New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Pick & Prediction 2/21/25

At 8:30 ET, the Dallas Mavericks (-219) will host the New Orleans Pelicans (+183) in a Western Southwest division matchup. The Mavericks are currently favored by 6 points, and the over/under line is set at 237.
Both teams come into this game with winning streaks, as the Mavericks have won two straight and the Pelicans have won three straight. Dallas is currently 8th in the Western Conference, while New Orleans is 15th.
NEW ORLEANS PELICANS VS DALLAS MAVERICKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New Orleans Pelicans +6
This game will be played at American Airlines Center at 8:30 ET on Friday, February 21st.
WHY BET THE NEW ORLEANS PELICANS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 102-80 in favor of the Pelicans.
- Our projections have CJ McCollum finishing with 21 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists.
- From the field, we have the Pelicans finishing with a field goal percentage of 45.1% and knocking down 13 threes.
Can New Orleans Stun the Crowd at American Airlines Center?
The Pelicans improved to 13-42 on the season with a 140-133 home win over the Kings on Thursday. New Orleans entered the game as +8 point underdogs and covered the spread with the win. The game’s total points of 273 exceeded the pre-game over/under line of 235 by 38 points.
New Orleans overcame a 15-0 run by the Kings, who extended their lead from 48-43 to 63-43. The Pelicans fought back, outscoring Sacramento 38-30 in the 3rd quarter to take a 98-95 lead into the 4th. Despite being outscored 32-29 in the final quarter, New Orleans held on for the win.
CJ McCollum’s 43-point performance, including 21 points in the 3rd quarter and 11 in overtime, led the Pelicans to a 140-133 win over the Kings. He hit 7 threes at 58.3%, and the team made 21 threes, shooting 42% from deep and 50% overall.
Jose Alvarado and Trey Murphy each added 18 points, with Murphy also contributing 11 assists. Jeremiah Robinson-Earl scored 13 of his 16 points in the 4th quarter, and Jordan Hawkins added 10 of his 16 points in the 2nd quarter.
Despite giving up 133 points, the Pelicans managed to secure a win against the Kings on Thursday. New Orleans allowed 29 points in the 1st quarter and 36 in the 2nd, but their offense helped them stay in the game. The Pelicans gave up 30 points in the 3rd and 32 in the 4th, but they still came out on top.
The Kings shot 43% from the field, including 36% from three-point range, where they made 17 threes. Sacramento also went 18/21 from the free-throw line. The Pelicans grabbed 38 defensive rebounds but gave up 21 offensive boards. They also recorded 11 steals and 7 blocks.
Will Dallas Find a Way to Win at Home?
Dallas improved to 30-26 with a 118-113 win over Miami on Thursday. The Mavericks, who were +3 point underdogs, not only won but covered the spread. The game’s total of 231 points exceeded the 217.5 O/U line by 13.5 points.
After a 10-0 run by the Heat put them up 75-65, Dallas responded by outscoring Miami 34-30 in the 4th quarter to seal the win.
Dante Exum’s efficient shooting performance, hitting 84.6% from the field, led the Mavericks to a win over the Heat with 27 points, including 12 in the 2nd quarter and 10 in the 4th. Max Christie added 19 points, while Spencer Dinwiddie contributed 18, with 9 coming in the 2nd quarter and 7 in the 4th.
Kessler Edwards had a big 3rd quarter, scoring 13 of his 15 points. The Mavericks shot 51.1% from the field, making 13 threes at a 36.1% rate.
Despite giving up 113 points, the Mavericks’ defense did enough to secure the win over the Heat. They held Miami to 22 points in the 1st quarter but struggled in the 2nd, allowing 34 points. Dallas gave up 27 points in the 3rd and 30 in the 4th.
The Mavericks limited the Heat to 10 made threes on 27% shooting from deep. Miami went 17/26 from the free-throw line. Dallas recorded 29 defensive rebounds, gave up 16 offensive boards, and added 7 steals.