Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Bowling Green Falcons Betting Pick & Prediction 68 Ventures Bowl

ESPN will be covering the 68 Ventures Bowl, which is set to kick off at 9:00 ET on Thursday, December 26th, at Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile. Arkansas State and Bowling Green are both 7-5 this season. The game is being played on a neutral site, and the Bowling Green Falcons are considered the home team. The over/under line is 49.5 points, and the Falcons are -6.5 point favorites. The current money line odds are +197 for Arkansas State and -237 for Bowling Green.

ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES VS BOWLING GREEN FALCONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arkansas State Red Wolves +6.5

This game will be played at Hancock Whitney Stadium at 9:00 ET on Thursday, December 26th.

WHY BET THE ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES:

• We have the Arkansas State Red Wolves winning this one by a score of 23 to 22
• Not only do we have the Arkansas State Red Wolves winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +6.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 49.5 points

Are The Arkansas State Red Wolves A Candidate To Pull Off An Upset?

Arkansas State enters their Week 1 matchup against Bowling Green with a 7-5 record. They’ve been strong at home, going 4-1, but have struggled on the road with a 2-4 mark. The Red Wolves are 4-0 as the favorite this season and 2-5 as the underdog.

Their ATS record stands at 5-6, with a 3-3 mark on the road and 2-3 at home. As the favorite, they are 2-2 against the spread, and they’ve posted a -7.4 average scoring margin this season.

Arkansas State’s over/under record is 5-6, with their games averaging 57.1 points. The average over/under line this season is 57.2, and this week’s line is set at 49.5 points.

Arkansas State’s offense is averaging 24.8 points per game, placing them 68th in the nation as they head into week 1 against Bowling Green. They are ranked 95th in our offensive power rankings. The Red Wolves have relied on their passing game, ranking 30th in passing attempts and 31st in completions, with an average of 227.1 passing yards per game. Their third-down conversion rate is 39.8%.

Jaylen Raynor leads the team with 2,562 passing yards and has a passer rating of 83. He has thrown 14 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. On the ground, Arkansas State averages 163.5 rushing yards per game. Zak Wallace leads the rushing attack with 622 yards and 10 touchdowns. Corey Rucker is the top receiver with 946 yards and five touchdowns.

Arkansas State’s defense struggled in their recent game against Old Dominion, allowing 40 points in a 40-32 loss. They gave up 554 total yards, including 411 rushing yards on 50 attempts and four rushing touchdowns. Through the air, they allowed 143 yards and two passing touchdowns.

So far this season, Arkansas State’s defense is ranked 85th nationally, giving up 32.2 points per game. They are 117th in passing yards allowed (234.4 per game) and 176th in rushing yards allowed (229 per game).

Can The Bowling Green Falcons Win As The Favorite On A Neutral Field?

Bowling Green enters their Week 1 matchup against Arkansas State with a 7-5 record. They’ve gone 4-2 on the road and 2-3 at home this season. The Falcons have been favored in eight of their 12 games, posting a 5-3 record as the favorite.

Their ATS record stands at 5-6, with a 4-2 mark on the road and 1-4 at home. As the favorite, Bowling Green is 2-6 against the spread, but they’ve covered all three games as the underdog.

The over/under line for this week is 49.5 points. Bowling Green’s games have averaged 47 points, with their over/under record at 4-7. Their average line this season is 50 points, and they’ve finished below the total by an average of four points per game.

Bowling Green’s offense is averaging 26.8 points per game, placing them 54th in the nation. They are ranked 72nd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 1. Their rushing game has been underwhelming, with 146.3 yards per game on 32.2 attempts.

Terion Stewart leads the rushing attack with 895 yards, six touchdowns, and an average of 5 yards per carry. Quarterback Connor Bazelak has thrown for 2,654 yards and 15 touchdowns, with five interceptions, and holds a passer rating of 97.

Bowling Green’s defense has been a bright spot this season, ranking 18th nationally by allowing just 20.2 points per game. They’ve given up 151.2 rushing yards per game and 181.3 passing yards, which ranks 30th in the country. Opposing quarterbacks have managed a 56.9% completion rate and a passer rating of 79.7 against the Falcons.

In their recent game against Miami (OH), Bowling Green’s defense allowed just 190 total yards, including 63 rushing yards on 22 attempts and 127 passing yards. They also forced an interception, despite giving up 28 points in the 28-12 loss.