Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs Betting Pick & Prediction 7/20/24
From Wrigley Field in Chicago, we have the Diamondbacks and Cubs facing off in an NL matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 7:15 PM ET, and FOX is carrying it on TV.
The money line odds have the Diamondbacks favored at -136 compared to the Cubs at +116. The over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and Kyle Hendricks will be on the mound for the Cubs vs. a Diamondbacks club that is starting Zac Gallen. Arizona is 2nd in the NL West, while the Cubs are 5th in the NL Central.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS CHICAGO CUBS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline -136
This game will be played at Wrigley Field at 7:15 ET on Saturday, July 20th.
HOW TO BET THE DIAMONDBACKS VS CUBS:
- We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cubs to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
It was all Arizona in the last game of this series, as the Diamondbacks took down the Cubs by a score of 5-2. The D-backs offense only had two more hits than the Cubs and struck out 11 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +126 on the money line.
Chicago got off to a slow start in this one, scoring their only two runs in the 6th inning. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored three of their five runs in the 3rd and added two insurance runs in the 5th. Both teams went scoreless after that.
Ryne Nelson got the win for Arizona out of the bullpen, while Paul Sewald got the save. Justin Steele had a rough outing for the Cubs, taking the loss.
Diamondbacks Records & Stats
Arizona is 50-48 overall this season, and they are seven games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are on the road today, taking on the Cubs, and they lead the series 1-0. Arizona took the series opener 6-4. So far, they have gone 19-14 in divisional games.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 26-24 this season, and they have been an even .500 at 24-24 on the road. Arizona has won three straight road games coming into today’s matchup. As the favorite, the Diamondbacks are 25-19 this year and 25-29 as the underdog. The Diamondbacks’ overall series record is 14-13-4 this year.
Arizona is 27-21 against the run line on the road this season, and they have covered in three straight games. Their average run differential in road games is +0.5, and they are 32-22 against the run line as an underdog.
Arizona’s over/under record for the season is 52-43, and the average line for their games is 9 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 19-12. The Diamondbacks have played 39 games with lines higher than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 39.8% of their games. They have played 28 games with lines set lower than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 28.6% of their games.
Right-hander Zac Gallen gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Cubs on the road. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 6-5 with a 3.87 ERA. Gallen’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.21. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up six earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had pitched well, going 6 innings and not giving up an earned run vs. the Athletics. Gallen has made seven starts on the road, coming in with a record of 2-2 and 4.22 ERA.
Arizona’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, as they are 4th in the league in runs per game at 5.0. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks are also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, and they have the 3rd best team batting average in the MLB.
Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been two of the Diamondbacks’ best hitters this season, with Walker leading the team with 22 homers and 68 RBIs, while batting .264. Marte is hitting .295 and is 2nd on the team with 57 RBIs. Marte comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak and has gone 12/29 in his last eight games.
Cubs Records & Stats
Chicago is 5th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by nine games. Overall, the Cubs are 47-52 as they get set to host the Diamondbacks today. Chicago is 12-21 against other teams in the NL Central this year.
At home, the Cubs are 25-22 and 22-30 on the road. This year, they have really struggled as the underdog, going 25-29. As for their record as the favorite, the Cubs are 22-23 this year. So far, their series record is 11-17-3.
Chicago is 49-50 against the run line this season, but they are 31-21 on the road. They are 18-29 against the run line at home. The Cubs have been an underdog in 54 games and have gone 36-18 against the run line in those games. They have been a favorite in 45 games and are just 13-32 against the run line in those games. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.4, while it is -3.2 in losing games.
The Cubs have played 27 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs this season, and their over/under record in those games is 12-11. Overall, their over/under record is 43-52, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. Their combined run average for the season is 8.5 runs per game.
Kyle Hendricks will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Cardinals and picked up the win. In that July 12th outing, he went seven innings and didn’t give up a run. Looking at his overall numbers, Hendricks has made 12 starts and has a record of 2-7. His ERA for the season is 6.78, along with a WHIP of 1.51. Opposing batters are hitting .295 this season off Hendricks. The right-hander has only made two quality starts this year and is averaging 6.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Overall, he has allowed 13 homers.
Over the team’s last 10 games, Nico Hoerner has been on fire, going 17/42 (.405) with eight runs scored. For the season, he is batting .261 and has four home runs. Christopher Morel has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 9/36 with three homers over his last nine games. Morel is batting just .203 for the season but does have a team-high 18 homers.
As a team, the Cubs are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They are also below average in terms of home runs and team slugging percentage. However, they do have the league’s 5th ranked walk rate. Chicago’s top run producer so far has been Ian Happ, who is 15th in the league with 58 RBIs and is 2nd on the team with 15 homers.