Auburn Tigers vs Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Pick & Prediction 11/30/24
ABC will be covering this week 14 matchup between the Auburn Tigers and Alabama Crimson Tide, set to kick off at 3:30 ET from Saban Field at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa. The over/under line is currently 52 points, with Alabama as the -11.5-point favorite at home. The money line odds have the Tide at -456 and Auburn at +336. Alabama enters the game with an 8-3 record, while Auburn is 5-6 on the season.
AUBURN TIGERS VS ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE BETTING PICK
The Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide -11.5
This game will be played at Saban Field at Bryant-Denny Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, November 30th.
WHY BET THE ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE:
- We have the Alabama Crimson Tide winning this one by a score of 36 to 19
- Not only do we have the Alabama Crimson Tide winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -11.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 52 points
Will The Auburn Tigers Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Auburn enters Week 14 with a 5-6 record, facing Alabama. They have a 12.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible, according to projections. The Tigers are 2-4 at home and 1-2 on the road this season.
Auburn’s ATS record is 4-5, with a 2-1 mark on the road and 2-4 at home. They’ve been favored in six games, going 2-4 against the spread as the favorite.
The over/under line for this week is 52 points. Auburn’s games have averaged 49.7 points, with an average line of 49.2 points. Their over/under record is 3-6 this season.
Heading into week 14, Auburn’s offense ranks 49th in points per game, averaging 29, and they sit 50th in our offensive power rankings. Payton Thorne has thrown for 2,412 yards, leading the passing attack, and Auburn is 31st nationally in passing yards per game, with 260.5. Thorne has 20 touchdown passes and a passer rating of 103, which matches the team’s rating, placing them 19th in the country.
Jarquez Hunter leads the rushing game with 1,145 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored eight touchdowns. Auburn is 57th in rushing yards per game, averaging 172.2. KeAndre Lambert-Smith leads the receivers with 865 yards and eight touchdowns on 42 catches.
Despite allowing 41 points in their recent 43-41 overtime win against Texas A&M, Auburn’s defense remains ranked 25th nationally, giving up 20.7 points per game. They allowed 464 total yards, including 297 passing yards and three touchdowns, but also forced an interception.
Opponents have averaged 209.1 passing yards per game against Auburn, completing 55.2% of their throws. On the ground, Auburn ranks 27th nationally, allowing just 114 rushing yards per game.
Are The Alabama Crimson Tide Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Alabama enters Week 14 against Auburn with an 8-3 record, holding a perfect 5-0 mark at home. While they are guaranteed to be bowl-eligible, they have a 0% chance of winning the Southeastern. However, they have a 37.7% chance of making the playoff, according to projections.
The Crimson Tide has been favored in nine of their 11 games this season, going 6-3 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +18.6 points per game, and they are 5-5 against the spread.
This week’s over/under line is set at 52 points. Alabama’s games have averaged 53.7 points, with their over/under record sitting at 5-5. The average line for their games this season has been 54 points.
Alabama’s offense is averaging 36.2 points per game, ranking 16th in the nation, and they are 12th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 14. Jalen Milroe, their quarterback, has thrown for 2,401 yards with a 65.2% completion rate, leading the team to a 46.3% third-down conversion rate. Milroe has 15 touchdown passes but also 9 interceptions, and his passer rating is 99.
On the ground, Alabama is averaging 183.1 rushing yards per game. Jam Miller leads the team with 557 rushing yards, 7 touchdowns, and an average of 5 yards per carry. Ryan Williams is the top receiver, with 804 yards and 8 touchdowns on 42 catches, averaging 19 yards per reception.
Alabama’s defense, ranked 11th nationally, has allowed 17.5 points per game this season. In their recent game against Oklahoma, they gave up 24 points, including 268 rushing yards on 51 carries, but limited Oklahoma to just 68 passing yards.
On average, Alabama’s defense has allowed 145.9 rushing yards per game and 181.2 passing yards, ranking 25th in the nation. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 61.3% of their passes, with a passer rating of 74 against Alabama’s defense.