Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Pick & Prediction 8/3/24
There is a chance for light rain in Pittsburgh on Saturday, where the forecasted temperature is 82 degrees. The Pirates and Diamondbacks are set to square off at 6:40 PM ET at PNC Park. Pittsburgh is 55-54, while the Diamondbacks are 59-51 and they have won four straight. Arizona is second in the NL West, and the Pirates are third in the NL Central.
Arizona is the money line favorite for Saturday’s matchup, with their odds sitting at +100 compared to the Pirates at -118. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and this NL matchup can be seen on MLB Network.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline +100
This game will be played at PNC Park at 6:40 ET on Saturday, August 3rd.
HOW TO BET THE DIAMONDBACKS VS PIRATES:
- We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Pirates to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
It was a high-scoring game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs Pirates series. Arizona went into the matchup as -132 favorites and squeaked out a 9-8 win. The Diamondbacks had a huge 1st inning, scoring five of their nine runs. As for the Pirates, they scored eight of their ten runs in the 6th and 7th innings.
Pittsburgh actually outhit the Diamondbacks in the game 13 to 11. Both teams finished with three home runs. Heading into the game, the Diamondbacks had the better offense, averaging 5.2 runs per game compared to the Pirates’ 4.1 runs per game.
Brandon Pfaadt got the start for Arizona, going just five innings while giving up three runs and striking out three. He did not factor into the decision, as Dylan Floro got the win out of the bullpen. Ryan Thompson got the save. Colin Holderman took the loss for Pittsburgh out of the bullpen.
Diamondbacks Records & Stats
Arizona is on a four-game winning streak, and these wins have them at 59-51 overall, which is good for 2nd place in the NL West. Currently, they are four games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Diamondbacks are 19-14 in division play this year.
So far, the Diamondbacks have been good at home, going 31-25, and they are just above .500 at 28-26 on the road. Arizona has won four straight games as the favorite, and they are 32-20 when favored this year. As for their record as the underdog, they are 27-31.
When betting the run line in Arizona Diamondbacks games, it’s been a profitable strategy overall with a 56-54 record. The D-backs have been especially profitable on the road, going 31-23 against the run line. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog, going 35-23 against the run line compared to 21-31 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.2, while it’s -4.0 in losses.
The Arizona Diamondbacks are on the road facing the Pittsburgh Pirates today, with an over/under line of 8.5 runs. The combined run average in Diamondbacks games this season is 9.9 runs, and their over/under record is 60-47. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 22-14. Overall, 43 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 39.1% of their games this season. Their current over streak is at 6 games.
Jordan Montgomery gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces off against the Pirates on the road. So far this season, he has made 15 starts and has a record of 7-5 with an ERA of 6.51. Looking at his numbers, Montgomery has a WHIP of 1.69 and opponents are batting .309 this season. In his 15 appearances, he has turned in five quality starts. Montgomery’s last outing came on July 29th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up six earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Arizona comes into today’s game as the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better at home, where they are also averaging 5.2 runs per game. The Diamondbacks have a team batting average of .258, which is the 3rd best mark in the league.
Ketel Marte and Christian Walker have been the team’s top power hitters this season, with Marte leading the team with 26 homers and Walker right behind him with 23. Marte is also hitting .303 for the season, and Walker comes in with a batting average of .254. Over his last seven games, Marte has gone 10/24 (.417) with four homers and 10 RBIs.
Pirates Records & Stats
Pittsburgh is 55-54 overall this season, and they are seven games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Pirates lost the first game of this series vs. the Diamondbacks, and they are coming off a loss in their final game before the All-Star break. So far, they have gone 17-15 in divisional games.
At home, the Pirates are 26-27 this season compared to a 29-27 mark on the road. As the home underdog, the Pirates have gone 13-13 this season, and they are 32-34 as the underdog overall. Pittsburgh’s losing streak is currently at two games, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
The Pirates have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 62-47 overall. They are 27-26 at home and 35-21 on the road. They are 46-20 as underdogs on the run line and have covered in four straight games as the underdog. Their average run differential in wins is +3.3, while it’s -3.4 in losses.
The Pittsburgh Pirates are at home today against the Arizona Diamondbacks, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Pirates have a combined run average of 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 51-57 overall. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 23-15, and 17.4% of their games have had lines set at 8.5 runs or higher. The over has hit in their last two games.
Mitch Keller is coming off a start in which he went seven innings and finished with a no-decision. In that outing vs. the Diamondbacks, he gave up two earned runs, six hits, and two walks. Looking back over his last three starts, Keller has finished with a no-decision in each outing. He has made 12 quality starts this year and has a record of 10-5 with a 3.30 ERA. Keller’s WHIP for the season is 1.21, and opponents are batting .242 off the right-hander this year. So far, he has allowed 13 homers and is averaging 7.99 strikeouts per nine innings.
Currently, the Pirates are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. At home, they are scoring just 4.0 runs per contest, which is 27th in the MLB. As a team, they are batting just .233, and their team on-base percentage is just .301. However, they do have two hitters with 18 homers apiece in Bryan Reynolds and Bryan De La Cruz.
Oneil Cruz has been swinging a hot bat for the Pirates, going 9/25 in his last six games with two homers. Over this stretch, he has driven in five runs. Michael A. Taylor has also gone deep twice in his last six games, but he is just 4/19 over this stretch.