Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Prediction & Odds – November 11, 2026

Golden State and Houston bring matching 8-3 records into their meeting at Toyota Center. The Warriors have the stronger scoring average, while the Rockets have allowed fewer points per game.

Game details and odds

Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 9:30 pm EST · Toyota Center (Houston)

Total: 219.5 — over -111, under -109.

DraftKings odds checked November 11, 2026 22:01 UTC. Odds subject to change.

Warriors’ scoring meets a road test

Golden State averages 120.4 points per game and shoots 40 percent from three, giving its offense a clear route to pressure Houston. Stephen Curry leads the Warriors at 30.6 points per game, but their 2-2 road record leaves a question about how well that production travels.

The Warriors have won all five of their listed recent games, each at Chase Center. They scored at least 116 points in every one, finishing with a 138-87 win over New Orleans after beating Orlando 126-119. Those results show both their scoring range and a capacity to pull away, as they did against Miami, 120-100. Yet the narrower wins over Orlando and Phoenix, the latter by 116-113, show that opponents have also kept pace. This run makes Golden State dangerous, though it offers no recent road result to judge.

Rockets lean on defense at Toyota Center

Houston is 5-1 at home and allows 106.4 points per game, a combination that makes its defense central to this matchup. Alperen Sengun leads the Rockets in scoring, rebounding and assists, averaging 21.3 points, 9.0 rebounds and 7.8 assists. Houston’s offense averages 115.5 points per game.

The Rockets returned home to beat Denver 110-100 after losing 102-99 at Phoenix. Their five listed games show a less settled scoring pattern than Golden State’s: Houston topped Oklahoma City 119-98 and Boston 109-93, then lost 117-107 to Minnesota before the Phoenix defeat. Four of those games were at Toyota Center, where Houston won three. The Denver response suggests it can recover after consecutive losses, while the Minnesota result shows that playing at home has not guaranteed a defensive hold. Limiting Golden State’s scoring runs will be the challenge.

Injury news

Golden State Warriors: Will Richard – Day-To-Day (Thumb); Gary Payton II – Out (Knee); Brandon Williams – Out (Hamstring); Kristaps Porzingis – Out (Illness); Moses Moody – Out (Knee).

Houston Rockets: Clint Capela – Out (Ankle); Steven Adams – Out (Calf).

Availability checked November 11, 2026 22:01 UTC. Reported statuses may change; final lineups are not confirmed here.

BTB Betting Pick

Winner pick: Houston Rockets.

Houston’s home record and lower points-allowed average give it a narrow edge. Golden State’s scoring and five straight listed wins make that call uncertain, especially if the Warriors sustain their recent offensive pace.

Original winner pick recorded November 11, 2026 22:01 UTC. Subsequent updates retain that selection.