Air Force Falcons vs Baylor Bears Betting Pick & Prediction 9/14/24
FS1 will be covering the week three non-conference matchup between the Air Force Falcons and Baylor Bears, set for 7:30 ET at McLane Stadium in Waco. Baylor is coming in with a 1-1 record, and the over/under line is currently sitting at 41.5 points. The Bears are the heavy favorite at -15.5 points over Air Force, who also sits at 1-1 on the season.
AIR FORCE FALCONS VS BAYLOR BEARS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Air Force Falcons +15.5
This game will be played at McLane Stadium at 7:30 ET on Saturday, September 14th.
WHY BET THE AIR FORCE FALCONS:
- We have the Baylor Bears winning this one by a score of 25 to 23
- Even though we like the Baylor Bears to win, our ATS pick is to take the Air Force Falcons at +15.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 41.5 points
Will The Air Force Falcons Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
After being favored by -2.5 points, Air Force suffered a 17-7 defeat at the hands of San Jose State. This loss moved the Falcons to 1-1 for the season. The game’s total score of 24 points was lower than the over/under line of 44.5 points.
Air Force fell behind early, trailing 14-7 at halftime. The Falcons couldn’t find the end zone in the second half, and their only points came from a field goal in the fourth quarter.
In their 17-7 loss to San Jose State, Air Force’s offense was limited to 204 total yards. The Falcons managed 150 rushing yards on 45 attempts, with Cade Harris leading the ground game with 50 yards on eight carries. Harris also found the end zone once, but it was not enough to overcome the team’s struggles in the passing game.
John Busha completed just 7 of 20 passes for 54 yards, throwing two interceptions and finishing with a passer rating of 4.17. Quin Smith was the leading receiver for Air Force, with three catches for 36 yards.
After allowing just 55 rushing yards to San Jose State, Air Force’s run defense was solid in their most recent game. However, they gave up 262 passing yards on 17 completions, resulting in two passing touchdowns. The Falcons’ defense forced one interception and held San Jose State to 317 total yards and 15 first downs.
Are The Baylor Bears Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
After their 23-12 loss to Utah, Baylor is now 1-1 for the season. Despite being +14.5 point underdogs, the Bears covered the spread, and the combined score of 35 points was below the over/under line of 54.5 points.
Baylor fell behind early, trailing 17-0 after the first quarter. The Bears managed to close the gap to 23-3 by halftime and then outscored Utah 9-0 in the third quarter. However, neither team scored in the fourth quarter.
In their 23-12 loss to Utah, Baylor’s offense was limited to 223 total yards. The Bears managed just 108 yards on the ground, and their passing game was equally ineffective, with Dequan Finn completing 9 of 21 passes for 115 yards and one touchdown. Finn’s passer rating for the game was 76.49, and he avoided throwing any interceptions.
Josh Cameron was the leading receiver for Baylor, with two receptions for 59 yards. The Bears’ lone passing touchdown went to Cameron. On the ground, Dawson Pendergrass led the team with 69 yards on just nine carries, averaging 7.7 yards per attempt.
After giving up 176 rushing yards to Utah, Baylor’s defense will be looking to shore up their run defense. Overall, the Bears allowed 298 total yards and 23 points. Against the pass, they were more effective, holding Utah to just 122 yards on 12 completions. However, Baylor did allow two passing touchdowns in the game.