Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Betting Pick & Prediction 3/23/25

The Rockets are favored by 7.5 in tonight’s Western Conference matchup against the Nuggets. Houston is on a nine-game winning streak and is 46-25 overall. The Nuggets are 44-27 and have lost two straight.
This game will be played at the Toyota Center in Houston and is scheduled to tip-off at 7:00 ET. You can watch the game on SCHN.
DENVER NUGGETS VS HOUSTON ROCKETS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Houston Rockets -7.5
This game will be played at Toyota Center at 7:00 ET on Sunday, March 23rd.
WHY BET THE HOUSTON ROCKETS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 134-100 in favor of the Rockets.
- Our projections have Jalen Green finishing with 22 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists.
- From the field, we have the Rockets finishing with a field goal percentage of 45.9% and knocking down 15 threes.
Is an Upset Waiting to Happen on the Road?
The Nuggets fell to 44-27 on the season after a 128-109 road loss to the Trail Blazers on Friday. Denver, favored by 2 points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 237.5 exceeded the over/under line of 226.5 by 10.5 points.
Denver and Portland were tied at 30 after the 1st quarter, but the Blazers went on a 10-0 run to take control. Denver led 59-54 at halftime but was outscored 34-23 in the 3rd quarter and 40-27 in the 4th, as Portland pulled away late.
In their loss to the Trail Blazers, the Nuggets shot 50% from the field, but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 9 threes at a 34.6% rate. Aaron Gordon led the way with 23 points, including 9 in both the 1st and 3rd quarters.
Russell Westbrook added 18 points, with 9 coming in the 2nd quarter, while Michael Porter Jr. contributed 17 points, 8 of which came in the 4th. Porter also knocked down 3 threes, shooting 42.9% from deep.
Defensively, the Nuggets had a strong 2nd quarter but struggled in the 3rd and 4th, giving up 34 and 40 points, respectively, in a 128-109 loss to the Trail Blazers. Denver allowed Portland to shoot 54% from the field.
The Nuggets also gave up 14 threes on 40% shooting from deep and sent the Blazers to the line 25 times, where they made 20 free throws. Denver finished with 10 steals and 2 blocks.
Can Houston Deliver Being Favored at Home?
The Rockets improved to 46-25 this season with a 102-98 win over the Heat on Friday. Houston was favored by 4.5 points but didn’t cover the spread, winning by just four. The game’s total points of 200 fell short of the 212.5 O/U line.
After trailing 59-51 at halftime, the Rockets tightened up defensively, holding Miami to 39 points in the second half. Houston outscored the Heat 27-21 in the third quarter and 24-18 in the fourth to secure the win.
Fred VanVleet’s 37 points and 9 threes at 81.8% shooting led the Rockets to a win over the Heat, as he hit 50% from deep overall. VanVleet was especially effective in the 3rd and 4th quarters, scoring 12 and 13 points respectively.
Amen Thompson added 18 points, with 8 coming in the 4th quarter. The Rockets hit 14 threes as a team, shooting 50% from beyond the arc and 46.4% overall from the field.
Despite giving up 32 points in the 2nd quarter, the Rockets tightened up defensively in the 2nd half, allowing just 21 points in the 3rd and 18 in the 4th to secure the win over the Heat. Houston’s defense gave up 98 points on 52% shooting from the field.
The Rockets limited Miami to 10 made threes on 41% shooting from deep. Houston sent the Heat to the line 14 times, where they made 12 free throws. The Rockets finished with 31 defensive rebounds, allowing 5 offensive boards, while also recording 17 steals and 4 blocks.