Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 7/14/24
Chris Sale will start for the Braves on Sunday, as they are facing off against the Padres and starter Randy Vasquez. This one is getting started at 4:10 PM ET from PETCO Park in San Diego, and the Braves are the heavy money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -180 compared to the Padres at +152. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.
Both teams are sending a pitcher to the mound with a winning record, as the Braves are 52-42, and the Padres are 50-48. Atlanta is currently 2nd in the NL East, while the Padres are 3rd in the NL West. BSSE will be televising this matchup.
SAN DIEGO PADRES VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline +152
This game will be played at PETCO Park at 4:10 ET on Sunday, July 14th.
HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS PADRES:
- We have the Padres winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Padres to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
San Diego cruised to a 4-0 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 2nd inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the Braves, they had their best scoring chance in the 5th, but could only muster one run. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -137 on the money line.
Dylan Cease pitched well for the Padres in this one, going six innings and striking out 11 without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Reynaldo Lopez took the loss for the Braves. Lopez went six innings and gave up three earned runs.
Manny Machado was the difference for the Padres’ offense, as he homered and scored three times while going 3/4 at the plate. David Peralta and Luis Arraez each had two RBIs. Marcell Ozuna had two hits for the Braves.
Braves Records & Stats
Atlanta is 52-42 overall, putting them 2nd in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Phillies by 9.5 games. So far, they have gone 14-12 in divisional games. The Braves are looking to take today’s game vs. the Padres to move above .500 for the series and pick up a game in the NL East race.
The Braves have been good at home this year, going 29-17, but they are just 23-25 on the road. Atlanta has been good as the favorite this year, putting up a mark of 48-34. As the underdog, the Braves are 4-8 this year. So far, they have an overall series record of 17-11-3. Heading into today’s game, the Braves are 5-5 in their last 10.
When betting on the Braves this season, it’s been a coin flip as they have a 44-50 run line record. They have been a better bet on the road, going 23-25, compared to 21-25 at home. As the favorite, they are 38-44 vs. the run line, while as the underdog, they are 6-6. The Braves’ average run margin this season is +0.7 runs per game.
The Braves are on the road today against the Padres, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. Atlanta’s games have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 32-57. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 6-10. So far this season, 77.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and their current under streak is at three games.
Chris Sale has been dominant this season, as he comes into the game with a record of 12-3 and an ERA of 2.74. In his 17 starts, he has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 11.66 strikeouts per nine innings. Overall, Sale has 136 strikeouts, which ranks sixth in the league. Sale’s most recent outing came on July 9th vs. the Diamondbacks, where he picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished with nine strikeouts in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, as he is batting .304 with 26 home runs and 77 RBIs, which is 2nd in the league. He has also been hot of late, going 13/35 in his last nine games with five homers. Ozuna also has a current five-game hitting streak. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 13 homers but is batting just .229 for the season.
As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They are also just 18th in home runs and are batting a combined .241. Overall, their slugging percentage and OPS are just outside the top 10 in the league.
Padres Records & Stats
With a record of 50-48, the Padres are 3rd in the NL West, seven games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. So far, they have gone 15-17 in divisional matchups. The Padres will be at home today, hosting the Braves, and they are 26-27 at home this season.
San Diego will be looking to even up their series with the Braves today, as they are 4-6 across their last 10 games. As the favorite, the Padres are 29-29 this season and 21-19 as the underdog. The team’s overall series record is 17-12-3, and they have won two straight series on the road.
Despite an overall run line record of 50-48, the Padres have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 31-14. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.5.
San Diego’s games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 52-45. When the over/under line is set at 7.5, their record is 16-16. The over has hit in 59.2% of their games this season, but they have hit the under in their last three games.
San Diego is sending Randy Vásquez to the mound today vs. the Braves, and he has made 12 starts this season. Vásquez’s ERA is 4.66, and his record for the season is 2-4. In his 12 starts, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 5.9 strikeouts per nine innings. Vásquez most recently faced the Diamondbacks, where he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and finished with a no-decision. He has not taken a loss in his last two outings. The right-hander has been much better at home, coming in with an ERA of 3.79 compared to 6.7 on the road.
As a team, the Padres are batting .261, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They are also the top home run hitting team in the league, and have a league-leading team strikeout rate of just 6 per game. Overall, they are averaging 4.5 runs per contest and have been even better on the road, averaging 4.7 runs per game.
Jurickson Profar has been one of the Padres’ top power threats this season, as his 14 homers are the best mark on the team and 10th best in the league. However, he has struggled of late, hitting just .148 over his last seven games. Manny Machado has also gone deep twice in his last seven games, while batting .321 in that stretch. For the season, Machado is hitting .267 with 13 homers.