Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 5/11/24
At 4:10 PM from Citi Field in New York, we have an NL East matchup between the Braves and Mets. Heading into Saturday’s game, the Braves have a record of 23-12, while the Mets are 18-19 overall. Atlanta is the favorite on the money line at -161, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.
Max Fried is starting for the Braves, and he is facing off against Christian Scott for the Mets. You can catch this one on BSSE.
NEW YORK METS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline +134
This game will be played at Citi Field at 4:10 ET on Saturday, May 11th.
HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS METS:
- We have the Mets winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Mets to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
The most recent game o of this Mets and Braves series came right down to the end, as the Mets rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 4-2 on the road. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -152 on the money line.
Charlie Morton pitched well for the Braves in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued five walks. As for the Mets, Jose Quintana struggled on the mound, giving up four runs in five innings of work.
Ronald Acuna Jr. and Ozzie Albies each homered for the Braves, while Matt Olson went deep for the Mets. Francisco Lindor went 1/4 with an RBI in his return to the Mets’ lineup.
Braves Records & Stats
Atlanta is on a three-game winning streak, and they are 23-12 overall this season. The Braves are 2nd in the NL East, two games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have been good against other teams in their division, putting up a record of 9-4.
At home, the Braves have gone 13-4 this year, and they are just above .500 at 10-8 on the road. Atlanta has been good as the favorite this season, going 23-10, but they are 0-2 as the underdog. The Braves have an overall series record of 8-3-1 this year and are winning their current series vs. the Mets. So far, they are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
When the Braves are favored on the run line, they are 17-16 this season. They are 1-1 as the underdog, and their average run margin in winning games is 3.6 runs per game.
Despite their recent under streak, the Braves have played to a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 12-21, and the average over/under line for their games has been 9 runs. However, when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, the under has hit in both games. Overall, 85.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Max Fried gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Mets on the road. So far this season, he has made seven starts and has a record of 2-1 with an ERA of 4.23. Fried’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.15. Looking at his overall numbers, Fried has one complete game shutout and three quality starts. In his most recent outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had not allowed an earned run in two straight starts. Fried has been much better on the road, with an ERA of 10.49 compared to 7.27 at home.
Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 12 home runs are the most in the MLB right now. Ozuna also leads the Braves with 38 RBIs and is batting .313. He is currently on a four-game hitting streak but has gone just 6/24 in his last seven games. Travis d’Arnaud has also been a solid power threat for the Braves, as his five homers are 2nd on the team and 8th in the league.
As a team, the Braves are 5th in scoring at 5 runs per game. They are also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams and have the 4th best team batting average. Atlanta comes into the game as one of the league’s top home run hitting teams.
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets are 18-19 overall, putting them 4th in the NL East, eight games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they are 2-2 in divisional games. New York is hosting the Braves today and are 9-11 at home this year.
New York has gone 9-8 on the road, and they are 10-9 as the favorite this year. As the underdog, the Mets are 8-10 and 1-3 as the underdog at home. The Mets have an overall series record of 6-5-1 this year.
When the Mets win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.2 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -2.8 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 19-18, but they have been better on the road, going 11-6 vs. the run line. As the underdog, they are 11-7 vs. the run line.
The Mets’ over/under record for the season is 18-19, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, the Mets’ record is 4-6 in those games. Overall, 56.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.
Christian Scott will be making his second start of the season for the Mets, and he’ll be taking on the Braves at home. In his first outing of the season, Scott went 6 2/3 innings, giving up just 1 earned run and striking out 6. He did give up a home run in that start, but overall, it was a solid outing for him.
Brandon Nimmo has been on a tear for the Mets of late, going 9/29 in his last eight games with two homers and seven RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead in RBIs (25) and put him on a seven-game hitting streak. Overall, he is batting just .230 for the season. Francisco Lindor has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 8/29 with two homers and 10 RBIs in his last eight games. For the season, he is hitting just .212.
As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are one of the better road scoring teams in the league at 5.5 runs per contest. However, they are averaging just 3.5 runs per game at home. So far, they are 11th in home runs and are batting a collective .238.