Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Pick & Prediction 2/10/25

At 8:30 ET, the Dallas Mavericks (-116) will host the Sacramento Kings (-103) in a Western Conference matchup. The Mavericks are currently favored by 1 point and have won two straight games. The over/under line for this game is 237.5 points.
This game will be played at the American Airlines Center in Dallas and can be seen on NBCS. The Kings are 9th in the Western Conference with a record of 26-26, while the Mavericks are 8th in the West at 28-25.
SACRAMENTO KINGS VS DALLAS MAVERICKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Sacramento Kings +1
This game will be played at American Airlines Center at 8:30 ET on Monday, February 10th.
WHY BET THE SACRAMENTO KINGS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 138-110 in favor of the Kings.
- Our projections have Zach LaVine finishing with 23 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists.
- From the field, we have the Kings finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.1% and knocking down 14 threes.
Will Sacramento Come Through as Road Underdogs?
The Kings moved to 26-26 on the season with a 123-118 win over the Pelicans on Saturday. Sacramento was favored by 8 points but didn’t cover the spread, while the game’s total of 241 points narrowly went over the 239.5-point line.
New Orleans went on a 13-0 run early, but Sacramento took control with a dominant 45-22 third quarter. The Kings entered the 4th quarter up 99-87 but were outscored 31-24 in the final period.
Domantas Sabonis led the Kings with 27 points and 16 rebounds in their win over the Pelicans, shooting 55.6% from the field. Zach LaVine added 22 points, with 10 coming in both the 2nd and 3rd quarters, while Keegan Murray contributed 19 points, 10 of which came in the 3rd.
The Kings shot 47.3% from the field, but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 26.8% of their threes, making 11 in total. Malik Monk also scored 10 of his 13 points in the 3rd quarter, and Keon Ellis added 13 points, with 5 in the 4th.
Defensively, the Kings had a strong 3rd quarter, holding the Pelicans to 22 points, which helped them secure the win despite allowing 31 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters. Overall, Sacramento gave up 118 points on 47% shooting from the field.
From beyond the arc, the Kings allowed New Orleans to hit 14 threes at a 38% clip. They also sent the Pelicans to the line 25 times, where they made 18 free throws. Sacramento finished with 40 defensive rebounds, gave up 5 offensive boards, and added 10 steals and 7 blocks.
Will Dallas Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?
The Mavericks improved to 28-25 this season with a 116-105 win over the Rockets on Saturday. Playing at home, Dallas entered the game as -3 point favorites and covered the spread. The game’s total points of 221 fell short of the 227.5 O/U line.
Dallas jumped out to a 33-20 lead in the 1st quarter and extended their lead by winning the 2nd quarter 32-28. Houston made a push in the 3rd, outscoring Dallas 33-24, but the Mavericks held on by taking the 4th quarter 27-24.
Anthony Davis led the Mavericks with 26 points and 16 rebounds in their win over the Rockets, scoring 14 points in the 1st quarter and another 10 in the 2nd. Max Christie added 23 points, including 10 in the 4th quarter, while Naji Marshall contributed 8 of his 16 points in the 3rd.
Dallas shot 47% from the field, making 12 threes at a 52.2% clip. Davis hit 2 threes, going 100% from deep, and Christie connected on 4 threes, shooting 80% from beyond the arc.
The Mavericks’ defense held the Rockets to just 105 points on Saturday, including a strong 1st quarter where they allowed only 20 points. They gave up 33 points in the 3rd but tightened up in the 4th, allowing just 24 points to secure the win.
Dallas limited Houston’s three-point shooting, holding them to 8 made threes on 28% shooting. The Mavericks also recorded 18 blocks in the game.