Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings Betting Pick & Prediction 3/17/25

At 10:00 ET, the Sacramento Kings (-139) will host the Memphis Grizzlies (+116) in a Western Conference matchup. The Kings are currently favored by 2.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 239.
Sacramento (-139) is looking to snap a four-game losing streak, and they are currently 9th in the Western Conference. The Grizzlies (+116) are 4th in the West and have a record of 43-25.
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES VS SACRAMENTO KINGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Memphis Grizzlies +2.5
This game will be played at Golden 1 Center at 10:00 ET on Monday, March 17th.
WHY BET THE MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 142-140 in favor of the Grizzlies.
- Our projections have Jaren Jackson Jr. finishing with 23 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists.
- From the field, we have the Grizzlies finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.8% and knocking down 16 threes.
Do the Grizzlies Stand a Chance on the Road?
The Grizzlies improved to 43-25 on the season with a dominant 125-91 win over the Heat on Saturday. Playing at home, Memphis was favored by 6 points and covered the spread with ease. The total score of 216 points fell short of the 224.5-point O/U line.
A 14-0 run early in the game helped the Grizzlies pull away, as they extended their lead from 21-16 to 35-16. Memphis continued to control the game, outscoring Miami 25-21 in the 2nd quarter and 31-19 in the 3rd, before finishing strong with a 31-24 edge in the 4th.
Jaren Jackson Jr. led the Grizzlies to a win over the Heat, scoring 31 points on 72.2% shooting. Desmond Bane added 22 points, hitting 4 threes at an 80% rate, and also grabbed 10 rebounds and dished out 8 assists.
Memphis shot 55.4% from the field, connecting on 12 threes at a 38.7% clip. Jackson scored 12 points in the 1st quarter, while Bane added 10 in the 3rd.
The Grizzlies put on a defensive clinic against the Heat, holding them to just 91 points on Saturday. Memphis allowed 27 points in the 1st quarter but tightened up in the 2nd, giving up only 21. Their best defensive effort came in the 3rd quarter, where they allowed just 19 points, and they finished strong in the 4th, giving up 24 points.
Memphis held Miami to 39% shooting from the field, including just 9 made threes on 24% shooting from beyond the arc. The Heat went 12/15 from the free-throw line. The Grizzlies also controlled the boards, grabbing 40 defensive rebounds while allowing 10 offensive rebounds. They added 7 steals and 6 blocks in the win.
Do the Kings Have What it Takes at Home?
The Kings fell to 33-33 on the season after a 122-106 road loss to the Suns on Friday. Sacramento entered the game as +2 point underdogs but failed to cover the spread. The total score of 228 points fell short of the 232.5 O/U line.
Phoenix took control early with a 13-0 run, extending their lead from 23-15 to 36-15. Sacramento responded by winning the 2nd quarter 35-26, but the Suns pulled away again in the 3rd, outscoring the Kings 35-25. Sacramento trailed 97-82 going into the 4th and couldn’t mount a comeback, as the Suns edged them 25-24 in the final quarter.
The Kings shot 49.4% from the field in their loss to the Suns, but their 3-point shooting was a major issue, as they connected on just 8 threes at a 25% rate. DeMar DeRozan led the way with 23 points, hitting 60% from deep and 69.2% overall. Zach LaVine added 21 points, with 14 coming in the 4th quarter.
Malik Monk contributed 18 points, including 12 in the 2nd quarter, and Keegan Murray added 14, with 7 in both the 1st and 2nd quarters. DeRozan scored 10 points in the 3rd, while LaVine’s big 4th quarter was a highlight for Sacramento.
The Kings struggled defensively against the Suns, giving up 122 points on 51% shooting. Sacramento allowed 36 points in the 1st and 35 in the 3rd, despite better efforts in the 2nd and 4th quarters.
From beyond the arc, the Suns hit 24 threes at a 55% rate. The Kings sent Phoenix to the line 19 times, where they made 16 free throws. Sacramento recorded 28 defensive rebounds, 7 steals, and 1 block.