Auburn Tigers vs Missouri Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 10/19/24
Missouri is favored by -4.5 points as they host Auburn at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium in Columbia. Kick-off is set for 12:00 ET, and the game can be seen on ESPN. The money line odds have Missouri at -193 and Auburn at +159. The over/under line is currently at 51.5 points. Missouri comes in with a 5-1 record, while Auburn is 2-4 on the season.
AUBURN TIGERS VS MISSOURI TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Auburn Tigers +4.5
This game will be played at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium at 12:00 ET on Saturday, October 19th.
WHY BET THE AUBURN TIGERS:
- We have the Auburn Tigers winning this one by a score of 34 to 25
- Not only do we have the Auburn Tigers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +4.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 51.5 points
Will The Auburn Tigers Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Auburn enters Week 8 with a 2-4 record and a 34th-place spot in our power rankings. They have a 22.9% chance of reaching bowl eligibility. On the road, they are 0-1, while their home record stands at 1-3 this season.
The Tigers have been favored in four of their six games but have gone 1-3 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin is +9.2 points, and they are 2-3 against the spread, going 1-0 ATS on the road and 1-3 at home.
This week’s over/under line is 51.5 points, close to their season average line of 51.6. Auburn’s over/under record is 2-3, with their games averaging 50.8 points per contest.
Heading into week 8, Auburn’s offense is averaging 30 points per game, placing them 42nd in the nation. Our power rankings have them 68th overall. Their passing game is the strength of the offense, averaging 279 yards per game, which ranks 28th nationally. They are 52nd in passing attempts per game, with 29, and 47th in completions, averaging 17.7 per game. Their third-down conversion rate is 41.3%.
Payton Thorne leads the passing attack with 1,238 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 98. Auburn’s rushing game ranks 63rd, with 165.8 yards per game. Jarquez Hunter has 528 rushing yards, averaging 6 yards per carry. KeAndre Lambert-Smith leads the receiving corps with 510 yards and 6 touchdowns on 24 catches.
Auburn’s defense has allowed an average of 20.8 points per game this season, ranking 32nd nationally. They’ve given up 213.3 passing yards per game (78th) and 126.3 rushing yards per game (55th).
In their recent game against Georgia, Auburn allowed 31 points and 609 total yards, including 459 passing yards, but also forced two interceptions.
Are The Missouri Tigers Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Missouri enters Week 8 with a 5-1 record and a 99.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. They are ranked 19th in our power rankings but have just a 0.5% chance of winning the Southeastern. However, they hold the 22nd best odds to make the CFB playoff at 15%.
The Tigers are 2-0 at home and 1-1 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in three of their six games, going 3-0 as the favorite. Missouri’s average scoring margin is +18.2, and they are 2-2 against the spread.
Missouri’s over/under record is 1-3, with their games averaging 48.8 points. Their average over/under line is 51.3 points, and this week’s line is 51.5 points.
Missouri’s offense is averaging 33.5 points per game heading into week 8, placing them 28th in the nation. They are ranked 40th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game has been efficient, completing 67% of their passes, which ranks 21st. They are 22nd in passing completions, averaging 23 per game, and 29th in attempts, with 34.3 per game. Overall, they are averaging 246.5 passing yards per game.
Quarterback Brady Cook has thrown for 1,351 yards, completing 64.7% of his passes, with seven touchdowns and one interception. He has a passer rating of 96. Missouri is converting 50.6% of their third downs, ranking 11th nationally. In the run game, they are averaging 190.5 rushing yards per game. Nate Noel leads the team with 471 rushing yards, averaging 6 yards per carry. Theo Wease Jr. has 407 receiving yards on 31 catches.
Missouri’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking 10th nationally by allowing just 15.3 points per game. In their recent game against UMass, they gave up only 3 points, allowing 237 total yards, including 95 rushing yards on 31 attempts and 142 passing yards, while also forcing an interception.
Opponents have averaged 116.7 rushing yards per game against Missouri and 154.5 passing yards, which is the 12th-lowest in the country. Quarterbacks have completed just 56.1% of their passes with a passer rating of 71.5 against Missouri’s defense.