Sacramento Kings vs Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Pick & Prediction 4/6/25

The Kings (+360) are 10-point underdogs against the Cavaliers (-468) in a non-conference matchup. The over/under line for the game is 236.5 points.
Tip-off is scheduled for 6:00 ET at Rocket Arena in Cleveland. The game will be televised on NBCS.
SACRAMENTO KINGS VS CLEVELAND CAVALIERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers -10
This game will be played at Rocket Arena at 6:00 ET on Sunday, April 6th.
WHY BET THE CLEVELAND CAVALIERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 141-129 in favor of the Cavaliers.
- Our projections have Donovan Mitchell finishing with 23 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists.
- From the field, we have the Cavaliers finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.6% and knocking down 19 threes.
Can Sacramento Pull Off a Road Win?
With a 125-102 victory over the Hornets on Friday, the Kings improved to 37-40 for the season. Sacramento, favored by -11.5 points, covered the spread with the win. The game’s total score of 227 points exceeded the O/U line of 216 by 11 points.
A key 13-0 run helped the Kings take control, stretching the score from 19-18 to 31-19. They outscored Charlotte 42-31 in the 2nd quarter and entered the 4th quarter with a 98-72 lead. The Hornets edged the Kings 30-27 in the final period, but Sacramento had already secured the win.
The Kings shot 49.5% from the field and hit 16 threes at a 44.4% clip in their win over the Hornets. Zach LaVine led the way with 25 points, including 10 in the 4th quarter, and added 10 rebounds and 4 threes at 57.1% shooting from deep.
Domantas Sabonis contributed 24 points and 11 rebounds, scoring 9 points in both the 1st and 2nd quarters. DeMar DeRozan added 22 points, with 13 coming in the opening period. Malik Monk scored 15 of his 17 points in the 2nd quarter, while Trey Lyles added 10 of his 12 points in the 3rd.
The Kings’ defense shined on Friday, holding the Hornets to 102 points on 39% shooting. Sacramento was particularly strong in the 1st and 3rd quarters, allowing just 18 and 23 points, respectively.
From beyond the arc, the Kings limited Charlotte to 8 threes on 22% shooting. Sacramento also recorded 34 defensive rebounds, gave up 11 offensive boards, and finished with 4 steals and 3 blocks.
Is It the Cavaliers Game to Lose at Home?
The Cavaliers improved to 62-15 with a narrow 114-113 win over the Spurs on Friday. Cleveland, who were -12.5 point favorites, didn’t cover the spread. The combined score of 227 points fell short of the 241.5-point total.
Cleveland jumped out to a 67-50 lead at halftime, but San Antonio rallied, outscoring the Cavs 63-47 in the second half. The Spurs made a strong push in the 4th, outscoring Cleveland 31-23, but the Cavs held on for the win.
In their win over the Spurs, the Cavaliers connected on 22 threes, shooting 43.1% from deep, while finishing with an overall field goal percentage of 47.1%. Donovan Mitchell hit 6 threes at a 54.5% clip, finishing with a team-high 26 points and 7 assists.
Evan Mobley added 25 points and 12 rebounds, making 4 threes at 66.7% efficiency. He scored 18 of his points in the 1st quarter. Darius Garland also made 4 threes, contributing 19 points, including 9 in the 4th quarter.
Defensively, the Cavaliers put together a solid 2nd quarter, allowing just 22 points, but they gave up 32 in the 3rd and 31 in the 4th. Still, they managed to hold the Spurs to 113 points on 43% shooting.
Cleveland did a good job defending the three, as San Antonio hit 16 threes at a 33% rate. The Cavaliers also sent the Spurs to the line 19 times, where they made 15. Cleveland finished with 37 defensive rebounds, 6 steals, and 4 blocks.