Arkansas State Red Wolves vs San Diego Toreros Betting Pick & Prediction 11/24/23

The Red Wolves and Toreros are set to face off at 10:30 ET on ESPN+. The Toreros will host the game at Acrisure Arena in Palm Springs, CA. The Red Wolves are the favorites in this non-conference matchup against the Toreros. The over/under for the game is set at 152.5 points.

ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES VS SAN DIEGO TOREROS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Diego Toreros +4

This game will be played at Acrisure Arena at 10:30 ET on Friday, November 24th.

WHY BET THE SAN DIEGO TOREROS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Toreros.
• Not only will San Diego pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 152.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can the Red Wolves Offense Score Enough on the Road?

Heading into their 5th game of the year, Arkansas State has a 1-3 record this season. On the road, they are 0-3, while they are 1-0 at home. As of today’s game, Arkansas State has a 1-3 record against the spread. Looking back at their previous ten games, including last season, Arkansas State has been strong with an 8-2 ATS record.

Arkansas State comes in with an over/under record of 2-2-0 through four games, with their games averaging a combined 171.2 points per game so far. The Red Wolves have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last three games, with their games averaging 83 points per game.

In contrast to their season average of 81.2 points per game, the Arkansas State had a below average performance. They scored 74 points against Iowa and had a field goal percentage of 41.2%. The team’s top scorer is Taryn Todd, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 17.2, while Freddy Hicks also carries a PPG average of 17 into the game.

Coming into today’s game, the Arkansas State defense is giving up an average of 90.0 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Arkansas State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 52.9% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 35.7% this season.

Do the Toreros Have What it Takes to Win as Home Underdogs?

San Diego comes into this game with a 3-1 record, having won their last game against Navy by a score of 67-59. In their three home games, the Toreros are undefeated at 3-0, while they are winless on the road at 0-1. San Diego has a current against the spread (ATS) record of 2-2 going into today’s game. Looking back at the previous season, San Diego’s ATS record stands at 5-4 in their last ten games.

So far, San Diego’s games have averaged 139.2 points per game with the average over/under line being 145.8 points. When assessing the Toreros’ performance in their last three games, their over/under record stands at 2-1, with their games averaging 78 points per game.

The San Diego offense is coming off a game in which they scored 67 points vs. Navy. Overall their field goal percentage was 45.1% while connecting on 2 threes. In terms of offense, the Toreros have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, putting them 226th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 282nd in percentage and 247th in three-pointers made.

So far, the Toreros’ defense is ranked 54th in the country at 64.8 points per contest. San Diego’s three-point defense is currently 25th in the country at 4.8 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 45.6% of their shots vs. San Diego.