Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction & Odds – November 11, 2026

Memphis brings a stronger overall record into its meeting with Denver at FedExForum, but the Grizzlies have been less convincing at home. The Nuggets have an opportunity to test that split in a matchup between contrasting offenses.

Game details and odds

Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 8:00 pm EST · FedExForum

Total: 229.5 — over -115, under -106.

Draft Kings odds checked November 11, 2026 20:00 UTC. Odds subject to change.

Denver's ball movement meets a difficult road test

Denver averages 113.6 points and 26.9 assists per game, with Nikola Jokic leading the team at 9.1 assists and 10.8 rebounds. Jamal Murray leads its scoring at 25.8 points per game. That combination gives the Nuggets multiple ways to generate offense, though their road record stands at 2-2.

Denver's five listed results show both its scoring potential and its unevenness. The Nuggets beat Phoenix 127-120, then lost 118-110 to Portland before responding with a 128-109 win over Toronto. They followed that with a 114-102 victory over Indiana at a neutral site in Mexico City, but scored only 100 in a 110-100 loss at Houston. The Houston result makes offensive consistency the central question: Denver has produced convincing wins in this stretch, yet its most recent outing ended with its lowest point total among these five games.

Memphis seeks a home response

Memphis is 7-3 overall but 2-3 at home, a sharp contrast with its 5-0 road mark. The Grizzlies average 117.9 points and 48.3 rebounds per game, while Ty Jerome leads them at 26.7 points per game. Their scoring strength will matter if this becomes an open game.

Memphis arrives off a 118-102 win at Toronto, but its recent home results tell a less comfortable story. The Grizzlies lost three straight at FedExForum to New Orleans, Indiana and Oklahoma City, allowing 135, 107 and 128 points in those games. That run followed a 136-105 home win over Sacramento, showing how quickly their results in Memphis have changed. The Toronto victory offers a response after the Oklahoma City defeat, though it came on the road; the next challenge is carrying that response into a home game.

Injury news

Denver Nuggets: Julian Strawther – Out (Knee).

Memphis Grizzlies: Isaiah Stewart – Day-To-Day (Knee); Scotty Pippen Jr. – Out (Back); Quinten Post – Out (Head); Richie Saunders – Out (Knee).

Availability checked November 11, 2026 20:00 UTC. Reported statuses may change; final lineups are not confirmed here.

BTB Betting Pick

Winner pick: Denver Nuggets.

Denver gets the nod because its recent wins over Toronto and Indiana offer a steadier counterpoint to Memphis' three straight home losses. The Nuggets' low-scoring loss at Houston keeps this from looking straightforward.

Original winner pick recorded November 11, 2026 20:00 UTC. Subsequent updates retain that selection.