Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Betting Pick & Prediction 4/13/25

At 3:30 ET, the Denver Nuggets (-425) will travel to Houston to take on the Rockets (+330) at the Toyota Center. The Nuggets are currently favored by 9.5 points and the over/under line is set at 233.5.

Denver is 49-32 on the season and has won two straight games. The Rockets, who are 52-29, have lost two in a row. This is a Western Conference matchup and will be shown on SCHN.

DENVER NUGGETS VS HOUSTON ROCKETS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Houston Rockets +9.5

This game will be played at Toyota Center at 3:30 ET on Sunday, April 13th.

WHY BET THE HOUSTON ROCKETS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 144-135 in favor of the Nuggets.
• Our projections have Nikola Jokić finishing with 30 points, 13 rebounds and 10 assists.
• From the field, we have the Nuggets finishing with a field goal percentage of 50.5% and knocking down 14 threes.

Will the Nuggets Win on the Road?

On Friday, April 11th, the Nuggets improved to 49-32 with a 117-109 win over the Grizzlies at home. Denver, favored by 7.5 points, covered the spread, while the game’s total of 226 points fell short of the 244.5 O/U line.

After trailing 35-28 after the 1st quarter, the Nuggets tightened up defensively, allowing just 14 points in the 4th. A key 13-0 run helped them take control, turning a 108-105 lead into a 118-108 victory.

Aaron Gordon’s 33 points, including 16 in the 3rd quarter, powered the Nuggets to a win over the Grizzlies, despite hitting just 5 threes at 20.8% shooting. Nikola Jokić added 26 points, 16 rebounds, and 13 assists, with 10 points in the 4th quarter.

Jokić shot 57.9% from the field, while Gordon hit 56.5%. The Nuggets finished with a 48.4% field goal percentage overall, with Jamal Murray contributing 15 points and 6 in the final period.

The Nuggets gave up 35 points in the 1st and 36 in the 3rd but tightened up defensively in the 4th, holding the Grizzlies to just 14 points to secure the win. Overall, they allowed 109 points on 45% shooting.

From three-point range, the Nuggets held the Grizzlies to 32% shooting, with 14 made threes. They also sent Memphis to the line 19 times, where they hit 13 free throws. Denver finished with 41 defensive rebounds, 9 steals, and 2 blocks.

Does Houston Have a Shot at a Home Win?

The Rockets dropped to 52-29 on the season after a 140-109 road loss to the Lakers on Friday. Entering the game as +14 point underdogs, Houston not only lost but failed to cover the spread. The combined score of 249 points went over the pre-game line of 228.

A key moment came when the Lakers went on a 10-0 run, stretching their lead from 35-32 to 45-32. Houston was outscored 40-24 in the 2nd quarter, and despite a better 3rd quarter (31-29), they couldn’t close the gap, trailing 107-87 going into the 4th, where they were outscored 33-22.

Cam Whitmore’s 34 points and 8 rebounds stood out for the Rockets in their loss to the Lakers, as he connected on 7 threes at a 58.3% clip. Whitmore was especially effective in the 3rd quarter, scoring 16 points, while adding 10 in the 1st.

Reed Sheppard contributed 14 points, hitting 4 threes, and Nate Williams added 12 points. The Rockets made 18 threes as a team, shooting 35.3% from deep and 45.6% overall from the field.

Defensively, the Rockets struggled against the Lakers, giving up 140 points on Friday. Houston allowed 38 points in the 1st quarter and 40 in the 2nd, with their best defensive effort coming in the 3rd, where they gave up 29 points. The Lakers shot 60% from the field.

Houston also had a tough time defending the three, as the Lakers hit 19 threes at a 51% clip. The Rockets sent the Lakers to the line 25 times, where they made 15 free throws. Houston finished with 30 defensive rebounds, allowing 4 offensive boards, and added 8 steals and 5 blocks.