Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals Betting Pick & Prediction 7/24/24

At 8:10 PM ET, the Diamondbacks and Royals will square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, and the Royals are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -130. The money line odds for a Diamondbacks win are at +111, and the over/under line is at 9 runs.
Michael Wacha is starting for the Royals, and he is facing off against Ryne Nelson for the Diamondbacks. Arizona is 3rd in the NL West with a record of 52-50, while the Royals are 2nd in the AL Central at 56-46.
KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline -130
This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium at 8:10 ET on Wednesday, July 24th.
HOW TO BET THE DIAMONDBACKS VS ROYALS:
- We have the Royals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Diamondbacks to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Arizona cruised to a 6-2 win over the Royals in the most recent game of this series. The Diamondbacks had a huge 1st inning, scoring three of their six runs. As for the Royals, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Diamondbacks were at -105 on the money line.
Ketel Marte and Gabriel Moreno each had two RBIs for the Diamondbacks’ offense. Marte, Freddy Fermin, and Josh Rojas each scored three times for Arizona.
Jordan Montgomery pitched well for the Diamondbacks in this one, going five innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with only two strikeouts and allowed one home run. Alec Marsh struggled on the mound for the Royals, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work.
Diamondbacks Records & Stats
Arizona is 52-50 overall this season, and they are nine games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are 3rd in the division and have gone 19-14 in divisional games. They have won two straight series and have an overall series record of 15-13-4 this year.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 26-24 this year, and they have gone 26-26 on the road. As the underdog, Arizona is 26-31 this year compared to a mark of 26-19 as the favorite. They have been playing well lately, going 7-3 over their last 10 games.
When the Diamondbacks are favored, they’re just 19-26 vs. the run line, but as underdogs, they’re 34-23. Their overall run line record is 53-49, with a run differential of +0.2 runs per game. They’re 30-22 vs. the run line on the road, where their scoring margin is +0.5 runs per game.
The Diamondbacks are on the road in Kansas City today with an over/under line of 9 runs. Arizona’s games have averaged 9.6 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 53-46. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 11-11-2. So far this season, 60.8% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 9-run total.
Ryne Nelson has made 16 starts this season and is coming off a strong outing in which he didn’t give up an earned run. Against the Cubs on July 19th, he went 5 2/3 innings, picking up the win in the outing. Looking back further, he has allowed just one earned run in three of his last four outings. Nelson’s ERA for the season is 4.78, along with a record of 7-6. The right-hander has a WHIP of 1.39 and batting average allowed of .288. Overall, he has turned in six quality starts this year. Per nine innings, Nelson is averaging 6.63 strikeouts and just 2.14 walks.
Arizona comes into the game as one of the league’s best offensive teams, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 4th in the MLB. They are also one of the better home run hitting teams in the league, with a team total of 107 homers, but their team batting average of .252 is just 7th in the league. Over his last six games, Ketel Marte has been on fire, going 9/24 with three homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting .294 with 21 homers.
Christian Walker has also been a big power threat for the Diamondbacks this season, as his 22 homers is the best mark on the team and 8th best in the majors. He is also 7th in the league with 69 RBIs. Walker comes into the game with a batting average of .260.
Royals Records & Stats
Kansas City is 2nd in the AL Central, where they are five games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Royals are 56-46 overall and have gone 19-10 against other teams in the AL Central. This year, they have been good at home, putting together a record of 35-19.
The Royals have been good as the favorite this year, going 30-16, and they are 26-30 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 15-16-1. Kansas City has been playing well lately, going 7-3 over their last ten games, and they are coming off a series win over the Tigers.
When the Royals win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.9 runs per game. That has helped them to a 59-43 run line record on the season. They have been a solid bet at home, going 33-21 on the run line, compared to 26-22 on the road. They have also been a good bet as an underdog, going 34-22 on the run line in those games.
The over/under line for today’s game between the Kansas City Royals and Arizona Diamondbacks is set at 9 runs. The Royals have an over/under record of 41-58 this season, and their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game. When the line has been set at 9 runs, their over/under record is 6-9. Overall, 70.6% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 9 runs.
Michael Wacha has been pitching well for the Royals, as he has won each of his last three starts. Most recently, he faced the White Sox on July 19th, where he picked up the win and didn’t give up a run in seven innings of work. Looking at his overall numbers, Wacha has made 17 starts, and his record for the season is 7-6. The right-hander has an ERA of 3.55 and has issued just 2.62 walks per nine innings compared to 7.94 strikeouts. Wacha has a total of eight quality starts this year.
So far this season, the Royals are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 8th in the league, and are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league. Kansas City’s offense is led by Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez, who are both tied for the team lead with 18 homers. Witt Jr. comes into the game with a batting average of .340, while Perez is batting .279.
Witt Jr. is currently on a six-game hitting streak and has been on fire at the plate of late, going 14/27 in his last seven games, including two homers. During this stretch, he has also scored seven runs and driven in seven. Perez has also gone deep twice in his last seven games, but is batting just .269 in this stretch.