFC North and 3rd in the AFC.
Against the spread, Baltimore is 11-6-1, with four straight wins. They are 11-5-1 as favorites and 0-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 13-5, with their games averaging 51.2 points compared to a 47.1-point line.
Our offensive power rankings have the Ravens sitting at the top of the league, and they lead the NFL in yards per game, averaging 427.1. Baltimore has leaned heavily on the run game, ranking 2nd in rushing attempts and leading the league with 193.8 rushing yards per game. Derrick Henry has been a big part of that success, rushing for 186 yards on 26 carries in the Wild Card round. Lamar Jackson posted a passer rating of 132 against the Steelers, throwing for 175 yards and 2 touchdowns without an interception.
While the Ravens rank 6th in red zone attempts, they are 31st in red zone conversion percentage. However, they were 3/4 in the Wild Card round and converted 66.7% of their 3rd downs. Baltimore is 3rd in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage and 6th in 1st-quarter scoring.
Despite allowing 251 passing yards, the Ravens’ defense held the Steelers to just 29 rushing yards on 11 attempts in their 28-14 win. Baltimore’s defense recorded four sacks and won the quarterback hit battle by six, but they did allow two passing touchdowns. The Ravens also held the Steelers to 45.5% on third down.
Overall, the Ravens gave up 280 yards of total offense and 28 points. Pittsburgh found some success through the air, averaging 8.4 yards per attempt, and completing 66.7% of their passes against Baltimore.
Will The Bills Win At Home Over The Ravens?
Buffalo finished the regular season 13-4, good for 2nd in the AFC and 3rd in our power rankings. They went 5-1 in the division and 10-3 in conference play. The Bills were a perfect 9-0 at home but just 5-4 on the road. After losing to the Ravens in week 4, they bounced back with a 47-10 win over the Jaguars in week 3 and a 31-10 win over the Dolphins in week 2. They were 2.5-point underdogs against Miami but covered the spread.
Buffalo has an average scoring margin of +10.1 points per game and is 11-7 against the spread this season. They are 9-5 ATS as favorites and 2-2 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 11-7, with the over hitting in their last two games. Their games have averaged 51.7 points, with an average line of 46.4.
Josh Allen was excellent in the Wild Card round, posting a passer rating of 135 and throwing for 272 yards and 2 touchdowns without an interception. He completed 20 of 26 passes, with Curtis Samuel leading the team in receiving with 68 yards on 3 catches. James Cook had a strong performance on the ground, rushing for 120 yards on 23 carries. The Bills converted 8 of 15 third-down attempts but struggled in the red zone, going just 1 for 5.
Buffalo ranks 2nd in the NFL in scoring, averaging 30.9 points per game. They are 9th in both passing and rushing yards per game, with 229.8 and 135.6, respectively. Despite ranking 24th in pass attempts, they are 5th in 1st-quarter scoring. The Bills are 7th in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage.
In their most recent game, the Buffalo Bills’ defense allowed just 145 passing yards on 14 completions against the Broncos. They held Denver to a 60.9% completion percentage and only 224 total yards in a 31-7 victory. The Bills’ run defense gave up 79 yards on 17 attempts, and they allowed just one touchdown while holding the Broncos to a 22.2% third-down conversion rate. Buffalo also recorded two sacks and won the tackles for loss battle.