Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction 9/26/24

The Orioles and Yankees are set to face off in an AL East matchup at 7:05 PM ET at Yankee Stadium in New York, NY. Baltimore has won two straight and is 88-70, while the Yankees are 92-66 overall and are 1st in the AL East.

New York comes into the game as the heavy favorite, with money line odds of -147, while the Orioles are sitting at +123. Thursday’s over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and MLBN will be televising the game.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline +123

This game will be played at Yankee Stadium at 7:05 ET on Thursday, September 26th.

HOW TO BET THE ORIOLES VS YANKEES:

• We have the Orioles winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Orioles to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Baltimore rallied for four runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Orioles vs. Yankees series. The Orioles scored three runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the top of the 9th, picking up a 9-7 win. Heading into the game, the Orioles were at +103 on the money line.

Zach Eflin got the start for the Orioles, going just 4 2/3 innings while giving up three runs and striking out five. Jacob Webb got the win out of the bullpen, and Keegan Akin got the save. Marcus Stroman had a rough outing for the Yankees, giving up six runs in just 3 1/3 innings of work.

Cedric Mullins, Gunnar Henderson, and Colton Cowser each had two RBIs for the Orioles’ offense. Mullins, Jordan Westburg, and James McCann each had two hits and scored two runs. For the Yankees, Juan Soto hit the games’ only home run and drove in three runs.

Orioles Records & Stats

The Orioles are 88-70 overall and trail the Yankees by four games for the AL East lead. Baltimore has won two straight games, and they are 32-19 against other teams in the AL East. So far, they have gone 24-18-7 in series this year. This season, the Orioles are an even 14-14 as road underdogs.

This year, the Orioles have been good as the favorite, going 70-52. As the underdog, Baltimore is 18-18 this year. They have won two straight games as the underdog, and they are 44-37 at home compared to 44-33 on the road.

When the Orioles are on the road, they have covered the run line in 46 of 77 games, including the last two. They have a run line record of 24-12 as underdogs, compared to 60-62 when favored. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7, while it’s -3.5 in losses.

The Baltimore Orioles are on the road against the New York Yankees today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Orioles have played in 125 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which is 79.1% of their games. Their combined run average this season is 9.2 runs per game, and their over/under record is 84-63 overall. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 10-7.

Right-hander Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 31 starts this season and has a record of 15-8 with an ERA of 2.95. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.11. In his 31 appearances, he has turned in 22 quality starts and is averaging 8.18 strikeouts per nine innings. Burnes most recently faced the Tigers, where he picked up the win, going seven innings and not allowing a run. Before that, he had allowed at least two earned runs in three straight starts.

Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, as Santander’s 44 home runs are 3rd in the league, and Henderson is 7th with 37. Santander is also 10th in the league with 101 RBIs, while Henderson is 2nd on the team with 91 RBIs. However, Santander has hit just .237 this season, and he has really struggled of late, batting just .184 over his last 10 games. On the other hand, Henderson has hit .341 over this stretch.

As a team, the Orioles are 2nd in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 8th in batting average and have the league’s 3rd best slugging percentage.

Yankees Records & Stats

The Yankees are 92-66 overall, putting them 1st in the AL East, but they lead over the Orioles is down to four games. New York has dropped two straight games, and this season, they are just 25-26 in divisional games. The Yankees lost two straight as the favorite, and they are 74-58 when favored this year.

At home, the Yankees are 42-35 this year, and they are 50-31 on the road. New York has won five straight series, and their overall series record is 30-15-4 this year. Their series road winning streak is at three games.

After a 2-0 loss to the Orioles, the Yankees have now failed to cover the run line in back-to-back games. They are now 33-44 ATS at home this season, and 82-76 overall. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.1, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.5.

The Yankees have played 137 games with over/under lines set higher than today’s 7.5-run line, which is 86.7% of their games this season. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game, and their over/under record is 83-70 on the season. In games with a 7.5-run line, the over/under record is 7-9, and their average over/under line for the season is 9 runs per game.

Gerrit Cole gets the start for the Yankees today and is facing the Orioles at home. He has made 16 starts this year and has a record of 7-5 with a 3.67 ERA. Cole’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.18, and opponents are batting .218 this year. In his last outing, Cole pitched a gem, going nine innings and giving up just one earned run. He finished with seven strikeouts in that outing. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. Cole’s ERA at home is 5.4 compared to 3.09 on the road.

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the top home run hitting team in the league and are 3rd in runs per game at 5 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Overall, they are 8th in batting average and have the top on-base percentage in the league. The Yankees are also near the top of the league in isolated power, with a team ISO of .181.

One of the keys to the Yankees’ offense has been the play of Aaron Judge, who is hitting .324 for the season and has a league-leading 57 home runs. Judge has also been hot of late, going 10/26 in his last eight games with four homers. Gleyber Torres is also swinging a hot bat, going 13/38 in his last eight games.